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Oklahoma State vs UCF Knights Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 87-76
41-32 46-44
Position#140
Record12-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#92
Record12-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game74.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Oklahoma State v UCF Knights
06 Jan 2026
OKLA87
UCF 76
19 Feb 2025
OKLA104
UCF 95
28 Feb 2024
OKLA71
UCF 77
18 Nov 2022
OKLA56
UCF 60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UCF Knights winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Florida
#40
W
103-95
103
95
+8
H20/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
95-81
95
81
+14
H22/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A28/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
93-83
93
83
+10
H03/12
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A07/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
76-85
76
85
-9
H13/12
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
91-79
91
79
+12
H19/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
94-89
94
89
+5
H21/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
103-77
103
77
+26
H30/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
80-102
80
102
-22
A03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
44-45
59-50
47-32
48-49
39-40
47-41
37-44
56-39
42-39
42-39
35-41
41-44
48-44
43-35
50-34
44-55
50-38
53-39
38-46
42-56
175.5Avg total
90.5Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)90.480.0170.4+10.486%
Season at home (11)92.478.1170.5+14.391%
Season away (3)83.387.0170.3-3.767%
Last 10 (10)90.585.0175.5+5.580%
Last 5 (5)88.886.4175.2+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.981.1156.1-6.247%
vs Similar ◀ (12)86.177.7163.8+8.475%
vs Weaker (2)93.075.0168.0+18.0100%
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UCF KnightsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#82
W
86-74
86
74
+12
A15/11
NCAA
Oakland
#212
W
87-83
87
83
+4
H18/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H21/11
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
W
102-91
102
91
+11
H26/11
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
82-57
82
57
+25
H29/11
NCAA
Towson
#157
W
86-61
86
61
+25
H07/12
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
81-63
81
63
+18
H18/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
102-80
102
80
+22
H20/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H23/12
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-30
56-44
44-40
43-43
38-36
39-31
47-52
55-39
45-32
37-25
47-27
39-34
35-27
46-36
49-49
53-31
33-38
52-42
44-41
37-34
160.0Avg total
86.9Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)87.874.9162.7+12.892%
Season at home (12)87.975.0162.9+12.992%
Season away (1)86.074.0160.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.973.1160.0+13.8100%
Last 5 (5)87.071.8158.8+15.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)79.884.6164.5-4.823%
vs Similar ◀ (15)84.576.9161.4+7.580%
vs Weaker (2)89.558.5148.0+31.0100%
This opponent (Oklahoma State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: +4.0+4.02nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: +9.8+9.8
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: +4.0+4.02nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: +9.8+9.8
Oklahoma StateUCF Knights
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Oklahoma StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Florida
#40
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H20/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H22/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A28/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H03/12
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A07/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H13/12
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H19/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H21/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H30/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A03/01
NCAA
83.3Avg total
43.0Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.437.776.2+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (20)41.036.577.5+4.570%-
Last 30 away (10)33.340.173.4-6.820%-
Last 10 (10)43.040.383.3+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)44.240.684.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)34.538.873.3-4.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.535.476.9+6.167%-
vs Weaker (2)49.045.094.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UCF KnightsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#82
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A15/11
NCAA
Oakland
#212
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H18/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H21/11
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H26/11
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H29/11
NCAA
Towson
#157
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H07/12
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H18/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H20/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H23/12
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H03/01
NCAA
78.4Avg total
41.2Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.038.376.3-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (20)39.535.675.1+3.965%-
Last 30 away (10)35.243.778.9-8.510%-
Last 10 (10)41.237.278.4+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.636.478.0+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.239.174.3-3.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.339.378.6+0.147%-
vs Weaker (2)46.526.072.5+20.5100%-
This opponent (Oklahoma State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Oklahoma State wins
4
UCF Knights wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26ATexas Tech80-102
30/12/25HBethune-Cookman103-77
21/12/25HCS Fullerton94-89
19/12/25HUMKC91-79
13/12/25HOklahoma76-85
07/12/25AGrand Canyon84-78
03/12/25HSam Houston St.93-83
28/11/25ANorthwestern86-81
22/11/25HNicholls State95-81
20/11/25HSouth Florida103-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HKansas81-75
23/12/25HFlorida Atlantic85-80
20/12/25HFlorida Gulf Coast102-80
18/12/25HMercer81-63
07/12/25HTowson86-61
29/11/25HVMI82-57
26/11/25HQuinnipiac102-91
21/11/25HPittsburgh77-67
18/11/25HOakland87-83
15/11/25ATexas A&M86-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL86%
HomeWLWWW91%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14113
Win %86%91%67%
Points / game90.492.483.3
Allowed / game80.078.187.0
Point differential+10.4+14.3-3.7
Avg total170.4170.5170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%73%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UCF Knights
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13121
Win %92%92%100%
Points / game87.887.986.0
Allowed / game74.975.074.0
Point differential+12.8+12.9+12.0
Avg total162.7162.9160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%58%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona14140100%90.867.1+23.7
2 Iowa State1413193%88.563.7+24.8
3 Brigham Young1413193%87.167.1+20.0
4 Houston1413193%77.960.0+17.9
5 UCF Knights1312192%87.874.9+12.8
6 Oklahoma State1412286%90.480.0+10.4
7 TCU1411379%79.564.6+14.9
8 Texas Tech1411379%85.173.6+11.4
9 Colorado1411379%86.678.2+8.4
10 Baylor1310377%93.174.5+18.6
11 Kansas1410471%75.864.6+11.2
12 West Virginia1510567%74.161.5+12.6
13 Kansas State149564%87.478.0+9.4
14 Arizona State149564%80.676.6+4.0
15 Utah Utes148657%80.979.8+1.1
16 Cincinnati158753%73.765.3+8.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Oklahoma State414687
UCF Knights324476
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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