PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Oldenburg vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 99-90
31-29 30-19 16-21 22-21
Position#5
Record6-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#8
Record4-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game93.9
GermanyBBLRound 9
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Oldenburg v Rostock
13 Feb 2027
OLD v ROS
upcoming
13 Apr 2026
OLD81
ROS79
13 May 2025
OLD95
ROS83
26 Apr 2025
OLD92
ROS79
20 Oct 2023
OLD94
ROS89
11 Dec 2022
OLD99
ROS90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oldenburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OldenburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOldenburg
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#18
W
76-72
76
72
+4
58avg 78
H05/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
81-89
81
89
-8
70avg 78
H09/10
BBL
Wurzburg
#12
W
91-87
91
87
+4
no box
A15/10
German Cup
Ulm
#4
W
81-73
81
73
+8
72avg 78
H21/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
94-102 OT
94
102
-8
no box
A29/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
77-70
77
70
+7
76avg 78
A06/11
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
93-75
93
75
+18
92avg 78
H20/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
84-76
84
76
+8
74avg 78
A25/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#5
W
85-83
85
83
+2
no box
H04/12
German Cup
Bayern
#3
L
77-81
77
81
-4
68avg 78
A06/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
30-19
14-16
18-15
19-21
17-23
16-26
29-19
25-17
18-27
20-17
28-26
15-24
26-12
23-16
17-21
12-22
14-18
34-20
24-24
16-16
27-20
18-14
16-20
22-16
16-22
30-13
25-24
29-19
17-26
21-17
17-14
21-23
18-29
22-14
24-17
20-26
11-18
19-18
27-19
164.7Avg total
83.9Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.280.0164.2+4.267%
Season at home (4)82.877.2160.0+5.575%
Season away (5)85.482.2167.6+3.260%
Last 10 (10)83.980.8164.7+3.170%
Last 5 (5)83.277.0160.2+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.586.2170.8-1.825%
vs Similar (11)90.584.4174.8+6.173%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)89.785.3175.0+4.471%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Tubingen
#2
W
81-73
81
73
+8
no box
H16/05
Pro A
Tubingen
#2
W
78-77
78
77
+1
no box
A21/05
Pro A
Ulm
#4
W
85-80
85
80
+5
71avg 80
H09/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
102-95
102
95
+7
100avg 80
A12/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
110-95 OT
110
95
+15
no box
H18/10
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
95-92
95
92
+3
97avg 80
A23/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
70-104
70
104
-34
57avg 80
H30/10
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
86-97
86
97
-11
77avg 80
H06/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
87-97
87
97
-10
82avg 80
A19/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
84-91
84
91
-7
76avg 80
H27/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
20-9
20-20
21-22
22-16
16-31
20-12
20-18
18-14
24-22
22-23
21-21
24-32
28-32
22-12
28-19
19-24
17-18
29-17
21-27
26-18
23-28
20-27
26-19
18-26
18-20
16-25
18-33
13-24
36-23
20-25
17-25
27-23
17-29
24-17
19-28
18-20
23-23
23-20
20-28
177.9Avg total
87.8Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.993.9183.8-4.050%
Season at home (5)87.093.4180.4-6.440%
Season away (3)94.794.7189.3+0.067%
Last 10 (10)87.890.1177.9-2.360%
Last 5 (5)84.496.2180.6-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)85.894.0179.8-8.250%
vs Similar (12)87.186.2173.3+0.867%
vs Weaker (14)93.882.5176.3+11.371%
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -2.9-2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -2.9-2.9
OldenburgRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OldenburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#18
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H05/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H09/10
BBL
Wurzburg
#12
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A15/10
German Cup
Ulm
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H21/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A29/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A06/11
BBL
Gottingen
#7
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H20/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A25/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#5
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H04/12
German Cup
Bayern
#3
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A06/12
BBL
80.7Avg total
38.7Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.242.785.9+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.842.185.9+1.747%-
Last 30 away (15)42.643.285.8-0.653%-
Last 10 (10)38.742.080.7-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.443.082.4-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.840.882.5+1.025%-
vs Similar (11)43.044.987.9-1.936%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.841.485.1+2.471%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tubingen
#2
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H16/05
Pro A
Tubingen
#2
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A21/05
Pro A
Ulm
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H09/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A12/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H18/10
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A23/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H30/10
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H06/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A19/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H27/11
BBL
88.1Avg total
42.7Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.142.187.2+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.639.183.8+5.569%-
Last 30 away (14)45.645.591.1+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.745.488.1-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.846.890.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)44.848.293.0-3.550%-
vs Similar (12)42.842.385.2+0.550%-
vs Weaker (14)47.140.187.2+6.971%-
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oldenburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oldenburg: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.9
54.7%
54.4%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.710.5
34.2%
35.4%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.913.7
81.1%
75.8%13.7
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.0
53.0%
54.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.9
37.6%
35.4%26.6
🏀 Free throws25.419.9
78.1%
75.8%19.9
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/7 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oldenburg
LWWWWLWWLW
Rostock
LLLLWWWWWW
#5
League position
#8
+11.9
Net rating
-8.0
116.1
Offensive rating
112.1
104.2
Defensive rating
120.0
53.2%
Effective FG%
54.3%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
16.0%
Turnover %
17.0%
35.5%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.41
34.2%
3-point %
37.6%
61.8%
Assist %
64.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.1 · 112.1Defence104.2 · 120.0Shooting53.2% · 54.3%3-point %34.2% · 37.6%Ball care16.0% · 17.0%Off. rebounds35.5% · 26.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Oldenburg   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Oldenburg wins
0
Rostock wins
No previous meetings.
Oldenburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/22ABayern77-81
04/12/22HHeidelberg85-83
25/11/22ABasketball Braunschweig84-76
20/11/22HGottingen93-75
06/11/22AFrankfurt77-70
29/10/22AHeidelberg94-102 OT
21/10/22HUlm81-73
15/10/22AWurzburg91-87
09/10/22HAlba Berlin81-89
05/10/22HBayreuth76-72
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/22HHeidelberg84-91
19/11/22AWurzburg87-97
06/11/22HBamberg86-97
30/10/22HAlba Berlin70-104
23/10/22AGottingen95-92
18/10/22HBasketball Braunschweig110-95 OT
12/10/22ALudwigsburg102-95
09/10/22HUlm85-80
21/05/22ATubingen78-77
16/05/22HTubingen81-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oldenburg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game84.282.885.4
Allowed / game80.077.282.2
Point differential+4.2+5.5+3.2
Avg total164.2160.0167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Rostock
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %50%40%67%
Points / game89.987.094.7
Allowed / game93.993.494.7
Point differential-4.0-6.4+0.0
Avg total183.8180.4189.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %12%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin98189%91.382.1+9.2
2 Bayern98189%83.474.8+8.7
3 Bonn87188%90.474.9+15.5
4 Ludwigsburg97278%91.685.0+6.6
5 Oldenburg96367%84.280.0+4.2
6 Chemnitz74357%88.688.0+0.6
7 Hamburg84450%83.684.2-0.6
8 Gottingen84450%85.087.8-2.8
9 Rostock84450%89.993.9-4.0
10 Ulm94544%88.086.2+1.8
11 Wurzburg94544%86.387.7-1.3
12 Heidelberg94544%86.290.7-4.4
13 Bamberg83538%83.483.8-0.4
14 Crailsheim Merlins93633%86.992.0-5.1
15 Syntainics MBC82625%87.294.5-7.2
16 Bayreuth92722%79.684.8-5.2
17 Basketball Braunschweig92722%77.685.2-7.7
18 Frankfurt91811%76.884.3-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oldenburg3130162299
Rostock2919212190
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.