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Oldenburg vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 94-89
28-17 20-25 23-29 23-18
Position#8
Record2-1
FormLWWLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Position#15
Record1-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game101.5
Allowed / game99.0
GermanyBBLRound 4· Gro
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Oldenburg v Rostock
13 Feb 2027
OLD v ROS
upcoming
13 Apr 2026
OLD81
ROS79
13 May 2025
OLD95
ROS83
26 Apr 2025
OLD92
ROS79
20 Oct 2023
OLD94
ROS89
11 Dec 2022
OLD99
ROS90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oldenburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OldenburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOldenburg
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
102-74
102
74
+28
104avg 78
A05/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
88-76
88
76
+12
82avg 78
H07/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
80-90
80
90
-10
71avg 78
H16/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
72-73
72
73
-1
65avg 78
H18/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
72-86
72
86
-14
no box
A21/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
86-91
86
91
-5
79avg 78
A29/09
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
77-67
77
67
+10
68avg 78
H02/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
92-83
92
83
+9
78avg 78
A07/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
73-101
73
101
-28
60avg 78
A15/10
German Cup
Strasbourg
#11
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
73avg 78
H17/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-14
26-22
20-22
25-16
22-12
21-19
25-16
20-29
25-30
20-26
23-15
12-19
14-18
17-17
24-24
17-14
23-25
14-15
18-26
17-20
27-28
24-18
16-32
19-13
21-26
24-13
13-15
19-13
26-22
20-18
23-22
23-21
20-32
15-23
17-25
21-21
16-17
20-21
17-20
22-17
165.1Avg total
82.5Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.080.3165.3+4.767%
Season at home (1)77.067.0144.0+10.0100%
Season away (2)89.087.0176.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)82.582.6165.1-0.140%
Last 5 (5)82.285.4167.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.587.8168.3-7.333%
vs Similar (10)84.284.2168.4+0.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)88.881.0169.8+7.869%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Bayern
#3
L
76-108
76
108
-32
67avg 75
A26/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
99-70
99
70
+29
97avg 75
H30/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
86-116
86
116
-30
76avg 75
A05/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
no box
H07/05
BBL
Vechta
#5
L
76-84
76
84
-8
56avg 75
A23/09
German Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
81-85
81
85
-4
68avg 75
A29/09
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
122-113 OT
122
113
+9
no box
H01/10
BBL
Feniks 2010
#52
W
101-72
101
72
+29
103avg 75
A04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keravnos
#38
W
93-74
93
74
+19
96avg 75
H05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Larnaca
#22
L
76-78
76
78
-2
68avg 75
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-25
16-32
28-24
19-27
23-12
22-19
33-20
21-19
29-29
17-22
18-30
22-35
14-12
28-26
17-27
20-14
20-24
19-18
15-21
22-21
23-19
12-20
23-25
23-21
19-25
26-22
27-34
21-12
22-16
25-15
26-21
28-20
22-15
26-19
17-24
28-16
27-24
18-22
20-15
11-17
178.9Avg total
90.2Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)101.599.0200.5+2.550%
Season at home (1)122.0113.0235.0+9.0100%
Season away (1)81.085.0166.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)90.288.7178.9+1.550%
Last 5 (5)94.684.4179.0+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)77.391.1168.4-13.827%
vs Similar (11)84.185.5169.5-1.455%
vs Weaker (7)94.982.1177.0+12.771%
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.3+1.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.3+1.3
OldenburgRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OldenburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
57-36
57
36
+21
A05/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H07/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H16/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H18/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A21/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A29/09
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H02/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A07/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A15/10
German Cup
Strasbourg
#11
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H17/10
Champions League
84.2Avg total
42.6Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.442.384.7+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.540.984.4+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)41.343.785.1-2.447%-
Last 10 (10)42.641.684.2+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.643.686.2-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.846.786.5-6.833%-
vs Similar (10)40.241.581.7-1.330%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.840.085.8+5.885%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#3
L
29-57
29
57
-28
A26/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H30/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A05/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H07/05
BBL
Vechta
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A23/09
German Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A29/09
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H01/10
BBL
Feniks 2010
#52
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keravnos
#38
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Larnaca
#22
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
83.7Avg total
42.1Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.141.782.8-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.940.581.5+0.462%-
Last 30 away (17)41.242.683.8-1.435%-
Last 10 (10)42.141.683.7+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)44.039.483.4+4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.446.384.6-7.927%-
vs Similar (11)42.539.682.2+2.964%-
vs Weaker (7)43.437.781.1+5.757%-
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oldenburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oldenburg: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.617.9
48.9%
54.6%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.7
36.3%
35.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.116.6
78.7%
76.0%16.6
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.2
50.6%
54.6%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.810.9
42.2%
35.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws18.214.0
76.9%
76.0%14.0
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oldenburg
LLWWLLLLWW
Rostock
LWWWLLWLWL
#8
League position
#15
-0.1
Net rating
-3.2
109.6
Offensive rating
112.0
109.7
Defensive rating
115.2
51.3%
Effective FG%
55.9%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
19.4%
Turnover %
18.9%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.3%
3-point %
42.2%
57.6%
Assist %
63.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.6 · 112.0Defence109.7 · 115.2Shooting51.3% · 55.9%3-point %36.3% · 42.2%Ball care19.4% · 18.9%Off. rebounds34.1% · 28.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Oldenburg   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Oldenburg wins
0
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
05/02/23Rostock v Oldenburg73-80
11/12/22Oldenburg v Rostock99-90
Oldenburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/23HStrasbourg83-85 OT
15/10/23ABayern73-101
07/10/23AHeidelberg92-83
02/10/23HBayern77-67
29/09/23ABasketball Braunschweig86-91
21/05/23ALudwigsburg72-86
18/05/23HLudwigsburg72-73
16/05/23HLudwigsburg80-90
07/05/23HBayern88-76
05/05/23ASyntainics MBC102-74
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/23AAEK Larnaca76-78
05/10/23HKeravnos93-74
04/10/23AFeniks 2010101-72
01/10/23HHeidelberg122-113 OT
29/09/23ACrailsheim Merlins81-85
23/09/23AVechta76-84
07/05/23HLudwigsburg92-87 OT
05/05/23AUlm86-116
30/04/23HBayreuth99-70
26/04/23ABayern76-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oldenburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game85.077.089.0
Allowed / game80.367.087.0
Point differential+4.7+10.0+2.0
Avg total165.3144.0176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rostock
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game101.5122.081.0
Allowed / game99.0113.085.0
Point differential+2.5+9.0-4.0
Avg total200.5235.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %50%100%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vechta330100%96.076.7+19.3
2 Ulm330100%96.385.7+10.7
3 Gottingen110100%110.0104.0+6.0
4 Alba Berlin32167%96.085.3+10.7
5 Chemnitz32167%93.383.3+10.0
6 Oldenburg32167%85.080.3+4.7
7 Bayern32167%84.381.0+3.3
8 Basketball Braunschweig32167%85.783.0+2.7
9 Wurzburg21150%74.068.0+6.0
10 Ludwigsburg21150%78.573.5+5.0
11 Rostock21150%101.599.0+2.5
12 Bonn31233%85.081.7+3.3
13 Hamburg31233%74.785.7-11.0
14 Tubingen31233%81.392.7-11.3
15 Crailsheim Merlins31233%88.0100.3-12.3
16 Heidelberg3030%92.3101.3-9.0
17 Syntainics MBC3030%79.093.7-14.7
18 Bamberg2020%79.0105.0-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oldenburg2820232394
Rostock1725291889
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