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Rostock vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 70-104
18-26 18-20 16-25 18-33
Position#8
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game90.5
Rostock
Germany
vs
Alba Berlin 🏆
Germany
Position#2
Record4-0
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game77.2
GermanyBBLRound 5
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Rostock v Alba Berlin
02 May 2027
ROS v ABE
upcoming
26 Dec 2025
ROS66
ABE80
12 Feb 2025
ROS71
ABE78
10 Mar 2024
ROS75
ABE76
30 Oct 2022
ROS70
ABE104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Jena
#3
W
84-65
84
65
+19
no box
H05/05
Pro A
Jena
#3
L
87-97
87
97
-10
no box
A08/05
Pro A
Jena
#3
W
85-78
85
78
+7
no box
H10/05
Pro A
Jena
#3
W
77-76
77
76
+1
no box
A12/05
Pro A
Tubingen
#2
W
81-73
81
73
+8
no box
H16/05
Pro A
Tubingen
#2
W
78-77
78
77
+1
no box
A21/05
Pro A
Ulm
#4
W
85-80
85
80
+5
71avg 90
H09/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
102-95
102
95
+7
100avg 90
A12/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
110-95 OT
110
95
+15
no box
H18/10
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
95-92
95
92
+3
97avg 90
A23/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
24-20
21-14
18-19
23-29
23-20
17-19
24-29
24-12
20-19
22-26
19-21
25-19
18-16
17-17
17-24
20-22
20-9
20-20
21-22
22-16
16-31
20-12
20-18
18-14
24-22
22-23
21-21
24-32
28-32
22-12
28-19
19-24
17-18
29-17
21-27
26-18
23-28
20-27
26-19
171.2Avg total
88.4Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)98.090.5188.5+7.5100%
Season at home (2)97.587.5185.0+10.0100%
Season away (2)98.593.5192.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.482.8171.2+5.690%
Last 5 (5)94.087.8181.8+6.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)93.587.5181.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (12)88.386.6174.9+1.875%
vs Weaker (16)94.182.1176.2+12.075%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#15
W
81-78
81
78
+3
79avg 81
H28/09
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
90-80
90
80
+10
85avg 81
A02/10
BBL
Partizan
#6
W
100-84
100
84
+16
106avg 81
H07/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#5
W
89-81
89
81
+8
84avg 81
A09/10
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
80-74 OT
80
74
+6
no box
A14/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#10
W
98-95
98
95
+3
no box
H17/10
German Cup
Panathinaikos
#15
W
94-65
94
65
+29
94avg 81
H19/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
74-78
74
78
-4
68avg 81
A21/10
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#10
W
78-70
78
70
+8
80avg 81
H23/10
BBL
Valencia
#13
L
73-87
73
87
-14
70avg 81
A27/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
19-20
20-18
16-15
24-20
18-20
20-20
28-20
33-18
28-25
16-18
23-23
21-19
23-17
26-16
19-29
26-12
12-18
22-21
10-19
24-27
21-22
30-20
23-26
17-9
26-24
21-12
30-20
23-22
14-19
23-17
14-20
16-18
17-12
16-18
29-22
20-23
19-27
16-22
18-15
164.9Avg total
85.7Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.577.2161.8+7.2100%
Season at home (2)79.574.0153.5+5.5100%
Season away (2)89.580.5170.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.779.2164.9+6.580%
Last 5 (5)83.479.0162.4+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.081.0168.0+6.050%
vs Similar (3)82.375.3157.7+7.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)89.576.2165.8+13.396%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
RostockAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jena
#3
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H05/05
Pro A
Jena
#3
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A08/05
Pro A
Jena
#3
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H10/05
Pro A
Jena
#3
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A12/05
Pro A
Tubingen
#2
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H16/05
Pro A
Tubingen
#2
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A21/05
Pro A
Ulm
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H09/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A12/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H18/10
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A23/10
BBL
84.8Avg total
43.5Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.141.687.7+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.438.685.0+7.875%-
Last 30 away (14)45.944.990.8+0.957%-
Last 10 (10)43.541.384.8+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.447.090.4-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)47.050.097.0-3.050%-
vs Similar (12)44.243.287.4+1.158%-
vs Weaker (16)47.439.386.8+8.175%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#15
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H28/09
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A02/10
BBL
Partizan
#6
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H07/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#5
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A09/10
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A14/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#10
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H17/10
German Cup
Panathinaikos
#15
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H19/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A21/10
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#10
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H23/10
BBL
Valencia
#13
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A27/10
Euroleague
82.4Avg total
42.7Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.739.385.0+6.370%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.440.387.6+7.176%-
Last 30 away (13)43.538.181.5+5.462%-
Last 10 (10)42.739.782.4+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.680.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)49.042.091.0+7.050%-
vs Similar (3)40.037.777.7+2.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)46.138.985.0+7.275%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 92.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.7 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.022.3
54.5%
54.4%44.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.09.0
40.9%
35.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws25.321.0
82.9%
75.8%21.0
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.4
50.8%
54.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.8
37.7%
35.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws18.314.3
78.1%
75.8%14.3
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 30 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
WWWWWWWWLW
Alba Berlin
LWLWWWWWWW
#8
League position
#2
+5.6
Net rating
+5.3
119.8
Offensive rating
111.9
114.2
Defensive rating
106.6
56.9%
Effective FG%
53.1%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
16.5%
Turnover %
17.4%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.29
40.9%
3-point %
37.7%
62.8%
Assist %
78.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence119.8 · 111.9Defence114.2 · 106.6Shooting56.9% · 53.1%3-point %40.9% · 37.7%Ball care16.5% · 17.4%Off. rebounds30.6% · 31.2%Free throws0.40 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Rostock   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rostock wins
0
Alba Berlin wins
No previous meetings.
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/22AGottingen95-92
18/10/22HBasketball Braunschweig110-95 OT
12/10/22ALudwigsburg102-95
09/10/22HUlm85-80
21/05/22ATubingen78-77
16/05/22HTubingen81-73
12/05/22AJena77-76
10/05/22HJena85-78
08/05/22AJena87-97
05/05/22HJena84-65
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/22AValencia73-87
23/10/22HHeidelberg78-70
21/10/22AAnadolu Efes74-78
19/10/22HPanathinaikos94-65
17/10/22HBonn98-95
14/10/22AOlimpia Milano80-74 OT
09/10/22AOldenburg89-81
07/10/22HPartizan100-84
02/10/22ABamberg90-80
28/09/22HHamburg81-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game98.097.598.5
Allowed / game90.587.593.5
Point differential+7.5+10.0+5.0
Avg total188.5185.0192.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %25%50%0%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.579.589.5
Allowed / game77.274.080.5
Point differential+7.2+5.5+9.0
Avg total161.8153.5170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn440100%88.276.0+12.2
2 Rostock440100%98.090.5+7.5
3 Alba Berlin440100%84.577.2+7.2
4 Hamburg54180%84.275.6+8.6
5 Bayern54180%84.877.2+7.6
6 Ludwigsburg54180%91.283.6+7.6
7 Oldenburg53260%85.483.6+1.8
8 Gottingen42250%87.887.5+0.2
9 Heidelberg42250%87.890.5-2.8
10 Bayreuth52340%81.283.6-2.4
11 Wurzburg52340%89.093.0-4.0
12 Chemnitz31233%84.387.7-3.3
13 Syntainics MBC41325%89.295.2-6.0
14 Frankfurt51420%76.879.4-2.6
15 Ulm51420%81.083.8-2.8
16 Basketball Braunschweig51420%75.283.4-8.2
17 Crailsheim Merlins51420%79.489.0-9.6
18 Bamberg5050%76.485.2-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock1818161870
Alba Berlin26202533104
← all games of the day
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