PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Olimpia Milano vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 87-81
24-21 16-17 26-16 21-27
Position#2
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game65.0
Olimpia Milano 🏆
Italy
vs
Avellino
Italy
Position#3
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game83.0
ItalyLega ARound 2
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Avellino
20 May 2019
MIL76
AVE61
18 May 2019
MIL74
AVE82
28 Apr 2019
MIL85
AVE79
19 Nov 2017
MIL92
AVE94
09 Oct 2016
MIL87
AVE81
31 Jan 2016
MIL80
AVE81
20 Feb 2015
MIL60
AVE58
16 Feb 2015
MIL95
AVE78
29 Dec 2013
MIL94
AVE58
03 Feb 2013
MIL108
AVE57
30 Dec 2011
MIL90
AVE89
11 Feb 2011
MIL84
AVE92
12 Dec 2010
MIL90
AVE78
11 Apr 2010
MIL74
AVE63
18 Feb 2010
MIL55
AVE59
15 Mar 2009
MIL85
AVE71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Venezia
#5
W
68-60
68
60
+8
no box
A29/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
W
87-80
87
80
+7
no box
H03/06
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
W
94-73
94
73
+21
no box
H05/06
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
72-81
72
81
-9
no box
A07/06
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
A09/06
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
W
97-73
97
73
+24
no box
H11/06
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
W
74-70
74
70
+4
no box
A13/06
Lega A
Cremona
#4
W
109-87
109
87
+22
no box
H24/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Avellino
#2
W
90-72
90
72
+18
no box
A25/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
71-65
71
65
+6
103avg 103
A02/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
14-13
18-12
20-22
20-21
27-14
19-18
21-27
23-24
28-21
18-17
25-11
18-22
15-21
18-15
21-23
22-21
17-20
16-18
21-22
29-8
23-23
22-29
23-13
21-19
8-19
16-12
29-20
29-28
21-24
27-9
32-26
23-19
21-15
23-17
23-21
11-20
22-21
20-12
18-12
158.0Avg total
83.8Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)71.065.0136.0+6.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)71.065.0136.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.874.2158.0+9.680%
Last 5 (5)88.273.4161.6+14.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)76.087.5163.5-11.50%
vs Weaker (27)78.974.5153.4+4.374%
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAvellino
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#2
L
69-83
69
83
-14
no box
A18/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
78-86
78
86
-8
no box
A20/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
W
89-75
89
75
+14
no box
H22/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
W
97-54
97
54
+43
no box
H24/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
72-82
72
82
-10
no box
A26/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
W
83-74
83
74
+9
no box
H28/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
80-85
80
85
-5
no box
A30/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#3
W
74-72
74
72
+2
no box
H24/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
72-90
72
90
-18
no box
H25/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Torino
#12
W
86-83
86
83
+3
117avg 117
H02/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
13-23
13-22
20-20
22-21
18-20
18-25
20-20
19-22
22-15
25-15
23-23
30-10
16-13
29-14
22-17
13-18
25-21
12-18
22-25
21-17
14-18
25-19
23-20
17-24
19-18
19-19
25-24
19-22
21-19
11-17
23-14
19-23
15-21
17-23
21-23
26-24
24-16
17-23
19-20
158.4Avg total
80.0Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)86.083.0169.0+3.0100%
Season at home (1)86.083.0169.0+3.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.078.4158.4+1.650%
Last 5 (5)79.080.8159.8-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.086.0160.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)80.876.7157.5+4.167%
vs Weaker (11)86.377.8164.1+8.591%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
Olimpia MilanoAvellino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#5
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A29/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H03/06
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H05/06
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A07/06
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A09/06
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H11/06
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A13/06
Lega A
Cremona
#4
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H24/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Avellino
#2
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A25/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A02/10
Lega A
79.4Avg total
40.8Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.279.6+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.538.883.2+5.862%-
Last 30 away (14)35.639.875.4-4.229%-
Last 10 (10)40.838.679.4+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.639.280.8+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)42.046.588.5-4.50%-
vs Weaker (27)39.938.278.1+1.652%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A18/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A20/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H22/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H24/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A26/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H28/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A30/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H24/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H25/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Torino
#12
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H02/10
Lega A
77.9Avg total
39.6Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.237.879.9+4.463%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.436.179.5+7.476%-
Last 30 away (13)40.540.080.5+0.546%-
Last 10 (10)39.638.377.9+1.330%-
Last 5 (5)39.040.479.4-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.043.578.5-8.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.936.676.5+3.360%-
vs Weaker (11)46.637.984.5+8.782%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.0 pts a game · 8% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.016.0
44.4%
51.1%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.011.0
45.8%
35.7%33.0
🏀 Free throws12.06.0
50.0%
74.0%6.0
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀33%
🏀🏀🏀52%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers22.014.0
63.6%
51.1%28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.015.0
51.7%
35.7%45.0
🏀 Free throws20.013.0
65.0%
74.0%13.0
They take 51.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 57% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 09 Oct 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWWWWLLWWW
Avellino
WLWLWLWWLL
#2
League position
#3
+8.8
Net rating
+6.6
104.6
Offensive rating
113.6
95.7
Defensive rating
107.0
54.2%
Effective FG%
71.6%
44.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
26.8%
Turnover %
26.0%
45.7%
Off. rebound %
11.5%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.39
45.8%
3-point %
51.7%
51.9%
Assist %
89.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 113.6Defence95.7 · 107.0Shooting54.2% · 71.6%3-point %45.8% · 51.7%Ball care26.8% · 26.0%Off. rebounds45.7% · 11.5%Free throws0.20 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Avellino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Olimpia Milano wins
2
Avellino wins
DateGameScore
25/09/16Avellino v Olimpia Milano72-90
21/02/16Avellino v Olimpia Milano76-82
31/01/16Olimpia Milano v Avellino80-81
19/10/15Avellino v Olimpia Milano60-83
20/02/15Olimpia Milano v Avellino60-58
16/02/15Olimpia Milano v Avellino95-78
03/11/14Avellino v Olimpia Milano73-69
01/05/14Avellino v Olimpia Milano92-94 OT
29/12/13Olimpia Milano v Avellino94-58
03/02/13Olimpia Milano v Avellino108-57
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/16ACapo d'Orlando71-65
25/09/16AAvellino90-72
24/09/16HCremona109-87
13/06/16AReggiana74-70
11/06/16HReggiana97-73
09/06/16AReggiana76-81
07/06/16AReggiana72-81
05/06/16HReggiana94-73
03/06/16HReggiana87-80
29/05/16AVenezia68-60
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/16HTorino86-83
25/09/16HOlimpia Milano72-90
24/09/16HReggiana74-72
30/05/16AReggiana80-85
28/05/16HReggiana83-74
26/05/16AReggiana72-82
24/05/16HReggiana97-54
22/05/16HReggiana89-75
20/05/16AReggiana78-86
18/05/16AReggiana69-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game71.0-71.0
Allowed / game65.0-65.0
Point differential+6.0-+6.0
Avg total136.0-136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Avellino
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game86.086.0-
Allowed / game83.083.0-
Point differential+3.0+3.0-
Avg total169.0169.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cremona110100%87.067.0+20.0
2 Pesaro110100%76.063.0+13.0
3 Brindisi110100%69.061.0+8.0
4 Venezia110100%99.092.0+7.0
5 Olimpia Milano110100%71.065.0+6.0
6 Avellino110100%86.083.0+3.0
7 Caserta110100%78.075.0+3.0
8 Reggiana21150%80.579.0+1.5
9 Sassari21150%79.079.0+0.0
10 Torino1010%83.086.0-3.0
11 Capo d'Orlando1010%65.071.0-6.0
12 Varese1010%72.078.0-6.0
13 Cantu1010%92.099.0-7.0
14 Trento1010%61.069.0-8.0
15 Brescia1010%63.076.0-13.0
16 Pistoia1010%67.087.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2416262187
Avellino2117162781
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.