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Olimpia Milano vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Nov 2017
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 92-94 (OT)
17-23 13-17 20-18 27-19 15-17
Position#1
Record6-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game68.1
vs
Position#4
Record5-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game73.7
ItalyLega ARound 8
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Avellino
20 May 2019
MIL76
AVE61
18 May 2019
MIL74
AVE82
28 Apr 2019
MIL85
AVE79
19 Nov 2017
MIL92
AVE94
09 Oct 2016
MIL87
AVE81
31 Jan 2016
MIL80
AVE81
20 Feb 2015
MIL60
AVE58
16 Feb 2015
MIL95
AVE78
29 Dec 2013
MIL94
AVE58
03 Feb 2013
MIL108
AVE57
30 Dec 2011
MIL90
AVE89
11 Feb 2011
MIL84
AVE92
12 Dec 2010
MIL90
AVE78
11 Apr 2010
MIL74
AVE63
18 Feb 2010
MIL55
AVE59
15 Mar 2009
MIL85
AVE71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#14
W
93-73
93
73
+20
H22/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#3
L
90-100
90
100
-10
A24/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#12
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H26/10
Euroleague
Sassari
#6
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A29/10
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A02/11
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H05/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
L
62-94
62
94
-32
H09/11
Euroleague
Trento
#5
W
74-55
74
55
+19
A11/11
Lega A
Valencia
#11
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
A15/11
Euroleague
Bamberg
#13
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H17/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
19-21
33-20
24-16
28-30
26-24
20-27
16-19
17-22
22-17
15-14
24-21
18-21
18-22
17-25
16-22
14-18
15-21
13-21
26-19
13-15
26-20
15-20
18-9
20-25
11-25
10-20
21-24
21-24
15-10
20-10
18-11
19-20
22-25
17-19
16-10
13-16
14-19
16-16
28-11
156.9Avg total
78.0Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.168.1143.3+7.086%
Season at home (3)79.770.0149.7+9.7100%
Season away (4)71.866.8138.5+5.075%
Last 10 (10)78.078.9156.9-0.960%
Last 5 (5)76.474.6151.0+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.090.6170.6-10.620%
vs Similar ◀ (9)75.679.9155.4-4.333%
vs Weaker (15)81.473.7155.1+7.780%
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H14/10
Lega A
Nanterre
#15
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A18/10
Champions League
Pistoia
#13
W
86-71
86
71
+15
A22/10
Lega A
Oostende
#35
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H25/10
Champions League
Cantu
#9
W
86-71
86
71
+15
H28/10
Lega A
Zielona Gora
#36
L
79-90
79
90
-11
A31/10
Champions League
Brindisi
#14
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
A05/11
Lega A
Nymburk
#5
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H08/11
Champions League
Varese
#8
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H12/11
Lega A
Aris
#39
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A14/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
15-19
17-14
17-12
19-19
11-19
18-19
33-32
14-19
26-10
26-20
20-22
18-27
17-6
14-13
17-11
20-20
25-15
19-22
22-14
21-19
17-23
15-22
26-26
22-27
21-20
11-17
25-15
23-14
19-22
19-14
19-13
10-16
17-14
20-11
18-20
12-12
15-13
17-14
12-20
147.5Avg total
75.9Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)76.973.7150.6+3.171%
Season at home (4)72.264.2136.5+8.0100%
Season away (3)83.086.3169.3-3.333%
Last 10 (10)75.971.6147.5+4.360%
Last 5 (5)73.673.0146.6+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)77.877.4155.2+0.350%
vs Weaker (12)77.672.7150.2+4.975%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +2.4+2.4
Olimpia MilanoAvellino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#14
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H22/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#3
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A24/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#12
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H26/10
Euroleague
Sassari
#6
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A29/10
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A02/11
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H05/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H09/11
Euroleague
Trento
#5
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A11/11
Lega A
Valencia
#11
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A15/11
Euroleague
Bamberg
#13
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H17/11
Euroleague
77.9Avg total
36.8Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.638.577.1+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.438.677.1-0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)38.838.477.2+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)36.841.177.9-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)34.839.874.6-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.043.685.6-1.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)36.039.275.2-3.222%-
vs Weaker (15)39.037.276.2+1.867%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H14/10
Lega A
Nanterre
#15
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A18/10
Champions League
Pistoia
#13
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A22/10
Lega A
Oostende
#35
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H25/10
Champions League
Cantu
#9
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H28/10
Lega A
Zielona Gora
#36
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A31/10
Champions League
Brindisi
#14
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A05/11
Lega A
Nymburk
#5
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H08/11
Champions League
Varese
#8
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H12/11
Lega A
Aris
#39
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A14/11
Champions League
71.7Avg total
36.5Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.538.374.8-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.436.273.6+1.260%-
Last 30 away (15)35.640.576.1-4.920%-
Last 10 (10)36.535.271.7+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)35.436.071.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)36.140.376.4-4.222%-
vs Weaker (12)37.135.372.4+1.867%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.219.9
48.3%
51.6%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.96.9
33.0%
34.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws17.013.3
78.2%
73.0%13.3
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.719.3
55.6%
51.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.48.1
36.2%
34.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws17.713.5
76.3%
73.0%13.5
They take 57.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWWLWLLWLW
Avellino
LWWLLWWWLW
#1
League position
#4
-1.0
Net rating
+4.2
104.0
Offensive rating
108.1
105.0
Defensive rating
103.9
48.7%
Effective FG%
55.1%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
15.8%
Turnover %
20.9%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.0%
3-point %
36.2%
51.5%
Assist %
60.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 108.1Defence105.0 · 103.9Shooting48.7% · 55.1%3-point %33.0% · 36.2%Ball care15.8% · 20.9%Off. rebounds28.9% · 29.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Avellino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Olimpia Milano wins
3
Avellino wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/17HBamberg71-62
15/11/17AValencia103-98 OT
11/11/17ATrento74-55
09/11/17HZalgiris Kaunas62-94
05/11/17HVirtus Bologna72-64
02/11/17AMaccabi Tel Aviv68-79
29/10/17ASassari69-90
26/10/17HBarcelona78-74
24/10/17AReal Madrid90-100
22/10/17HBrindisi93-73
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/17AAris56-59
12/11/17HVarese65-61
08/11/17HNymburk80-63
05/11/17ABrindisi88-92 OT
31/10/17AZielona Gora79-90
28/10/17HCantu86-71
25/10/17HOostende66-57
22/10/17APistoia86-71
18/10/17ANanterre81-89
14/10/17HTorino72-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game75.179.771.8
Allowed / game68.170.066.8
Point differential+7.0+9.7+5.0
Avg total143.3149.7138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Avellino
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game76.972.283.0
Allowed / game73.764.286.3
Point differential+3.1+8.0-3.3
Avg total150.6136.5169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia880100%78.566.5+12.0
2 Venezia87188%85.581.2+4.2
3 Olimpia Milano76186%75.168.1+7.0
4 Torino76186%82.478.7+3.7
5 Avellino75271%76.973.7+3.1
6 Varese73443%76.070.7+5.3
7 Sassari73443%83.983.7+0.1
8 Cantu73443%83.687.1-3.6
9 Virtus Bologna83538%79.074.0+5.0
10 Cremona83538%79.581.2-1.8
11 Trento83538%74.477.1-2.8
12 Capo d'Orlando83538%66.274.4-8.1
13 Reggiana82625%73.975.0-1.1
14 Brindisi82625%75.880.8-5.0
15 Pesaro82625%75.581.9-6.4
16 Pistoia82625%72.682.5-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Olimpia Milano171320271592
Avellino231718191794
← all games of the day
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