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Olympiacos vs CSKA Moscow Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 88-86
23-20 22-28 19-20 24-18
Position#6
Record9-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game72.2
Olympiacos 🏆
vs
CSKA Moscow
Position#1
Record10-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game78.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 13
European cup2017
Meetings · Olympiacos v CSKA Moscow
25 Feb 2021
OLY74
CMO75
01 Mar 2019
OLY81
CMO97
20 Dec 2017
OLY88
CMO86
03 Nov 2016
OLY75
CMO81
08 Apr 2016
OLY96
CMO99
05 Feb 2015
OLY84
CMO76
18 Jan 2012
OLY78
CMO86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Moscow winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#2
W
90-83 OT
90
83
+7
no box
A15/11
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#14
W
85-59
85
59
+26
115avg 102
H17/11
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
72-54
72
54
+18
no box
A20/11
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
86-85
86
85
+1
108avg 102
A23/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#11
W
72-64
72
64
+8
103avg 102
A30/11
Euroleague
Koroivos
#13
W
97-76
97
76
+21
no box
H03/12
Basket League
Real Madrid
#3
W
92-83 OT
92
83
+9
no box
H08/12
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#5
L
62-66
62
66
-4
no box
A10/12
Basket League
Bamberg
#13
L
65-67
65
67
-2
92avg 102
A14/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#6
W
91-62
91
62
+29
no box
H17/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
12-23
27-13
18-22
22-13
25-24
20-12
18-10
26-17
14-13
15-17
17-7
17-21
29-21
20-20
20-23
20-13
15-17
19-15
18-19
21-21
24-18
34-19
18-18
18-8
16-22
22-17
16-25
12-22
25-17
13-12
12-15
14-15
26-17
18-18
7-17
19-7
16-19
25-17
31-19
151.1Avg total
81.2Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.672.2148.8+4.475%
Season at home (6)81.071.0152.0+10.083%
Season away (6)72.273.3145.5-1.267%
Last 10 (10)81.269.9151.1+11.380%
Last 5 (5)81.470.8152.2+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)83.379.0162.3+4.367%
vs Similar (13)67.870.0137.8-2.254%
vs Weaker (14)80.863.1143.9+17.686%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoscow
Date
Competition
Valencia
#11
W
94-67
94
67
+27
122avg 114
H09/11
Euroleague
Parma Perm
#11
W
101-94
101
94
+7
no box
H12/11
VTB United League
Crvena zvezda
#14
W
85-59
85
59
+26
117avg 114
A15/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
93-95 OT
93
95
-2
no box
H17/11
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
89-80
89
80
+9
117avg 114
A24/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#12
W
92-78
92
78
+14
124avg 114
H01/12
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#12
W
108-100
108
100
+8
no box
H04/12
VTB United League
Bamberg
#13
W
92-76
92
76
+16
119avg 114
A07/12
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#2
W
88-75
88
75
+13
no box
A10/12
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
101-86
101
86
+15
no box
H15/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
23-19
30-16
21-13
23-33
28-27
26-14
24-20
22-10
22-17
21-7
20-25
16-27
25-19
22-15
20-22
27-16
19-23
17-26
26-15
24-24
20-15
22-19
26-20
26-25
21-23
27-30
34-22
22-20
20-19
28-20
22-17
23-22
22-19
16-14
27-20
21-20
28-14
23-23
29-29
175.3Avg total
94.3Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)90.178.4168.5+11.783%
Season at home (7)92.680.6173.1+12.086%
Season away (5)86.675.4162.0+11.280%
Last 10 (10)94.381.0175.3+13.390%
Last 5 (5)96.283.0179.2+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.084.0161.0-7.00%
vs Similar (4)84.280.5164.8+3.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)92.676.7169.3+15.9100%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +4.6+4.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +4.6+4.6
OlympiacosCSKA Moscow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A15/11
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#14
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H17/11
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A20/11
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A23/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#11
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A30/11
Euroleague
Koroivos
#13
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H03/12
Basket League
Real Madrid
#3
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H08/12
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#5
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A10/12
Basket League
Bamberg
#13
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A14/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#6
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H17/12
Basket League
73.4Avg total
38.9Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.433.871.1+3.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.733.771.4+3.973%-
Last 30 away (15)37.133.870.9+3.360%-
Last 10 (10)38.934.573.4+4.480%-
Last 5 (5)38.233.271.4+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)34.735.370.0-0.767%-
vs Similar (13)34.835.269.9-0.454%-
vs Weaker (14)40.432.172.5+8.279%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#11
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H09/11
Euroleague
Parma Perm
#11
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H12/11
VTB United League
Crvena zvezda
#14
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A15/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H17/11
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A24/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#12
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H01/12
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#12
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H04/12
VTB United League
Bamberg
#13
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A07/12
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A10/12
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H15/12
Euroleague
86.3Avg total
45.2Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.239.286.4+8.083%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.141.588.5+5.676%-
Last 30 away (13)47.536.283.7+11.292%-
Last 10 (10)45.241.186.3+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)45.440.285.6+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.040.087.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (4)41.241.282.5+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)48.238.887.0+9.488%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.518.9
50.4%
51.7%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.17.0
33.2%
37.6%21.0
🏀 Free throws18.813.9
73.9%
76.3%13.9
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.022.6
55.1%
51.7%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.49.2
43.0%
37.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.715.7
79.7%
76.3%15.7
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
WLLWWWWWWW
CSKA Moscow
WWWWWWLWWW
#6
League position
#1
+5.3
Net rating
+18.5
104.5
Offensive rating
123.0
99.1
Defensive rating
104.5
50.2%
Effective FG%
58.3%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
17.3%
Turnover %
15.8%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.2%
3-point %
43.0%
57.5%
Assist %
56.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 123.0Defence99.1 · 104.5Shooting50.2% · 58.3%3-point %33.2% · 43.0%Ball care17.3% · 15.8%Off. rebounds28.2% · 32.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 90%
■ Olympiacos   ■ CSKA Moscow
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Olympiacos wins
5
CSKA Moscow wins
DateGameScore
19/05/17CSKA Moscow v Olympiacos78-82
07/04/17CSKA Moscow v Olympiacos90-86
03/11/16Olympiacos v CSKA Moscow75-81
08/04/16Olympiacos v CSKA Moscow96-99
12/02/16CSKA Moscow v Olympiacos92-85
15/05/15CSKA Moscow v Olympiacos68-70
03/04/15CSKA Moscow v Olympiacos76-70
05/02/15Olympiacos v CSKA Moscow84-76
10/05/13CSKA Moscow v Olympiacos52-69
13/05/12CSKA Moscow v Olympiacos61-62
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/17HLavrio91-62
14/12/17ABamberg65-67
10/12/17AAEK Athens62-66
08/12/17HReal Madrid92-83 OT
03/12/17HKoroivos97-76
30/11/17AValencia72-64
23/11/17AOlimpia Milano86-85
20/11/17AKolossos Rhodes72-54
17/11/17HCrvena zvezda85-59
15/11/17AFenerbahce90-83 OT
CSKA Moscowlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/17HMaccabi Tel Aviv101-86
10/12/17AUnics Kazan88-75
07/12/17ABamberg92-76
04/12/17HBC Kalev/Cramo108-100
01/12/17HBarcelona92-78
24/11/17AUnicaja89-80
17/11/17HFenerbahce93-95 OT
15/11/17ACrvena zvezda85-59
12/11/17HParma Perm101-94
09/11/17HValencia94-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%83%67%
Points / game76.681.072.2
Allowed / game72.271.073.3
Point differential+4.4+10.0-1.2
Avg total148.8152.0145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %17%17%17%
CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %83%86%80%
Points / game90.192.686.6
Allowed / game78.480.675.4
Point differential+11.7+12.0+11.2
Avg total168.5173.1162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%57%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1210283%90.178.4+11.7
2 Olympiacos129375%76.672.2+4.4
3 Fenerbahce139469%81.073.1+7.9
4 Panathinaikos139469%79.577.1+2.4
5 Zalgiris Kaunas138562%82.582.3+0.2
6 Khimki M.138562%79.079.5-0.5
7 Real Madrid137654%85.280.4+4.8
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv137654%79.780.8-1.2
9 Baskonia126650%80.780.1+0.6
10 Bamberg136746%74.879.9-5.1
11 Crvena zvezda135838%76.482.0-5.6
12 Barcelona124833%80.678.7+1.9
13 Unicaja124833%74.781.2-6.5
14 Olimpia Milano123925%78.284.0-5.8
15 Valencia1331023%77.881.0-3.2
16 Anadolu Efes1331023%78.283.8-5.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos2322192488
CSKA Moscow2028201886
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