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Olympiacos vs CSKA Moscow Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 81-97
23-21 27-30 14-21 17-25
Position#6
Record12-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game76.7
Olympiacos
vs
CSKA Moscow 🏆
Position#1
Record18-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game80.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 24
European cup2018
Meetings · Olympiacos v CSKA Moscow
25 Feb 2021
OLY74
CMO75
01 Mar 2019
OLY81
CMO97
20 Dec 2017
OLY88
CMO86
03 Nov 2016
OLY75
CMO81
08 Apr 2016
OLY96
CMO99
05 Feb 2015
OLY84
CMO76
18 Jan 2012
OLY78
CMO86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Moscow winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#5
W
80-77
80
77
+3
no box
A13/01
Basket League
Khimki M.
#13
W
71-57
71
57
+14
102avg 105
H17/01
Euroleague
Holargos B.C.
#8
W
73-68 OT
73
68
+5
no box
A20/01
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#2
L
75-90
75
90
-15
99avg 105
A24/01
Euroleague
G.S. Kymis
#11
W
92-69
92
69
+23
no box
H27/01
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
L
55-76
55
76
-21
77avg 105
H31/01
Euroleague
Ifaistos Limnou
#7
W
73-53
73
53
+20
no box
A03/02
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
64-65
64
65
-1
86avg 105
A07/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#1
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
A13/02
Greek Cup
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
65-75
65
75
-10
90avg 105
A21/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
24-12
16-17
23-25
20-11
12-11
23-14
16-21
11-9
15-20
15-18
20-14
15-21
13-19
26-28
21-22
16-14
26-18
22-19
28-18
6-27
22-11
15-17
12-21
22-16
19-16
18-11
14-10
16-14
13-12
13-19
22-20
–
–
–
–
22-18
13-18
14-20
16-19
129.8Avg total
64.8Scored
65.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.776.7154.4+1.052%
Season at home (11)81.577.1158.6+4.573%
Season away (12)74.276.3150.5-2.233%
Last 10 (10)64.865.0129.8-0.250%
Last 5 (5)51.457.8109.2-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)67.074.4141.4-7.425%
vs Similar (7)72.171.1143.3+1.057%
vs Weaker (15)86.368.3154.6+18.193%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoscow
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
86-93
86
93
-7
no box
A20/01
VTB United League
Barcelona
#5
W
84-76
84
76
+8
111avg 114
A25/01
Euroleague
Minsk
#14
W
101-61
101
61
+40
no box
A27/01
VTB United League
Zielona Gora
#13
W
102-78
102
78
+24
no box
H30/01
VTB United League
Buducnost
#15
W
99-69
99
69
+30
134avg 114
H01/02
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
W
70-57
70
57
+13
no box
H03/02
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#3
W
82-78
82
78
+4
110avg 114
H08/02
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#2
L
68-71
68
71
-3
no box
A11/02
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#12
W
79-69
79
69
+10
no box
A15/02
VTB United League
Gran Canaria
#14
W
107-85
107
85
+22
136avg 114
H21/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-34
20-18
24-20
18-21
20-20
24-21
19-20
21-15
23-16
20-11
28-15
30-19
20-11
30-26
25-25
27-16
28-20
24-27
20-14
27-8
24-19
11-12
16-9
19-17
22-20
12-20
30-21
18-17
18-10
12-16
18-15
20-30
24-16
13-20
30-16
12-17
29-20
27-22
27-22
24-21
161.5Avg total
87.8Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)87.780.8168.4+6.978%
Season at home (11)88.578.6167.1+9.891%
Season away (12)86.982.8169.7+4.267%
Last 10 (10)87.873.7161.5+14.180%
Last 5 (5)81.272.0153.2+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)88.082.2170.2+5.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)89.077.2166.2+11.877%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +3.5+3.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +3.5+3.5
OlympiacosCSKA Moscow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#5
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A13/01
Basket League
Khimki M.
#13
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H17/01
Euroleague
Holargos B.C.
#8
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A20/01
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#2
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A24/01
Euroleague
G.S. Kymis
#11
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H27/01
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H31/01
Euroleague
Ifaistos Limnou
#7
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A03/02
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A07/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A21/02
Euroleague
65.8Avg total
33.6Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.936.176.0+3.866%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.937.381.2+6.573%-
Last 30 away (14)35.634.870.4+0.857%-
Last 10 (9)33.632.265.8+1.356%-
Last 5 (5)35.032.867.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.641.180.7-1.629%-
vs Similar (7)36.033.369.3+2.771%-
vs Weaker (15)41.835.176.9+6.780%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A20/01
VTB United League
Barcelona
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A25/01
Euroleague
Minsk
#14
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A27/01
VTB United League
Zielona Gora
#13
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H30/01
VTB United League
Buducnost
#15
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H01/02
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H03/02
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#3
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H08/02
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#2
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A11/02
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#12
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A15/02
VTB United League
Gran Canaria
#14
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H21/02
Euroleague
80.4Avg total
42.5Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.439.283.6+5.270%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.240.184.4+4.164%-
Last 30 away (16)44.638.483.0+6.175%-
Last 10 (10)42.537.980.4+4.680%-
Last 5 (5)38.435.073.4+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)44.042.886.8+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)44.538.783.2+5.873%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.917.5
50.1%
52.7%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.1
33.8%
37.0%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.412.4
75.6%
76.7%12.4
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.221.9
53.2%
52.7%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.78.0
38.6%
37.0%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.119.1
79.3%
76.7%19.1
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
LLLWLWLWWW
CSKA Moscow
WWLWWWWWWL
#6
League position
#1
-2.0
Net rating
+11.8
108.3
Offensive rating
122.5
110.3
Defensive rating
110.7
50.3%
Effective FG%
54.8%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
19.1%
Turnover %
17.4%
39.2%
Off. rebound %
41.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.39
33.8%
3-point %
38.6%
64.8%
Assist %
60.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 122.5Defence110.3 · 110.7Shooting50.3% · 54.8%3-point %33.8% · 38.6%Ball care19.1% · 17.4%Off. rebounds39.2% · 41.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Olympiacos   ■ CSKA Moscow
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Olympiacos wins
7
CSKA Moscow wins
DateGameScore
01/11/18CSKA Moscow v Olympiacos69-65
21/03/18CSKA Moscow v Olympiacos89-81
20/12/17Olympiacos v CSKA Moscow88-86
19/05/17CSKA Moscow v Olympiacos78-82
07/04/17CSKA Moscow v Olympiacos90-86
03/11/16Olympiacos v CSKA Moscow75-81
08/04/16Olympiacos v CSKA Moscow96-99
12/02/16CSKA Moscow v Olympiacos92-85
15/05/15CSKA Moscow v Olympiacos68-70
03/04/15CSKA Moscow v Olympiacos76-70
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/19AAnadolu Efes65-75
13/02/19APanathinaikos0-20
07/02/19AMaccabi Tel Aviv64-65
03/02/19AIfaistos Limnou73-53
31/01/19HBarcelona55-76
27/01/19HG.S. Kymis92-69
24/01/19AFenerbahce75-90
20/01/19AHolargos B.C.73-68 OT
17/01/19HKhimki M.71-57
13/01/19APromitheas80-77
CSKA Moscowlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/19HGran Canaria107-85
15/02/19AParma Perm79-69
11/02/19AUnics Kazan68-71
08/02/19HReal Madrid82-78
03/02/19HLokomotiv Kuban70-57
01/02/19HBuducnost99-69
30/01/19HZielona Gora102-78
27/01/19AMinsk101-61
25/01/19ABarcelona84-76
20/01/19AZenit Petersburg86-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL52%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %52%73%33%
Points / game77.781.574.2
Allowed / game76.777.176.3
Point differential+1.0+4.5-2.2
Avg total154.4158.6150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%36%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %4%9%0%
CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeLWWWW91%
AwayLLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %78%91%67%
Points / game87.788.586.9
Allowed / game80.878.682.8
Point differential+6.9+9.8+4.2
Avg total168.4167.1169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%45%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)100% (4)57% (7)
Overtime %4%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2421388%84.674.5+10.1
2 Real Madrid2318578%86.076.7+9.4
3 CSKA Moscow2318578%87.780.8+6.9
4 Anadolu Efes2415962%84.179.8+4.4
5 Barcelona2314961%78.276.0+2.3
6 Olimpia Milano24131154%87.586.0+1.5
7 Olympiacos23121152%77.776.7+1.0
8 Baskonia24121250%81.079.5+1.5
9 Bayern24121250%79.680.5-1.0
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv24111346%79.379.5-0.2
11 Panathinaikos24111346%78.979.9-1.0
12 Khimki M.2491538%78.480.0-1.6
13 Zalgiris Kaunas2491538%77.779.5-1.8
14 Buducnost2461825%74.684.6-10.0
15 Gran Canaria2461825%79.189.0-10.0
16 Darussafaka2432112%74.384.8-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos2327141781
CSKA Moscow2130212597
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