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Oostende vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 91-83
25-26 28-18 20-19 18-20
Position#2
Record11-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game76.7
vs
Position#12
Record7-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game81.4
EuropeBNXT League· Versluys Dome
Other2024-25
Meetings · Oostende v Leiden
10 Apr 2027
OOS v LEI
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
OOS76
LEI61
14 Dec 2024
OOS91
LEI83
10 Jun 2024
OOS85
LEI58
16 Mar 2024
OOS75
LEI68
13 Jun 2023
OOS80
LEI91
09 Jun 2023
OOS66
LEI79
08 Apr 2023
OOS81
LEI56
07 Jun 2022
OOS78
LEI88
27 Mar 2022
OOS78
LEI70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oostende winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OostendeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOostende
Date
Competition
Szczecin
#49
W
84-73
84
73
+11
76avg 80
A22/10
Champions League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
95-68
95
68
+27
87avg 80
H26/10
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
108-81
108
81
+27
109avg 80
H02/11
BNXT League
Szczecin
#49
W
67-55
67
55
+12
53avg 80
H05/11
Champions League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
91-77
91
77
+14
92avg 80
A09/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
84-72
84
72
+12
74avg 80
H16/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
91-77
91
77
+14
90avg 80
H29/11
BNXT League
Unicaja
#1
L
82-98
82
98
-16
71avg 80
A03/12
Champions League
Den Helder
#16
W
94-83
94
83
+11
84avg 80
H07/12
BNXT League
Croonen Lommel
#16
W
110-74
110
74
+36
no box
A10/12
Belgian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
24-23
19-12
23-21
24-17
16-16
31-12
24-23
33-27
25-17
30-20
20-17
17-13
22-13
12-17
16-12
23-21
28-18
25-17
15-21
22-13
29-20
10-24
23-15
29-16
24-21
18-14
20-26
21-33
20-20
25-25
16-20
21-20
22-22
24-23
27-18
32-20
30-13
26-19
22-22
166.4Avg total
90.6Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)89.676.7166.3+12.985%
Season at home (8)89.576.4165.9+13.188%
Season away (5)89.877.2167.0+12.680%
Last 10 (10)90.675.8166.4+14.890%
Last 5 (5)92.280.8173.0+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.390.0174.3-5.733%
vs Similar (5)77.878.6156.4-0.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)86.073.0158.9+13.086%
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#15
L
87-94
87
94
-7
77avg 68
H18/10
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
76-71
76
71
+5
70avg 68
A20/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
50-73
50
73
-23
34avg 68
H26/10
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
92-86
92
86
+6
93avg 68
H02/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
74-108
74
108
-34
66avg 68
A08/11
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
88-65
88
65
+23
87avg 68
A16/11
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
L
66-75
66
75
-9
49avg 68
H29/11
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
95-92 OT
95
92
+3
84avg 68
A01/12
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
69-81
69
81
-12
61avg 68
H07/12
BNXT League
Voorburg
#16
W
116-57
116
57
+59
no box
A11/12
DBL Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
33-26
20-24
15-24
21-14
21-15
18-19
16-23
12-15
17-18
12-18
9-22
30-20
20-21
14-25
28-20
21-24
17-27
25-24
11-33
19-13
24-14
31-21
14-17
15-17
21-13
16-25
14-20
11-20
21-18
21-22
28-21
8-19
24-23
18-24
19-15
28-14
37-12
23-16
28-15
161.5Avg total
81.3Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.481.4158.9-4.050%
Season at home (9)74.680.6155.1-6.033%
Season away (5)82.683.0165.6-0.480%
Last 10 (10)81.380.2161.5+1.150%
Last 5 (5)86.874.0160.8+12.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)68.184.6152.7-16.411%
vs Similar (9)81.480.7162.1+0.867%
vs Weaker (10)78.369.9148.2+8.490%
This opponent (Oostende) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.8-2.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.8-2.8
OostendeLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OostendeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Szczecin
#49
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A22/10
Champions League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H26/10
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H02/11
BNXT League
Szczecin
#49
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H05/11
Champions League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A09/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H16/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H29/11
BNXT League
Unicaja
#1
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A03/12
Champions League
Den Helder
#16
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H07/12
BNXT League
Croonen Lommel
#16
W
62-33
62
33
+29
A10/12
Belgian Cup
86.0Avg total
48.0Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.137.882.8+7.377%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.738.484.1+7.373%-
Last 30 away (15)44.537.181.6+7.380%-
Last 10 (10)48.038.086.0+10.090%-
Last 5 (5)50.039.689.6+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.047.789.7-5.70%-
vs Similar (5)42.437.880.2+4.680%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)45.336.681.9+8.886%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#15
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H18/10
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A20/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H26/10
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H02/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A08/11
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A16/11
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H29/11
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A01/12
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H07/12
BNXT League
Voorburg
#16
W
65-26
65
26
+39
A11/12
DBL Cup
78.2Avg total
41.9Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.036.775.6+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.236.878.0+4.465%-
Last 30 away (13)36.136.572.5-0.431%-
Last 10 (10)41.936.378.2+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.632.674.2+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.642.678.1-7.011%-
vs Similar (9)39.137.876.9+1.356%-
vs Weaker (10)38.133.571.6+4.670%-
This opponent (Oostende) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oostendetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oostende: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.7
55.9%
52.6%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.2
36.0%
34.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws26.919.0
70.6%
71.9%19.0
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.4
53.1%
52.6%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.9
33.3%
34.1%26.7
🏀 Free throws14.39.5
66.4%
71.9%9.5
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oostende
WWLWWWWWWW
Leiden
WLWLWLWLWL
#2
League position
#12
+14.0
Net rating
-3.9
115.1
Offensive rating
101.2
101.1
Defensive rating
105.1
55.2%
Effective FG%
51.8%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
15.2%
Turnover %
18.4%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.0%
3-point %
33.3%
59.2%
Assist %
63.1%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.1 · 101.2Defence101.1 · 105.1Shooting55.2% · 51.8%3-point %36.0% · 33.3%Ball care15.2% · 18.4%Off. rebounds27.7% · 25.1%Free throws0.44 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Oostende   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Oostende wins
4
Leiden wins
DateGameScore
12/06/24Leiden v Oostende66-79
10/06/24Oostende v Leiden85-58
01/05/24Leiden v Oostende68-86
16/03/24Oostende v Leiden75-68
13/06/23Oostende v Leiden80-91
11/06/23Leiden v Oostende63-76
09/06/23Oostende v Leiden66-79
08/04/23Oostende v Leiden81-56
18/03/23Leiden v Oostende80-75
07/06/22Oostende v Leiden78-88
Oostendelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/24ACroonen Lommel110-74
07/12/24HDen Helder94-83
03/12/24AUnicaja82-98
29/11/24HBelfius Mons91-77
16/11/24HLimburg84-72
09/11/24ALeuven Bears91-77
05/11/24HSzczecin67-55
02/11/24HZwolle108-81
26/10/24HDonar Groningen95-68
22/10/24ASzczecin84-73
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/24AVoorburg116-57
07/12/24HMechelen69-81
01/12/24ALWD Basket95-92 OT
29/11/24HDen Helder66-75
16/11/24ABAL Weert88-65
08/11/24AKortrijk74-108
02/11/24HFeyenoord92-86
26/10/24HSpirou Charleroi50-73
20/10/24AQSTA Utd76-71
18/10/24HZwolle87-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oostende
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW85%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %85%88%80%
Points / game89.689.589.8
Allowed / game76.776.477.2
Point differential+12.9+13.1+12.6
Avg total166.3165.9167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%75%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leiden
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %50%33%80%
Points / game77.474.682.6
Allowed / game81.480.683.0
Point differential-4.0-6.0-0.4
Avg total158.9155.1165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%11%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %14%0%40%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende1311285%89.676.7+12.9
2 Kortrijk1310377%97.881.1+16.8
3 Limburg1310377%83.773.8+9.8
4 Mechelen149564%79.974.9+5.1
5 Antwerp Giants138562%79.677.5+2.1
6 LWD Basket138562%83.481.9+1.5
7 Circus Brussels138562%77.277.4-0.2
8 Spirou Charleroi137654%81.074.6+6.4
9 Belfius Mons147750%79.178.8+0.4
10 Leiden147750%77.481.4-4.0
11 Leuven Bears136746%76.573.0+3.5
12 Okapi Aalst136746%80.978.3+2.6
13 Zwolle136746%83.686.6-3.0
14 Den Bosch125742%80.884.8-4.0
15 Feyenoord125742%81.188.1-7.0
16 Den Helder1551033%71.782.2-10.5
17 Donar Groningen123925%73.980.8-6.8
18 BAL Weert1321115%72.286.7-14.5
19 QSTA Utd1421214%77.988.1-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oostende2528201891
Leiden2618192083
← all games of the day
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