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QSTA Utd vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 71-76
14-21 15-21 19-18 23-16
Position#19
Record1-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game89.4
vs
Leiden 🏆
Position#12
Record3-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game81.5
EuropeBNXT League· Sportcentrum De Schaapskooi
Other2024-25
Meetings · QSTA Utd v Leiden
05 Jan 2025
QSTA74
LEI75
20 Oct 2024
QSTA71
LEI76
16 Dec 2023
QSTA65
LEI81
10 Dec 2023
QSTA83
LEI79
21 Oct 2022
QSTA68
LEI79
17 Feb 2022
QSTA82
LEI88
07 Mar 2021
QSTA72
LEI87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

QSTA Utd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

QSTA UtdLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUtd
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#10
L
61-83
61
83
-22
50avg 61
A27/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
60-81
60
81
-21
52avg 61
H01/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
65-105
65
105
-40
44avg 61
A03/05
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
59-94
59
94
-35
53avg 61
A08/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#2
L
54-90
54
90
-36
43avg 61
H10/05
DBL
Feyenoord
#17
W
77-76
77
76
+1
62avg 61
A14/09
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
61-102
61
102
-41
43avg 61
H22/09
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
76-82
76
82
-6
70avg 61
A28/09
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
77-87
77
87
-10
65avg 61
H13/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
76-100
76
100
-24
62avg 61
A18/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
12-19
17-19
10-21
18-22
12-21
13-15
17-23
20-28
17-27
15-19
13-31
17-22
15-30
9-20
18-22
14-26
17-21
14-23
9-20
24-18
22-19
17-22
14-17
19-29
17-29
11-25
14-19
21-19
19-24
27-10
9-29
22-24
20-20
13-23
22-20
15-28
25-19
19-24
17-29
156.6Avg total
66.6Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)73.489.4162.8-16.020%
Season at home (2)69.094.5163.5-25.50%
Season away (3)76.386.0162.3-9.733%
Last 10 (10)66.690.0156.6-23.410%
Last 5 (5)73.489.4162.8-16.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)69.484.2153.6-14.818%
vs Similar (6)79.875.2155.0+4.767%
vs Weaker (1)74.077.0151.0-3.00%
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#2
W
92-81
92
81
+11
87avg 69
H04/06
DBL
Oostende
#1
L
58-85
58
85
-27
50avg 69
A10/06
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
66-79
66
79
-13
61avg 69
H12/06
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
W
87-58
87
58
+29
no box
H11/09
Supercup
Kortrijk
#1
L
84-86
84
86
-2
84avg 69
H14/09
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
80-79 OT
80
79
+1
66avg 69
A21/09
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
78-77
78
77
+1
72avg 69
H28/09
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
66-86
66
86
-20
46avg 69
H05/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
79-67
79
67
+12
76avg 69
H12/10
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
L
87-94
87
94
-7
77avg 69
H18/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
22-29
22-17
22-19
21-27
11-13
15-28
11-17
18-27
15-20
18-15
15-17
22-10
29-6
14-25
22-17
19-29
18-15
22-19
25-23
13-18
8-20
24-7
16-16
13-19
29-16
16-18
20-24
23-24
16-19
14-23
13-20
30-17
17-10
18-23
14-17
19-20
33-26
20-24
15-24
156.9Avg total
77.7Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.081.5160.5-2.550%
Season at home (5)78.882.0160.8-3.240%
Season away (1)80.079.0159.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.779.2156.9-1.550%
Last 5 (5)78.080.6158.6-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)68.184.7152.8-16.611%
vs Similar (12)78.573.7152.2+4.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)78.670.4149.0+8.288%
This opponent (QSTA Utd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -8.8-8.8Q4: -2.1-2.1
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -8.8-8.8Q4: -2.1-2.1
QSTA UtdLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
QSTA UtdLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#10
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A27/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H01/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A03/05
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A08/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#2
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H10/05
DBL
Feyenoord
#17
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A14/09
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
36-58
36
58
-22
H22/09
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A28/09
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H13/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A18/10
BNXT League
83.7Avg total
36.8Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.942.779.7-5.824%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.343.880.1-7.514%-
Last 30 away (15)37.541.779.3-4.233%-
Last 10 (10)36.846.983.7-10.110%-
Last 5 (5)40.845.886.6-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)37.044.481.4-7.518%-
vs Similar (6)37.536.574.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker (1)33.043.076.0-10.00%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H04/06
DBL
Oostende
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A10/06
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H12/06
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
W
51-16
51
16
+35
H11/09
Supercup
Kortrijk
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H14/09
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A21/09
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H28/09
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H05/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H12/10
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H18/10
BNXT League
78.3Avg total
40.2Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.537.475.9+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.836.477.2+4.467%-
Last 30 away (12)35.039.074.0-4.025%-
Last 10 (10)40.238.178.3+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.878.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.643.079.6-6.422%-
vs Similar (12)39.735.375.0+4.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)37.237.074.2+0.250%-
This opponent (QSTA Utd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
QSTA Utdtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

QSTA Utd: 65.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.118.3
48.0%
52.6%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.96.6
24.5%
34.1%19.8
🏀 Free throws12.59.0
72.0%
71.9%9.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 69.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.2
49.6%
52.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.66.8
33.0%
34.1%20.4
🏀 Free throws14.410.6
73.6%
71.9%10.6
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
QSTA Utd
LLLLWLLLLL
Leiden
LWLWWLWLLW
#19
League position
#12
-32.1
Net rating
-4.8
88.1
Offensive rating
103.9
120.2
Defensive rating
108.7
43.4%
Effective FG%
49.6%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
58.6%
18.9%
Turnover %
16.9%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.24
24.5%
3-point %
33.0%
53.4%
Assist %
62.3%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence88.1 · 103.9Defence120.2 · 108.7Shooting43.4% · 49.6%3-point %24.5% · 33.0%Ball care18.9% · 16.9%Off. rebounds26.0% · 30.1%Free throws0.19 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ QSTA Utd   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
QSTA Utd wins
6
Leiden wins
DateGameScore
20/12/23Leiden v QSTA Utd64-74
16/12/23QSTA Utd v Leiden65-81
10/12/23QSTA Utd v Leiden83-79
30/09/23Leiden v QSTA Utd102-58
18/02/23Leiden v QSTA Utd72-80
21/10/22QSTA Utd v Leiden68-79
17/02/22QSTA Utd v Leiden82-88
26/09/21Leiden v QSTA Utd104-82
07/03/21QSTA Utd v Leiden72-87
QSTA Utdlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/24ALWD Basket76-100
13/10/24HSpirou Charleroi77-87
28/09/24AAntwerp Giants76-82
22/09/24HOostende61-102
14/09/24AFeyenoord77-76
10/05/24HDen Bosch54-90
08/05/24ADen Bosch59-94
03/05/24AKortrijk65-105
01/05/24HLeuven Bears60-81
27/04/24ABelfius Mons61-83
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/24HZwolle87-94
12/10/24HOkapi Aalst79-67
05/10/24HLimburg66-86
28/09/24HLeuven Bears78-77
21/09/24ADen Helder80-79 OT
14/09/24HKortrijk84-86
11/09/24HDen Bosch87-58
12/06/24HOostende66-79
10/06/24AOostende58-85
04/06/24HDen Bosch92-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

QSTA Utd
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game73.469.076.3
Allowed / game89.494.586.0
Point differential-16.0-25.5-9.7
Avg total162.8163.5162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leiden
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %50%40%100%
Points / game79.078.880.0
Allowed / game81.582.079.0
Point differential-2.5-3.2+1.0
Avg total160.5160.8159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %17%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Limburg65183%78.067.2+10.8
2 Kortrijk75271%93.480.0+13.4
3 Oostende75271%86.077.0+9.0
4 Circus Brussels75271%78.976.4+2.4
5 Leuven Bears64267%78.366.8+11.5
6 Zwolle64267%82.785.5-2.8
7 Spirou Charleroi53260%80.471.8+8.6
8 Belfius Mons74357%76.774.1+2.6
9 LWD Basket63350%81.382.2-0.8
10 Leiden63350%79.081.5-2.5
11 Den Helder73443%71.977.4-5.6
12 Mechelen52340%79.481.0-1.6
13 Antwerp Giants62433%73.576.0-2.5
14 Okapi Aalst62433%75.380.3-5.0
15 Donar Groningen62433%75.581.5-6.0
16 BAL Weert62433%75.283.5-8.3
17 Den Bosch51420%83.687.4-3.8
18 Feyenoord51420%74.485.4-11.0
19 QSTA Utd51420%73.489.4-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
QSTA Utd1415192371
Leiden2121181676
← all games of the day
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