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New Mexico State vs Liberty Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 54-64
29-24 25-40
Position#175
Record12-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game68.2
vs
Liberty 🏆
USA
Position#19
Record19-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game61.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · New Mexico State v Liberty
11 Feb 2026
NEW 75
LIBE77
13 Feb 2025
NEW 54
LIBE64
01 Feb 2024
NEW 79
LIBE73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liberty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H03/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
78-48
78
48
+30
H04/01
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
85-57
85
57
+28
A12/01
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A17/01
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A19/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
56-69
56
69
-13
H24/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
59-65
59
65
-6
H26/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A31/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
69-101
69
101
-32
A01/02
NCAA
UTEP
#163
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H09/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-30
37-41
44-19
34-29
38-25
47-32
28-26
31-26
31-34
29-34
34-24
22-45
29-29
30-36
35-26
26-31
34-42
35-59
24-28
39-38
131.9Avg total
66.5Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)71.068.2139.2+2.952%
Season at home (11)74.664.3138.9+10.464%
Season away (12)67.871.8139.5-4.042%
Last 10 (10)66.565.4131.9+1.150%
Last 5 (5)61.671.6133.2-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)66.676.3142.9-9.833%
vs Similar (12)66.970.7137.6-3.833%
vs Weaker (7)71.164.0135.1+7.171%
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H04/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A10/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A12/01
NCAA
UTEP
#163
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H17/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H19/01
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
82-59
82
59
+23
A25/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A31/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
61-72
61
72
-11
A01/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
77-53
77
53
+24
H07/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-25
31-38
35-33
41-35
34-27
40-52
31-31
39-41
34-31
34-29
43-27
39-32
38-28
38-40
38-32
23-40
39-23
38-30
33-29
31-32
137.6Avg total
72.1Scored
65.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.061.8138.8+15.379%
Season at home (16)79.960.0139.9+19.981%
Season away (8)71.265.2136.5+6.075%
Last 10 (10)72.165.5137.6+6.670%
Last 5 (5)72.062.6134.6+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)72.068.5140.5+3.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)75.462.9138.2+12.568%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: +8.1+8.12nd half2nd half: -4.1-4.12nd half: -1.5-1.5
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: +8.1+8.12nd half2nd half: -4.1-4.12nd half: -1.5-1.5
New Mexico StateLiberty
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H03/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
44-19
44
19
+25
H04/01
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A12/01
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A17/01
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A19/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H24/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H26/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A31/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A01/02
NCAA
UTEP
#163
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H09/02
NCAA
61.8Avg total
33.5Scored
28.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.930.464.3+3.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.827.162.9+8.764%-
Last 30 away (16)32.233.465.6-1.138%-
Last 10 (10)33.528.361.8+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)31.229.861.0+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.134.767.8-1.633%-
vs Similar (12)33.830.764.5+3.250%-
vs Weaker (7)33.128.361.4+4.957%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H04/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A10/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A12/01
NCAA
UTEP
#163
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H17/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H19/01
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A25/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A31/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A01/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H07/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H08/02
NCAA
65.3Avg total
36.7Scored
28.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.728.765.4+8.173%-
Last 30 at home (20)38.127.966.0+10.280%-
Last 30 away (10)34.030.264.2+3.860%-
Last 10 (10)36.728.665.3+8.190%-
Last 5 (5)38.227.866.0+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)32.530.563.0+2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)37.028.565.6+8.575%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
New Mexico State wins
2
Liberty wins
DateGameScore
19/01/25Liberty v New Mexico State68-60
01/03/24Liberty v New Mexico State83-58
02/02/24New Mexico State v Liberty79-73 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/25HUTEP63-66
01/02/25AWestern Kentucky69-101
31/01/25AMiddle Tenn. St.61-57
26/01/25HJacksonville State59-65
24/01/25HKennesaw State56-69
19/01/25ALiberty60-68
17/01/25AFlorida International59-52
12/01/25AUTEP85-57
04/01/25HLouisiana Tech78-48
03/01/25HSam Houston St.75-71
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HSam Houston St.64-61
07/02/25HLouisiana Tech77-53
01/02/25AJacksonville State61-72
31/01/25AKennesaw State76-68
25/01/25AFlorida International82-59
19/01/25HNew Mexico State68-60
17/01/25HUTEP70-72
12/01/25ALouisiana Tech74-79
10/01/25ASam Houston St.76-68
04/01/25HMiddle Tenn. St.73-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL52%
HomeWWLLL64%
AwayWWLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %52%64%42%
Points / game71.074.667.8
Allowed / game68.264.371.8
Point differential+2.9+10.4-4.0
Avg total139.2138.9139.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%36%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Liberty
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW79%
HomeWLWWW81%
AwayWLWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24168
Win %79%81%75%
Points / game77.079.971.2
Allowed / game61.860.065.2
Point differential+15.3+19.9+6.0
Avg total138.8139.9136.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%56%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %4%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2419579%77.061.8+15.3
2 UTEP2316770%72.968.4+4.5
3 Jacksonville State2517868%76.269.0+7.2
4 Louisiana Tech2517868%74.168.5+5.6
5 Middle Tenn. St.2416867%75.870.7+5.1
6 Kennesaw State25151060%77.672.9+4.7
7 Western Kentucky24141058%77.875.2+2.6
8 New Mexico State23121152%71.068.2+2.9
9 Delaware26121446%76.777.1-0.4
10 Sam Houston St.2591636%75.675.8-0.3
11 Missouri State2691735%69.571.4-2.0
12 Florida International2481633%72.172.7-0.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
New Mexico State292554
Liberty244064
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