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Liberty vs UTEP Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 81-60
36-26 45-34
Position#19
Record25-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game62.3
Liberty 🏆
USA
vs
Position#163
Record18-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game70.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Liberty v UTEP
17 Jan 2026
LIBE80
UTEP69
12 Mar 2025
LIBE81
UTEP60
16 Jan 2025
LIBE70
UTEP72
14 Mar 2024
LIBE57
UTEP66
02 Mar 2024
LIBE51
UTEP67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liberty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UTEP winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#92
L
61-72
61
72
-11
A01/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
77-53
77
53
+24
H07/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H08/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
64-54
64
54
+10
A14/02
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
76-69
76
69
+7
A16/02
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H22/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H28/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
80-85
80
85
-5
H02/03
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A07/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
90-61
90
61
+29
A08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
38-32
23-40
39-23
38-30
33-29
31-32
24-29
40-25
32-35
44-34
30-19
28-26
31-16
28-39
44-39
36-46
42-37
44-44
49-22
41-39
135.1Avg total
71.5Scored
63.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)76.262.3138.5+13.981%
Season at home (19)77.760.3137.9+17.479%
Season away (12)73.865.6139.4+8.283%
Last 10 (10)71.563.6135.1+7.980%
Last 5 (5)74.665.4140.0+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)62.058.0120.0+4.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)76.462.4138.9+14.079%
This opponent (UTEP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTEPUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico State
#175
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A09/02
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H14/02
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H16/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A21/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A22/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H28/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
75-76 OT
75
76
-1
H01/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
L
87-89
87
89
-2
A07/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
58-76
58
76
-18
A08/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H11/03
NCAA
1H
2H
28-24
38-39
37-37
40-26
35-32
34-44
33-47
40-36
29-39
36-34
23-40
50-40
33-31
33-35
44-42
43-47
22-34
36-42
36-30
43-35
146.6Avg total
72.2Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)72.970.4143.3+2.456%
Season at home (18)74.467.8142.3+6.672%
Season away (14)70.973.8144.6-2.936%
Last 10 (10)72.274.4146.6-2.230%
Last 5 (5)74.477.2151.6-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)70.871.0141.8-0.260%
vs Similar (18)72.174.1146.2-2.139%
vs Weaker (6)73.560.5134.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.1+8.11st half: -3.6-3.62nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: +1.5+1.5
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.1+8.11st half: -3.6-3.62nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: +1.5+1.5
LibertyUTEP
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#92
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A01/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H07/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H08/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A14/02
NCAA
UTEP
#163
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A16/02
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
30-19
30
19
+11
H22/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
31-16
31
16
+15
H28/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H02/03
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A07/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
49-22
49
22
+27
A08/03
NCAA
64.3Avg total
36.2Scored
28.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.427.564.9+9.980%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.826.164.9+12.789%-
Last 30 away (12)35.229.664.8+5.767%-
Last 10 (10)36.228.164.3+8.180%-
Last 5 (5)39.226.665.8+12.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)29.029.058.0+0.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)37.727.465.1+10.283%-
This opponent (UTEP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTEPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico State
#175
W
28-24
28
24
+4
A09/02
NCAA
Florida International
#330
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H14/02
NCAA
Liberty
#19
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H16/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A21/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A22/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H28/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H01/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A07/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A08/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H11/03
NCAA
67.6Avg total
32.0Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.931.666.5+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.129.565.6+6.676%-
Last 30 away (13)33.334.367.6-1.046%-
Last 10 (10)32.035.667.6-3.650%-
Last 5 (5)31.635.467.0-3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.030.666.6+5.480%-
vs Similar (18)32.934.167.0-1.150%-
vs Weaker (6)38.027.265.2+10.883%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Liberty wins
3
UTEP wins
DateGameScore
16/02/25UTEP v Liberty69-76
17/01/25Liberty v UTEP70-72
14/03/24Liberty v UTEP57-66
03/03/24Liberty v UTEP51-67
04/02/24UTEP v Liberty65-67
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25AWestern Kentucky90-61
07/03/25AMiddle Tenn. St.86-81
02/03/25HKennesaw State80-85
28/02/25HJacksonville State59-55
22/02/25HFlorida International58-45
16/02/25AUTEP76-69
14/02/25ANew Mexico State64-54
08/02/25HSam Houston St.64-61
07/02/25HLouisiana Tech77-53
01/02/25AJacksonville State61-72
UTEPlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/25HSam Houston St.79-65
08/03/25ALouisiana Tech58-76
07/03/25ASam Houston St.87-89
01/03/25HMiddle Tenn. St.75-76 OT
28/02/25HWestern Kentucky73-80
22/02/25AJacksonville State65-73
21/02/25AKennesaw State73-83
16/02/25HLiberty69-76
14/02/25HFlorida International77-63
09/02/25ANew Mexico State66-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liberty
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW81%
HomeWWWWL79%
AwayLWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311912
Win %81%79%83%
Points / game76.277.773.8
Allowed / game62.360.365.6
Point differential+13.9+17.4+8.2
Avg total138.5137.9139.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%53%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)43% (7)75% (4)
Overtime %3%5%0%
UTEP
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW56%
HomeWLLLW72%
AwayWLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321814
Win %56%72%36%
Points / game72.974.470.9
Allowed / game70.467.873.8
Point differential+2.4+6.6-2.9
Avg total143.3142.3144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%39%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)75% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty3125681%76.262.3+13.9
2 Middle Tenn. St.31211068%76.171.4+4.8
3 Jacksonville State31201165%74.568.7+5.7
4 Louisiana Tech31201165%73.868.1+5.7
5 Kennesaw State31181358%76.472.9+3.5
6 UTEP32181456%72.970.4+2.4
7 New Mexico State31171455%69.465.5+3.9
8 Western Kentucky32171553%74.874.8+0.1
9 Delaware36162044%77.277.9-0.6
10 Sam Houston St.32131941%75.376.0-0.7
11 Florida International32102231%69.772.3-2.7
12 Missouri State3292328%68.070.9-2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Liberty364581
UTEP263460
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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