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Oregon vs Minnesota Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 44-61
17-22 27-39
Position#293
Record9-16
FormLLLLW
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game74.9
vs
Position#235
Record11-14
FormLLWLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game68.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oregon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OregonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#104
L
62-72
62
72
-10
H09/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
55-90
55
90
-35
A14/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
71-81
71
81
-10
H17/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
52-68
52
68
-16
H21/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
57-72
57
72
-15
A25/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H29/01
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
66-84
66
84
-18
H02/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A07/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
74-92
74
92
-18
A10/02
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-34
33-38
30-42
25-48
41-40
30-41
26-28
26-40
19-34
38-38
22-36
35-37
26-35
40-49
34-36
30-32
30-36
44-56
38-32
45-40
141.3Avg total
64.1Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)72.274.9147.1-2.636%
Season at home (17)75.274.0149.2+1.247%
Season away (8)66.076.8142.8-10.812%
Last 10 (10)64.177.2141.3-13.110%
Last 5 (5)68.877.8146.6-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)69.375.7145.0-6.322%
vs Similar (11)78.071.1149.1+6.964%
vs Weaker (1)80.073.0153.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Minnesota) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinnesotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC
#153
L
69-70 OT
69
70
-1
H10/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H14/01
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A17/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
74-82 OT
74
82
-8
A20/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
57-76
57
76
-19
H24/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A29/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A01/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H05/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
62-67
62
67
-5
H08/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-35
33-28
35-28
40-50
34-34
33-43
28-31
39-36
36-30
21-46
35-17
28-50
31-41
44-36
32-21
44-52
33-32
29-35
26-39
31-30
141.1Avg total
67.5Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)71.068.9139.9+2.044%
Season at home (17)72.865.0137.8+7.859%
Season away (8)67.177.2144.4-10.112%
Last 10 (10)67.573.6141.1-6.110%
Last 5 (5)66.670.6137.2-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)67.774.4142.1-6.629%
vs Similar (9)68.971.0139.9-2.133%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)76.357.7134.0+18.671%
This opponent (Oregon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -5.8-5.81st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: -7.3-7.32nd half: -6.4-6.4
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -5.8-5.81st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: -7.3-7.32nd half: -6.4-6.4
OregonMinnesota
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
OregonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#104
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H09/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A14/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H17/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H21/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
19-34
19
34
-15
A25/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
22-36
22
36
-14
H29/01
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H02/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A07/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A10/02
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H14/02
NCAA
64.8Avg total
29.5Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.335.170.4+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.933.470.4+3.553%-
Last 30 away (11)32.537.970.5-5.427%-
Last 10 (10)29.535.364.8-5.820%-
Last 5 (5)30.035.065.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)33.735.268.8-1.528%-
vs Similar (11)38.035.173.1+2.964%-
vs Weaker (1)36.033.069.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Minnesota) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinnesotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC
#153
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H10/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H14/01
NCAA
Illinois
#35
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A17/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A20/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H24/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
35-17
35
17
+18
A29/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A01/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H05/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H08/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A15/02
NCAA
62.8Avg total
32.0Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.130.463.4+2.747%-
Last 30 at home (20)33.929.263.1+4.760%-
Last 30 away (10)31.432.764.1-1.320%-
Last 10 (10)32.030.862.8+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)31.430.061.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)31.830.862.6+1.043%-
vs Similar (9)30.432.462.9-2.022%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)39.026.965.9+12.186%-
This opponent (Oregon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Oregon wins
1
Minnesota wins
DateGameScore
25/01/25Minnesota v Oregon77-69
Oregonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HPenn State83-72
10/02/26AIndiana74-92
07/02/26APurdue64-68
02/02/26HIowa66-84
29/01/26HUCLA57-73
25/01/26AWashington57-72
21/01/26HMichigan State52-68
17/01/26HMichigan71-81
14/01/26ANebraska55-90
09/01/26HOhio State62-72
Minnesotalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26AWashington57-69
08/02/26HMaryland62-67
05/02/26HMichigan State76-73
01/02/26APenn State75-77
29/01/26AWisconsin63-67
24/01/26HNebraska57-76
20/01/26AOhio State74-82 OT
17/01/26AIllinois67-77
14/01/26HWisconsin75-78
10/01/26HUSC69-70 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oregon
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW36%
HomeLLLLW47%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25178
Win %36%47%12%
Points / game72.275.266.0
Allowed / game74.974.076.8
Point differential-2.6+1.2-10.8
Avg total147.1149.2142.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%35%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%12%
Minnesota
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL44%
HomeLLLWL59%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25178
Win %44%59%12%
Points / game71.072.867.1
Allowed / game68.965.077.2
Point differential+2.0+7.8-10.1
Avg total139.9137.8144.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%35%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %12%12%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan2625196%90.668.8+21.8
2 Nebraska2622485%78.365.6+12.7
3 Illinois2621581%84.268.2+16.0
4 Purdue2621581%82.569.5+13.1
5 Michigan State2621581%78.966.4+12.5
6 Iowa2619773%76.264.4+11.8
7 USC2518772%81.375.8+5.4
8 Wisconsin2618869%83.176.0+7.1
9 Indiana2617965%80.371.3+9.0
10 Ohio State2617965%81.273.4+7.8
11 UCLA2617965%77.270.9+6.3
12 Washington26131350%76.872.4+4.4
13 Minnesota25111444%71.068.9+2.0
14 Penn State26111542%75.479.0-3.6
15 Rutgers25101540%70.075.6-5.6
16 Maryland25101540%71.478.2-6.8
17 Northwestern26101638%74.073.0+1.0
18 Oregon2591636%72.274.9-2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Oregon172744
Minnesota223961
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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