PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Oregon vs Michigan State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 52-68
26-28 26-40
Position#293
Record8-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game74.6
Oregon
USA
vs
Michigan State 🏆
USA
Position#29
Record16-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game64.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oregon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OregonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#73
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A06/12
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
W
104-62
104
62
+42
H13/12
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
94-69
94
69
+25
H18/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
82-91
82
91
-9
H21/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
80-57
80
57
+23
H29/12
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
64-54
64
54
+10
A03/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
85-88 OT
85
88
-3
A06/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
62-72
62
72
-10
H09/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
55-90
55
90
-35
A14/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
71-81
71
81
-10
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-44
32-30
52-16
52-46
51-41
43-28
39-42
43-49
39-29
41-28
34-27
30-27
45-37
31-39
29-34
33-38
30-42
25-48
41-40
30-41
149.8Avg total
76.0Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.274.6149.8+0.644%
Season at home (13)78.573.9152.4+4.554%
Season away (5)66.676.4143.0-9.820%
Last 10 (10)76.073.8149.8+2.240%
Last 5 (5)67.477.0144.4-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)73.276.2149.5-3.031%
vs Similar (14)77.671.4149.0+6.171%
vs Weaker (3)79.063.7142.7+15.3100%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#8
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H06/12
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
76-72
76
72
+4
A13/12
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
92-69
92
69
+23
H16/12
NCAA
Oakland
#212
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H20/12
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
114-97
114
97
+17
H30/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A03/01
NCAA
USC
#153
W
80-51
80
51
+29
H06/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H08/01
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
81-60
81
60
+21
H14/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
80-63
80
63
+17
A17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-31
26-35
36-39
40-33
58-28
34-41
39-36
40-34
55-53
59-44
33-33
23-25
33-17
47-34
28-35
48-31
39-32
42-28
39-31
41-32
146.6Avg total
79.4Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.164.2143.2+14.989%
Season at home (13)79.964.6144.5+15.392%
Season away (5)76.863.0139.8+13.880%
Last 10 (10)79.467.2146.6+12.280%
Last 5 (5)74.659.6134.2+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)60.066.0126.0-6.00%
vs Similar (11)70.062.6132.6+7.473%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)82.566.5149.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Oregon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +6.3+6.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +6.3+6.3
OregonMichigan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
OregonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#73
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A06/12
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
W
52-16
52
16
+36
H13/12
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H18/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H21/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H29/12
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A03/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A06/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H09/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A14/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H17/01
NCAA
74.3Avg total
39.1Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.935.072.9+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.033.172.1+5.968%-
Last 30 away (11)36.038.474.4-2.445%-
Last 10 (10)39.135.274.3+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)35.836.071.8-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.435.774.1+2.746%-
vs Similar (14)37.534.772.2+2.864%-
vs Weaker (3)37.733.371.0+4.3100%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#8
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H06/12
NCAA
Penn State
#298
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A13/12
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
58-28
58
28
+30
H16/12
NCAA
Oakland
#212
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H20/12
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H30/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A03/01
NCAA
USC
#153
W
33-17
33
17
+16
H06/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H08/01
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H14/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A17/01
NCAA
72.9Avg total
39.4Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.831.468.2+5.560%-
Last 30 at home (21)38.031.269.2+6.771%-
Last 30 away (9)34.231.765.9+2.633%-
Last 10 (10)39.433.572.9+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)34.429.664.0+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.031.065.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (11)31.130.761.8+0.436%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)40.531.872.3+8.772%-
This opponent (Oregon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Oregon wins
3
Michigan State wins
DateGameScore
14/03/25Michigan State v Oregon74-64
08/02/25Michigan State v Oregon86-74
26/11/22Michigan State v Oregon74-70
Oregonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HMichigan71-81
14/01/26ANebraska55-90
09/01/26HOhio State62-72
06/01/26ARutgers85-88 OT
03/01/26AMaryland64-54
29/12/25HNebraska O.80-57
21/12/25HGonzaga82-91
18/12/25HPortland94-69
13/12/25HUC Davis104-62
06/12/25AUCLA63-74
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26AWashington80-63
14/01/26HIndiana81-60
08/01/26HNorthwestern76-66
06/01/26HUSC80-51
03/01/26ANebraska56-58
30/12/25HCornell114-97
20/12/25HOakland79-70
16/12/25HToledo92-69
13/12/25APenn State76-72
06/12/25HDuke60-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oregon
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL44%
HomeWLWLL54%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18135
Win %44%54%20%
Points / game75.278.566.6
Allowed / game74.673.976.4
Point differential+0.6+4.5-9.8
Avg total149.8152.4143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %6%0%20%
Michigan State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18135
Win %89%92%80%
Points / game79.179.976.8
Allowed / game64.264.663.0
Point differential+14.9+15.3+13.8
Avg total143.2144.5139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+72%77%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nebraska18180100%81.465.3+16.1
2 Michigan1817194%92.769.0+23.7
3 Purdue1817194%85.168.1+17.0
4 Michigan State1816289%79.164.2+14.9
5 Illinois1815383%85.167.4+17.7
6 USC1814478%83.475.8+7.6
7 Iowa1914574%77.962.4+15.5
8 Ohio State1813572%83.272.2+11.1
9 Wisconsin1813572%83.575.7+7.8
10 UCLA1812667%78.269.5+8.7
11 Indiana1912763%81.169.9+11.2
12 Washington1810856%80.174.0+6.1
13 Minnesota1910953%72.868.1+4.7
14 Penn State189950%76.876.3+0.6
15 Rutgers1991047%70.374.1-3.8
16 Northwestern1881044%77.371.9+5.4
17 Oregon1881044%75.274.6+0.6
18 Maryland1881044%74.577.8-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Oregon262652
Michigan State284068
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.