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Orzinuovi vs Cividale Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 65-75
19-21 18-19 11-21 17-14
Position#14
Record16-21
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Position#5
Record22-15
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game78.8
ItalySerie A2Round 38· PalaBertocchi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Orzinuovi v Cividale
27 Apr 2025
ORZI65
CIVI75
08 Oct 2023
ORZI68
CIVI73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orzinuovi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cividale winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OrzinuoviItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOrzinuovi
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#9
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
100avg 73
H25/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
88-61
88
61
+27
84avg 73
A02/03
Serie A2
Udine
#1
W
83-79
83
79
+4
85avg 73
H09/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
71-79
71
79
-8
57avg 73
A14/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
75-71
75
71
+4
67avg 73
A19/03
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
73-88
73
88
-15
63avg 73
A23/03
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
76-71
76
71
+5
75avg 73
H30/03
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
88-63
88
63
+25
93avg 73
A05/04
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
91-73
91
73
+18
93avg 73
H13/04
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
L
83-103
83
103
-20
70avg 73
A19/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
26-30
22-17
9-12
20-20
28-15
17-13
23-13
25-19
22-13
17-18
19-29
13-29
27-15
16-18
15-17
19-17
18-23
19-18
19-13
22-19
17-33
19-20
15-16
18-10
18-23
24-19
16-19
23-19
14-14
25-15
26-15
18-26
28-10
18-21
27-16
15-31
15-20
28-25
25-27
161.7Avg total
83.1Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)78.280.5158.6-2.343%
Season at home (18)80.978.8159.7+2.161%
Season away (19)75.682.1157.7-6.426%
Last 10 (10)83.178.6161.7+4.570%
Last 5 (5)82.279.6161.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.078.0155.0-1.050%
vs Similar ◀ (21)78.181.0159.1-2.838%
vs Weaker (1)71.079.0150.0-8.00%
This opponent (Cividale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CividaleItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCividale
Date
Competition
Rimini
#3
L
73-80
73
80
-7
65avg 71
H15/02
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
85-81
85
81
+4
70avg 71
A26/02
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
97-76
97
76
+21
96avg 71
H02/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
84-100
84
100
-16
75avg 71
A09/03
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
74-83
74
83
-9
64avg 71
H19/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
54-56
54
56
-2
44avg 71
H22/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
79-71
79
71
+8
70avg 71
A30/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
86-79
86
79
+7
84avg 71
A06/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
95-96 OT
95
96
-1
82avg 71
H12/04
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
83-75
83
75
+8
80avg 71
H19/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
21-25
15-26
18-17
24-18
15-25
25-22
21-16
18-21
25-22
31-19
23-14
17-28
22-24
24-18
21-30
16-21
13-16
19-17
26-29
15-11
14-14
16-19
9-12
25-19
15-15
24-15
15-22
21-20
23-17
17-31
25-11
27-17
18-34
25-13
18-24
18-21
14-27
27-14
24-13
160.7Avg total
81.0Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)80.478.8159.2+1.659%
Season at home (19)82.277.4159.6+4.768%
Season away (18)78.680.2158.8-1.750%
Last 10 (10)81.079.7160.7+1.350%
Last 5 (5)79.475.4154.8+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.076.0142.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (22)80.178.6158.7+1.555%
vs Weaker (7)84.479.9164.3+4.671%
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +1.2+1.2
OrzinuoviCividale
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OrzinuoviLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#9
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H25/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A02/03
Serie A2
Udine
#1
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H09/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A14/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A19/03
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A23/03
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H30/03
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A05/04
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H13/04
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A19/04
Serie A2
81.0Avg total
40.6Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.779.1-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.437.079.4+5.464%-
Last 30 away (16)36.942.178.9-5.219%-
Last 10 (10)40.640.481.0+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.641.078.6-3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.639.478.0-0.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)39.739.679.3+0.143%-
vs Weaker (1)40.044.084.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Cividale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CividaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H15/02
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A26/02
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H02/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A09/03
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H19/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H22/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A30/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A06/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H12/04
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H19/04
Serie A2
78.7Avg total
38.0Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.839.177.9-0.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.740.380.0-0.753%-
Last 30 away (15)37.937.975.8+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)38.040.778.7-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.077.0-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.044.085.0-3.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)38.038.476.4-0.459%-
vs Weaker (7)41.040.781.7+0.343%-
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orzinuovitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orzinuovi: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.317.7
48.8%
50.1%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.310.5
39.9%
34.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws19.515.0
76.9%
74.4%15.0
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cividaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cividale: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.817.7
49.4%
50.1%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.2
37.4%
34.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws17.914.4
80.4%
74.4%14.4
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orzinuovi
LWWWLWLWWW
Cividale
WLWWLLLWWL
#14
League position
#5
+5.6
Net rating
+2.4
112.3
Offensive rating
111.4
106.7
Defensive rating
109.1
53.4%
Effective FG%
52.3%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
16.0%
Turnover %
16.5%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
39.9%
3-point %
37.4%
67.0%
Assist %
52.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 111.4Defence106.7 · 109.1Shooting53.4% · 52.3%3-point %39.9% · 37.4%Ball care16.0% · 16.5%Off. rebounds28.0% · 30.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Orzinuovi   ■ Cividale
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Orzinuovi wins
1
Cividale wins
DateGameScore
21/12/24Cividale v Orzinuovi87-89
06/12/23Cividale v Orzinuovi71-75
08/10/23Orzinuovi v Cividale68-73
Orzinuovilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/25ANardo83-103
13/04/25HSebastiani Rieti91-73
05/04/25AUrania Milano88-63
30/03/25HCento76-71
23/03/25AVerona73-88
19/03/25AVigevano75-71
14/03/25AAssigeco Piacenza71-79
09/03/25HUdine83-79
02/03/25ARimini88-61
25/02/25HPesaro103-98 OT
Cividalelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/25HCento83-75
12/04/25HUrania Milano95-96 OT
06/04/25AFortitudo Bologna86-79
30/03/25ABrindisi79-71
22/03/25HBasket Torino54-56
19/03/25HVerona74-83
09/03/25AVigevano84-100
02/03/25HAssigeco Piacenza97-76
26/02/25AAvellino Basket85-81
15/02/25HRimini73-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orzinuovi
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL43%
HomeLWWWW61%
AwayLWLWL26%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %43%61%26%
Points / game78.280.975.6
Allowed / game80.578.882.1
Point differential-2.3+2.1-6.4
Avg total158.6159.7157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%17%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)56% (9)43% (7)
Overtime %11%17%5%
Cividale
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW59%
HomeWLLLW68%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %59%68%50%
Points / game80.482.278.6
Allowed / game78.877.480.2
Point differential+1.6+4.7-1.7
Avg total159.2159.6158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%26%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (15)50% (8)71% (7)
Overtime %11%11%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine3729878%83.475.2+8.2
2 Rimini37261170%82.177.9+4.2
3 Cantu37241365%78.273.8+4.4
4 Forli37231462%77.775.4+2.2
5 Cividale37221559%80.478.8+1.6
6 Sebastiani Rieti37221559%75.574.2+1.3
7 Verona37211657%77.674.5+3.2
8 Fortitudo Bologna37201754%75.573.9+1.6
9 Basket Torino37201754%77.075.9+1.1
10 Urania Milano37201754%76.777.3-0.6
11 Pesaro37191851%82.080.4+1.6
12 Brindisi37191851%76.876.1+0.7
13 Avellino Basket37191851%79.479.9-0.6
14 Orzinuovi37162143%78.280.5-2.3
15 Cento37142338%73.577.5-4.0
16 Libertas Livorno37132435%76.077.9-1.9
17 JuVi Cremona37132435%80.882.8-2.0
18 Vigevano37122532%75.781.2-5.5
19 Nardo37112630%75.481.8-6.4
20 Assigeco Piacenza3773019%76.583.2-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orzinuovi1918111765
Cividale2119211475
← all games of the day
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