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Orzinuovi vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 103-98 (OT)
20-18 26-30 22-17 9-12 26-21
Position#14
Record9-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Position#9
Record17-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game78.7
ItalySerie A2Round 30· PalaBertocchi
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orzinuovi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OrzinuoviItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOrzinuovi
Date
Competition
Udine
#1
L
65-82
65
82
-17
60avg 71
A29/12
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
81-84
81
84
-3
70avg 71
H05/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
67-85
67
85
-18
59avg 71
A12/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
71-83
71
83
-12
63avg 71
H15/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
69-96
69
96
-27
54avg 71
A19/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
88-89
88
89
-1
92avg 71
H26/01
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
57-88
57
88
-31
45avg 71
A29/01
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
75-80
75
80
-5
72avg 71
H02/02
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
78-89
78
89
-11
62avg 71
A09/02
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
57-61
57
61
-4
53avg 71
H16/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
17-21
15-21
21-22
28-15
16-12
19-27
18-30
11-21
21-21
23-23
12-20
12-24
24-16
18-22
17-21
17-30
17-18
20-19
15-29
21-30
22-20
28-17
17-22
16-12
15-26
10-29
16-21
23-19
21-26
17-16
14-19
24-16
18-28
22-31
14-14
14-13
18-14
18-14
7-20
154.5Avg total
70.8Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.481.1157.5-4.833%
Season at home (14)78.878.4157.1+0.450%
Season away (13)73.884.2157.9-10.415%
Last 10 (10)70.883.7154.5-12.90%
Last 5 (5)71.081.4152.4-10.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)71.278.7149.8-7.533%
vs Similar (22)77.582.0159.5-4.427%
vs Weaker (2)89.078.5167.5+10.5100%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
L
86-97
86
97
-11
74avg 74
A05/01
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
86-79
86
79
+7
81avg 74
H12/01
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
93-82
93
82
+11
84avg 74
A15/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
97-70
97
70
+27
98avg 74
H19/01
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
84-70
84
70
+14
78avg 74
H26/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
80-82
80
82
-2
68avg 74
A29/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
118-86
118
86
+32
113avg 74
H02/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
91-77
91
77
+14
94avg 74
H08/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
71-70
71
70
+1
61avg 74
A16/02
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
97-76
97
76
+21
96avg 74
A19/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
20-31
24-22
15-23
28-17
18-22
20-18
20-22
27-28
30-22
20-16
16-16
27-21
25-13
23-11
22-25
25-17
13-30
28-13
18-10
17-24
16-21
23-18
24-19
29-22
34-18
30-25
25-21
18-17
27-17
19-27
27-16
19-16
21-18
15-21
16-15
23-29
25-16
26-14
23-17
169.2Avg total
90.3Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.878.7160.5+3.161%
Season at home (15)85.174.9160.0+10.180%
Season away (13)78.083.1161.1-5.138%
Last 10 (10)90.378.9169.2+11.480%
Last 5 (5)91.478.2169.6+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)80.786.7167.3-6.033%
vs Similar (18)80.680.6161.2+0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)85.274.6159.8+10.789%
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -6.7-6.7Q4: +2.2+2.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -6.7-6.7Q4: +2.2+2.2
OrzinuoviPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OrzinuoviLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Udine
#1
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A29/12
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H05/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A12/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H15/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A19/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H26/01
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A29/01
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H02/02
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A09/02
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H16/02
Serie A2
76.7Avg total
36.7Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.840.581.4+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.338.983.2+5.560%-
Last 30 away (15)37.342.279.5-4.927%-
Last 10 (10)36.740.076.7-3.320%-
Last 5 (5)38.440.879.2-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.241.878.0-5.717%-
vs Similar (22)41.040.481.4+0.645%-
vs Weaker (2)53.038.091.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A05/01
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H12/01
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A15/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H19/01
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H26/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A29/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
63-40
63
40
+23
H02/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H08/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A16/02
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A19/02
Serie A2
88.9Avg total
46.9Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.382.9+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.140.583.6+2.656%-
Last 30 away (14)39.942.182.0-2.350%-
Last 10 (10)46.942.088.9+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)45.839.685.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.741.083.7+1.767%-
vs Similar (18)39.741.881.5-2.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.040.385.3+4.767%-
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orzinuovitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orzinuovi: 69.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.216.9
48.0%
50.1%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.1
30.2%
34.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws19.214.7
76.6%
74.4%14.7
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.818.3
57.5%
50.1%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.412.5
41.1%
34.6%37.5
🏀 Free throws18.414.9
81.0%
74.4%14.9
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orzinuovi
LLLLLLLLLL
Pesaro
WWWWLWWWWL
#14
League position
#9
-17.7
Net rating
+14.8
96.0
Offensive rating
120.8
113.7
Defensive rating
106.0
46.9%
Effective FG%
59.6%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
18.5%
Turnover %
15.0%
23.0%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.2%
3-point %
41.1%
62.5%
Assist %
60.4%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence96.0 · 120.8Defence113.7 · 106.0Shooting46.9% · 59.6%3-point %30.2% · 41.1%Ball care18.5% · 15.0%Off. rebounds23.0% · 24.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)0% · 80%
■ Orzinuovi   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Orzinuovi wins
1
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
03/11/24Pesaro v Orzinuovi67-65
Orzinuovilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/25HForli57-61
09/02/25AAvellino Basket78-89
02/02/25HBrindisi75-80
29/01/25ALibertas Livorno57-88
26/01/25HJuVi Cremona88-89
19/01/25ABasket Torino69-96
15/01/25HFortitudo Bologna71-83
12/01/25ACantu67-85
05/01/25HAvellino Basket81-84
29/12/24AUdine65-82
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/25ACento97-76
16/02/25AFortitudo Bologna71-70
08/02/25HCividale91-77
02/02/25HAssigeco Piacenza118-86
29/01/25AAvellino Basket80-82
26/01/25HNardo84-70
19/01/25HUrania Milano97-70
15/01/25AVigevano93-82
12/01/25HBrindisi86-79
05/01/25ACividale86-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orzinuovi
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeLLLLL50%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %33%50%15%
Points / game76.478.873.8
Allowed / game81.178.484.2
Point differential-4.8+0.4-10.4
Avg total157.5157.1157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)33% (6)33% (6)
Overtime %11%14%8%
Pesaro
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW61%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayLWLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %61%80%38%
Points / game81.885.178.0
Allowed / game78.774.983.1
Point differential+3.1+10.1-5.1
Avg total160.5160.0161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%53%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine2821775%83.674.8+8.8
2 Rimini2720774%81.877.4+4.4
3 Cantu28181064%76.972.6+4.3
4 Sebastiani Rieti28181064%75.273.0+2.2
5 Pesaro28171161%81.878.7+3.1
6 Cividale28171161%79.978.5+1.4
7 Forli27161159%77.074.8+2.3
8 Urania Milano27161159%77.676.3+1.3
9 Avellino Basket27161159%79.178.9+0.2
10 Verona28161257%76.873.6+3.2
11 Fortitudo Bologna28161257%75.573.1+2.4
12 Brindisi28151354%76.775.4+1.3
13 Basket Torino29131645%75.876.0-0.2
14 JuVi Cremona27101737%80.082.7-2.7
15 Cento28101836%72.878.2-5.4
16 Orzinuovi2791833%76.481.1-4.8
17 Libertas Livorno2992031%74.376.5-2.1
18 Vigevano2781930%75.580.9-5.4
19 Nardo2772026%73.581.4-7.9
20 Assigeco Piacenza2852318%75.582.2-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Orzinuovi202622926103
Pesaro183017122198
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