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Osaka vs Akita Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 65-63
18-17 21-21 10-7 16-18
Position#18
Record9-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game79.5
Osaka 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#14
Record9-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game75.8
JapanB League· Osaka Prefectural Gymnasium (Osaka)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Osaka v Akita
17 Dec 2023
OSAK65
AKIT63
16 Dec 2023
OSAK65
AKIT78
06 Feb 2022
OSAK v AKIT
upcoming
05 Feb 2022
OSAK v AKIT
upcoming
09 Feb 2020
OSAK64
AKIT88
08 Feb 2020
OSAK76
AKIT72
22 Jan 2017
OSAK78
AKIT71
21 Jan 2017
OSAK71
AKIT67
22 Dec 2013
OSAK78
AKIT89
21 Dec 2013
OSAK79
AKIT85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Akita winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OsakaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsaka
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#5
L
76-94
76
94
-18
64avg 70
H05/11
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
74-82
74
82
-8
65avg 70
A08/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
63-84
63
84
-21
49avg 70
A11/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
78-86
78
86
-8
66avg 70
A12/11
B League
Saga
#15
L
79-84
79
84
-5
77avg 70
H02/12
B League
Saga
#15
L
45-79
45
79
-34
29avg 70
H03/12
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
73-76
73
76
-3
62avg 70
H06/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
56-79
56
79
-23
40avg 70
A09/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
65-77
65
77
-12
60avg 70
A10/12
B League
Akita
#14
L
65-78
65
78
-13
55avg 70
H16/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
16-24
22-23
18-18
16-22
22-26
13-20
23-14
12-17
17-23
14-24
20-20
16-20
23-27
21-18
18-21
21-22
18-19
17-25
23-18
9-21
10-20
12-25
14-13
22-24
18-14
23-18
10-20
8-17
22-20
12-22
14-20
20-27
17-18
10-18
18-14
14-21
17-19
19-20
15-18
149.3Avg total
67.4Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.579.5156.9-2.045%
Season at home (12)78.178.2156.3-0.250%
Season away (8)76.581.2157.8-4.838%
Last 10 (10)67.481.9149.3-14.50%
Last 5 (5)60.877.8138.6-17.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)72.181.8153.8-9.718%
vs Similar ◀ (7)80.979.7160.6+1.157%
vs Weaker (6)89.579.3168.8+10.2100%
This opponent (Akita) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkita
Date
Competition
Saga
#15
L
64-70
64
70
-6
60avg 63
A05/11
B League
Sendai
#16
L
66-87
66
87
-21
57avg 63
H08/11
B League
Alvark
#2
L
48-78
48
78
-30
29avg 63
H11/11
B League
Alvark
#2
L
67-76
67
76
-9
61avg 63
H12/11
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
83-64
83
64
+19
72avg 63
A02/12
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
80-70
80
70
+10
77avg 63
A03/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
67-63
67
63
+4
59avg 63
A06/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
93-85
93
85
+8
93avg 63
H09/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
74-73
74
73
+1
69avg 63
H10/12
B League
Osaka
#18
W
78-65
78
65
+13
76avg 63
A16/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
15-17
23-21
12-17
17-18
18-23
5-25
26-21
8-23
15-13
17-28
8-14
20-27
16-21
11-17
20-11
19-27
20-10
23-14
21-13
19-14
25-19
8-23
28-14
22-21
12-16
14-12
19-14
25-19
27-22
19-26
22-18
21-28
17-16
17-15
19-14
21-14
19-17
20-19
18-15
145.1Avg total
72.0Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)71.675.8147.4-4.245%
Season at home (11)73.183.1156.2-10.027%
Season away (9)69.866.9136.7+2.967%
Last 10 (10)72.073.1145.1-1.160%
Last 5 (5)78.471.2149.6+7.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)64.976.7141.6-11.914%
vs Similar ◀ (10)73.581.6155.1-8.120%
vs Weaker (13)81.176.5157.6+4.577%
This opponent (Osaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +4.2+4.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +4.2+4.2
OsakaAkita
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OsakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#5
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H05/11
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A08/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A11/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A12/11
B League
Saga
#15
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H02/12
B League
Saga
#15
L
19-41
19
41
-22
H03/12
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H06/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A09/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A10/12
B League
Akita
#14
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H16/12
B League
76.8Avg total
33.8Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.440.278.5-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.338.576.8-0.247%-
Last 30 away (13)38.542.480.8-3.923%-
Last 10 (10)33.843.076.8-9.210%-
Last 5 (5)31.440.271.6-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.341.878.1-5.529%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.936.975.7+2.043%-
vs Weaker (6)43.739.583.2+4.250%-
This opponent (Akita) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#15
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A05/11
B League
Sendai
#16
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H08/11
B League
Alvark
#2
L
23-36
23
36
-13
H11/11
B League
Alvark
#2
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H12/11
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A02/12
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A03/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A06/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H09/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H10/12
B League
Osaka
#18
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A16/12
B League
75.0Avg total
37.0Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.438.677.0-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.241.381.5-1.138%-
Last 30 away (14)36.435.571.9+0.957%-
Last 10 (10)37.038.075.0-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.637.278.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.740.374.0-6.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.638.576.1-0.940%-
vs Weaker (13)41.537.879.3+3.869%-
This opponent (Osaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Osakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osaka: 66.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.0
48.8%
50.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.24.8
23.8%
33.5%14.4
🏀 Free throws18.612.0
64.5%
72.0%12.0
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.318.7
46.4%
50.9%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.1
27.7%
33.5%21.3
🏀 Free throws21.914.9
68.0%
72.0%14.9
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Osaka
LLLLLLLLLL
Akita
WWWWWWLLLL
#18
League position
#14
-20.8
Net rating
-4.3
92.5
Offensive rating
95.3
113.3
Defensive rating
99.6
44.4%
Effective FG%
44.5%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.2%
20.3%
Turnover %
17.2%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
23.8%
3-point %
27.7%
52.0%
Assist %
65.5%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence92.5 · 95.3Defence113.3 · 99.6Shooting44.4% · 44.5%3-point %23.8% · 27.7%Ball care20.3% · 17.2%Off. rebounds31.2% · 30.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)0% · 60%
■ Osaka   ■ Akita
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Osaka wins
6
Akita wins
DateGameScore
16/12/23Osaka v Akita65-78
22/01/23Akita v Osaka79-83
21/01/23Akita v Osaka85-79
08/11/20Akita v Osaka73-72
07/11/20Akita v Osaka80-72
09/02/20Osaka v Akita64-88
08/02/20Osaka v Akita76-72
06/10/19Akita v Osaka70-77
05/10/19Akita v Osaka81-58
03/03/19Akita v Osaka73-88
Osakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HAkita65-78
10/12/23ASun Rockers Shibuya65-77
09/12/23ASun Rockers Shibuya56-79
06/12/23HRyukyu73-76
03/12/23HSaga45-79
02/12/23HSaga79-84
12/11/23ADiamond Dolphins78-86
11/11/23ADiamond Dolphins63-84
08/11/23ANagoya Fighting Eagles74-82
05/11/23HRyukyu76-94
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23AOsaka78-65
10/12/23HYokohama74-73
09/12/23HYokohama93-85
06/12/23AUtsunomiya Brex67-63
03/12/23AShinshu80-70
02/12/23AShinshu83-64
12/11/23HAlvark67-76
11/11/23HAlvark48-78
08/11/23HSendai66-87
05/11/23ASaga64-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osaka
B League 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL45%
HomeLLLLL50%
AwayLLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %45%50%38%
Points / game77.578.176.5
Allowed / game79.578.281.2
Point differential-2.0-0.2-4.8
Avg total156.9156.3157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)25% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Akita
B League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW45%
HomeLLLWW27%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %45%27%67%
Points / game71.673.169.8
Allowed / game75.883.166.9
Point differential-4.2-10.0+2.9
Avg total147.4156.2136.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark2017385%80.464.5+15.9
2 NeoPhoenix2017385%90.079.0+10.9
3 Utsunomiya Brex2016480%77.868.0+9.7
4 Ryukyu2016480%81.777.5+4.2
5 Diamond Dolphins2014670%82.778.8+3.9
6 Brave Thunders2114767%80.976.0+4.9
7 Shimane2113862%84.177.4+6.7
8 SeaHorses Mikawa2012860%82.877.5+5.2
9 Nagasaki2012860%84.282.8+1.3
10 Chiba2011955%83.583.8-0.2
11 Nagoya Fighting Eagles2011955%74.274.5-0.3
12 Hiroshima D.20101050%79.075.5+3.5
13 Saga20101050%75.374.8+0.5
14 Sendai2091145%81.680.6+1.0
15 Sun Rockers Shibuya2091145%76.576.5-0.1
16 Osaka2091145%77.579.5-2.0
17 Akita2091145%71.675.8-4.2
18 Gunma2091145%75.780.0-4.2
19 Yokohama2081240%76.281.0-4.8
20 Kyoto2051525%75.483.7-8.3
21 Hokkaido2151624%73.781.2-7.6
22 Shinshu2141719%75.384.5-9.2
23 Ibaraki Robots201195%74.285.6-11.4
24 Toyama201195%72.887.8-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Osaka1821101665
Akita172171863
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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