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Akita vs Alvark Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 48-78
8-23 15-13 17-28 8-14
Position#14
Record3-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Alvark 🏆
Japan
Position#2
Record11-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game61.5
JapanB League· CNA Arena Akita (Akita)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Akita v Alvark
11 Apr 2027
AKIT v ALVA
upcoming
10 Apr 2027
AKIT v ALVA
upcoming
28 Jan 2026
AKIT74
ALVA98
22 Dec 2024
AKIT63
ALVA72
21 Dec 2024
AKIT70
ALVA74
07 Feb 2024
AKIT68
ALVA77
12 Nov 2023
AKIT67
ALVA76
11 Nov 2023
AKIT48
ALVA78
09 Apr 2023
AKIT73
ALVA68
08 Apr 2023
AKIT75
ALVA77
30 Nov 2022
AKIT83
ALVA69
12 Dec 2021
AKIT75
ALVA68
11 Dec 2021
AKIT69
ALVA60
10 Nov 2021
AKIT73
ALVA88
24 Mar 2021
AKIT62
ALVA76
08 Dec 2019
AKIT85
ALVA74
07 Dec 2019
AKIT76
ALVA79
16 Oct 2019
AKIT65
ALVA60
17 Mar 2019
AKIT77
ALVA97
16 Mar 2019
AKIT75
ALVA83
16 Jan 2019
AKIT72
ALVA81
07 May 2017
AKIT52
ALVA78
06 May 2017
AKIT80
ALVA83
02 Oct 2016
AKIT70
ALVA84
01 Oct 2016
AKIT64
ALVA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akita winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alvark winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkita
Date
Competition
Shimane
#12
L
87-93 OT
87
93
-6
no box
H14/10
B League
Shimane
#12
L
65-85
65
85
-20
57avg 61
H15/10
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
81-80
81
80
+1
72avg 61
H21/10
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
70-88
70
88
-18
57avg 61
H22/10
B League
Alvark
#2
L
51-67
51
67
-16
42avg 61
A25/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
74-88
74
88
-14
65avg 61
H28/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
79-81
79
81
-2
68avg 61
H29/10
B League
Saga
#15
W
66-65
66
65
+1
62avg 61
A04/11
B League
Saga
#15
L
64-70
64
70
-6
60avg 61
A05/11
B League
Sendai
#16
L
66-87
66
87
-21
57avg 61
H08/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-14
14-26
17-24
24-19
24-23
17-21
11-15
13-26
30-15
14-19
16-19
21-27
21-27
11-19
19-24
19-18
15-18
14-10
8-16
14-23
19-14
18-29
18-24
19-21
26-20
17-25
16-18
20-18
24-15
11-21
14-11
17-18
14-15
15-17
23-21
12-17
17-18
18-23
5-25
26-21
150.7Avg total
70.3Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)70.278.5148.7-8.325%
Season at home (7)74.686.0160.6-11.414%
Season away (5)64.068.0132.0-4.040%
Last 10 (10)70.380.4150.7-10.120%
Last 5 (5)69.878.2148.0-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)67.577.7145.2-10.20%
vs Similar (15)74.979.9154.9-5.027%
vs Weaker (9)80.478.1158.6+2.367%
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
75-60
75
60
+15
62avg 76
H14/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
70-71
70
71
-1
57avg 76
H15/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
72-58
72
58
+14
66avg 76
A21/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
83-49
83
49
+34
86avg 76
A22/10
B League
Akita
#14
W
67-51
67
51
+16
61avg 76
H25/10
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
75-55
75
55
+20
65avg 76
A28/10
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
89-59
89
59
+30
87avg 76
A29/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
88-64
88
64
+24
86avg 76
H03/11
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
97-72
97
72
+25
100avg 76
H04/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
79-60
79
60
+19
78avg 76
H08/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-12
20-22
24-16
21-10
9-17
22-18
19-18
20-18
17-12
19-13
21-15
15-18
26-16
18-7
16-11
23-15
18-15
10-14
16-8
23-14
12-9
24-17
19-9
20-20
26-15
27-9
20-18
16-17
27-17
24-18
17-14
20-15
24-18
27-21
23-19
23-14
19-15
19-17
27-9
14-19
139.4Avg total
79.5Scored
59.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.961.5142.4+19.492%
Season at home (6)79.363.0142.3+16.383%
Season away (6)82.560.0142.5+22.5100%
Last 10 (10)79.559.9139.4+19.690%
Last 5 (5)85.662.0147.6+23.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.291.2158.5-24.00%
vs Similar (10)76.275.2151.4+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)81.464.1145.5+17.294%
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +3.5+3.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +3.5+3.5
AkitaAlvark
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shimane
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H14/10
B League
Shimane
#12
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H15/10
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H21/10
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H22/10
B League
Alvark
#2
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A25/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H28/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H29/10
B League
Saga
#15
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A04/11
B League
Saga
#15
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A05/11
B League
Sendai
#16
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H08/11
B League
75.6Avg total
36.7Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.637.675.2+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.738.577.2+0.241%-
Last 30 away (13)36.236.572.6-0.346%-
Last 10 (10)36.738.975.6-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)35.839.475.2-3.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.037.872.8-2.833%-
vs Similar (15)36.737.774.4-0.933%-
vs Weaker (9)40.837.378.1+3.467%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H14/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H15/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A21/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
44-23
44
23
+21
A22/10
B League
Akita
#14
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H25/10
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A28/10
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
53-24
53
24
+29
A29/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H03/11
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H04/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H08/11
B League
70.0Avg total
39.8Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.535.172.5+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.335.874.2+2.550%-
Last 30 away (18)36.934.671.4+2.356%-
Last 10 (10)39.830.270.0+9.670%-
Last 5 (5)45.831.277.0+14.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.547.075.5-18.50%-
vs Similar (10)33.837.371.1-3.530%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.030.772.7+11.381%-
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 70.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.615.8
42.0%
50.9%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.78.8
31.8%
33.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.312.2
70.5%
72.0%12.2
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.2
53.7%
50.9%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.9
33.5%
33.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws16.612.4
74.7%
72.0%12.4
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Akita
LLWLLLLWLL
Alvark
WWWWWWWWLW
#14
League position
#2
-15.5
Net rating
+28.1
90.4
Offensive rating
112.7
105.9
Defensive rating
84.5
44.4%
Effective FG%
52.4%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
39.4%
18.9%
Turnover %
15.2%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.8%
3-point %
33.5%
66.3%
Assist %
62.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence90.4 · 112.7Defence105.9 · 84.5Shooting44.4% · 52.4%3-point %31.8% · 33.5%Ball care18.9% · 15.2%Off. rebounds26.9% · 33.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 90%
■ Akita   ■ Alvark
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Akita wins
6
Alvark wins
DateGameScore
25/10/23Alvark v Akita67-51
09/04/23Akita v Alvark73-68
08/04/23Akita v Alvark75-77
15/03/23Alvark v Akita83-52
30/11/22Akita v Alvark83-69
16/03/22Alvark v Akita79-69
12/12/21Akita v Alvark75-68
11/12/21Akita v Alvark69-60
10/11/21Akita v Alvark73-88
25/04/21Alvark v Akita93-75
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/23HSendai66-87
05/11/23ASaga64-70
04/11/23ASaga66-65
29/10/23HNeoPhoenix79-81
28/10/23HNeoPhoenix74-88
25/10/23AAlvark51-67
22/10/23HKyoto70-88
21/10/23HKyoto81-80
15/10/23HShimane65-85
14/10/23HShimane87-93 OT
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/23HIbaraki Robots79-60
04/11/23HSun Rockers Shibuya97-72
03/11/23HSun Rockers Shibuya88-64
29/10/23AKyoto89-59
28/10/23AKyoto75-55
25/10/23HAkita67-51
22/10/23ANagoya Fighting Eagles83-49
21/10/23ANagoya Fighting Eagles72-58
15/10/23HUtsunomiya Brex70-71
14/10/23HUtsunomiya Brex75-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Akita
B League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL25%
HomeWLLLL14%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %25%14%40%
Points / game70.274.664.0
Allowed / game78.586.068.0
Point differential-8.3-11.4-4.0
Avg total148.7160.6132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%14%0%
Alvark
B League 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %92%83%100%
Points / game80.979.382.5
Allowed / game61.563.060.0
Point differential+19.4+16.3+22.5
Avg total142.4142.3142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%83%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark1211192%80.961.5+19.4
2 NeoPhoenix1210283%87.378.7+8.7
3 Brave Thunders1210283%81.074.4+6.6
4 Osaka129375%85.478.8+6.6
5 Ryukyu129375%81.975.7+6.2
6 Utsunomiya Brex129375%76.570.4+6.1
7 Diamond Dolphins129375%84.279.2+4.9
8 Nagasaki128467%88.584.5+4.0
9 Shimane128467%80.977.2+3.7
10 Chiba127558%85.584.2+1.2
11 Hiroshima D.126650%78.973.2+5.7
12 SeaHorses Mikawa126650%81.978.6+3.3
13 Sendai126650%81.579.2+2.2
14 Nagoya Fighting Eagles126650%72.674.7-2.1
15 Saga125742%70.473.6-3.2
16 Yokohama125742%77.282.4-5.2
17 Gunma125742%76.382.3-6.0
18 Shinshu124833%77.883.6-5.8
19 Sun Rockers Shibuya123925%75.280.2-4.9
20 Hokkaido123925%72.279.6-7.4
21 Akita123925%70.278.5-8.3
22 Ibaraki Robots121118%77.786.6-8.9
23 Kyoto121118%72.284.1-11.9
24 Toyama120120%72.487.3-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Akita81517848
Alvark2313281478
← all games of the day
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