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Osaka vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 45-79
9-21 10-20 12-25 14-13
Position#18
Record9-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Saga 🏆
Japan
Position#15
Record7-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game74.4
JapanB League· Osaka Prefectural Gymnasium (Osaka)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Osaka v Saga
24 Mar 2027
OSAK v SAGA
upcoming
18 Dec 2024
OSAK77
SAGA68
17 Jan 2024
OSAK69
SAGA91
03 Dec 2023
OSAK45
SAGA79
02 Dec 2023
OSAK79
SAGA84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OsakaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsaka
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
93-85
93
85
+8
89avg 76
A22/10
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
83-74
83
74
+9
78avg 76
A25/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
74-79
74
79
-5
69avg 76
H28/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
92-72
92
72
+20
90avg 76
H29/10
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
81-76
81
76
+5
74avg 76
H04/11
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
76-94
76
94
-18
64avg 76
H05/11
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
74-82
74
82
-8
65avg 76
A08/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
63-84
63
84
-21
49avg 76
A11/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
78-86
78
86
-8
66avg 76
A12/11
B League
Saga
#15
L
79-84
79
84
-5
77avg 76
H02/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
27-23
25-13
22-25
21-23
12-14
23-16
27-21
19-16
15-23
19-15
21-25
29-16
17-22
24-18
22-16
19-12
21-18
24-22
17-24
20-29
16-24
22-23
18-18
16-22
22-26
13-20
23-14
12-17
17-23
14-24
20-20
16-20
23-27
21-18
18-21
21-22
18-19
17-25
23-18
160.9Avg total
79.3Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.080.0163.0+3.060%
Season at home (9)83.878.4162.2+5.367%
Season away (6)81.882.3164.2-0.550%
Last 10 (10)79.381.6160.9-2.340%
Last 5 (5)74.086.0160.0-12.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)77.183.3160.4-6.233%
vs Similar (6)83.580.0163.5+3.567%
vs Weaker (6)89.579.3168.8+10.2100%
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Shimane
#12
L
58-61
58
61
-3
47avg 63
A22/10
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
80-74
80
74
+6
71avg 63
H25/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
80-59
80
59
+21
76avg 63
A28/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
74-68
74
68
+6
70avg 63
A29/10
B League
Akita
#14
L
65-66
65
66
-1
51avg 63
H04/11
B League
Akita
#14
W
70-64
70
64
+6
62avg 63
H05/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
61-80
61
80
-19
42avg 63
A08/11
B League
Chiba
#9
W
95-76
95
76
+19
94avg 63
A11/11
B League
Chiba
#9
L
72-78
72
78
-6
50avg 63
A12/11
B League
Osaka
#18
W
84-79
84
79
+5
76avg 63
A02/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
6-15
11-18
20-14
20-21
21-15
21-21
18-17
19-16
20-18
18-8
23-17
19-14
19-18
12-18
24-18
15-24
21-11
11-14
18-17
15-14
17-15
21-23
17-12
13-26
12-18
18-19
18-17
29-16
28-11
21-24
17-25
16-25
21-14
21-17
14-22
22-21
19-18
25-17
18-23
144.4Avg total
73.9Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.174.4147.5-1.347%
Season at home (7)71.175.4146.6-4.343%
Season away (8)74.873.5148.2+1.250%
Last 10 (10)73.970.5144.4+3.460%
Last 5 (5)76.475.4151.8+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)67.381.3148.7-14.033%
vs Similar (10)73.071.9144.9+1.140%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)82.076.5158.5+5.5100%
This opponent (Osaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
OsakaSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OsakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A22/10
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A25/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H28/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H29/10
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H04/11
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H05/11
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A08/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A11/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A12/11
B League
Saga
#15
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H02/12
B League
80.0Avg total
38.0Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.179.8-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.838.678.4+1.250%-
Last 30 away (12)39.842.282.0-2.533%-
Last 10 (10)38.042.080.0-4.020%-
Last 5 (5)36.245.882.0-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.341.579.8-3.239%-
vs Similar (6)40.236.376.5+3.850%-
vs Weaker (6)43.739.583.2+4.250%-
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shimane
#12
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A22/10
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H25/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A28/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A29/10
B League
Akita
#14
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H04/11
B League
Akita
#14
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H05/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A08/11
B League
Chiba
#9
W
57-27
57
27
+30
A11/11
B League
Chiba
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A12/11
B League
Osaka
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A02/12
B League
71.7Avg total
37.3Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)37.037.074.0+0.060%-
Last 30 at home (7)35.638.774.3-3.157%-
Last 30 away (8)38.235.573.8+2.862%-
Last 10 (10)37.334.471.7+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)38.435.674.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.745.376.0-14.70%-
vs Similar (10)38.134.472.5+3.770%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)41.037.578.5+3.5100%-
This opponent (Osaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Osakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osaka: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.3
49.6%
50.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.18.2
37.1%
33.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.813.3
67.2%
72.0%13.3
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.315.9
45.0%
50.9%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.9
32.5%
33.5%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.714.0
67.6%
72.0%14.0
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Osaka
LLLLLWWLWW
Saga
WLWLWLWWWL
#18
League position
#15
-3.4
Net rating
+3.7
105.6
Offensive rating
102.1
108.9
Defensive rating
98.4
51.7%
Effective FG%
46.7%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
45.5%
18.6%
Turnover %
14.9%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.1%
3-point %
32.5%
63.5%
Assist %
61.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 102.1Defence108.9 · 98.4Shooting51.7% · 46.7%3-point %37.1% · 32.5%Ball care18.6% · 14.9%Off. rebounds30.3% · 28.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Osaka   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Osaka wins
1
Saga wins
DateGameScore
02/12/23Osaka v Saga79-84
Osakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23HSaga79-84
12/11/23ADiamond Dolphins78-86
11/11/23ADiamond Dolphins63-84
08/11/23ANagoya Fighting Eagles74-82
05/11/23HRyukyu76-94
04/11/23HRyukyu81-76
29/10/23HBrave Thunders92-72
28/10/23HBrave Thunders74-79
25/10/23AKyoto83-74
22/10/23AIbaraki Robots93-85
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23AOsaka84-79
12/11/23AChiba72-78
11/11/23AChiba95-76
08/11/23AHiroshima D.61-80
05/11/23HAkita70-64
04/11/23HAkita65-66
29/10/23ASun Rockers Shibuya74-68
28/10/23ASun Rockers Shibuya80-59
25/10/23HShinshu80-74
22/10/23AShimane58-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osaka
B League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL60%
HomeLWWLL67%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game83.083.881.8
Allowed / game80.078.482.3
Point differential+3.0+5.3-0.5
Avg total163.0162.2164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Saga
B League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW47%
HomeLWWLW43%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %47%43%50%
Points / game73.171.174.8
Allowed / game74.475.473.5
Point differential-1.3-4.3+1.2
Avg total147.5146.6148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %13%29%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark1514193%80.961.9+19.0
2 NeoPhoenix1513287%87.976.2+11.7
3 Brave Thunders1513287%80.572.9+7.5
4 Utsunomiya Brex1512380%77.967.3+10.7
5 Diamond Dolphins1512380%84.678.1+6.5
6 Ryukyu1511473%81.877.5+4.3
7 Osaka159660%83.080.0+3.0
8 Nagasaki159660%86.384.6+1.7
9 Shimane169756%81.677.8+3.8
10 Chiba169756%82.984.4-1.6
11 Hiroshima D.158753%79.274.1+5.1
12 SeaHorses Mikawa158753%82.578.3+4.1
13 Nagoya Fighting Eagles158753%73.675.0-1.4
14 Sendai157847%82.379.9+2.4
15 Saga157847%73.174.4-1.3
16 Yokohama156940%75.381.0-5.7
17 Sun Rockers Shibuya1551033%75.779.5-3.9
18 Gunma1551033%73.981.1-7.3
19 Shinshu1541127%76.383.6-7.3
20 Kyoto1541127%74.782.5-7.8
21 Akita1541127%69.377.3-8.0
22 Hokkaido1531220%72.280.5-8.3
23 Ibaraki Robots151147%75.887.4-11.6
24 Toyama150150%70.886.7-15.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Osaka910121445
Saga2120251379
← all games of the day
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