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Osaka vs Chiba Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 88-76
28-11 19-27 19-15 22-23
Position#13
Record12-10
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game80.1
Osaka 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#5
Record16-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game74.8
JapanB League· Osaka Prefectural Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Osaka v Chiba
25 Oct 2026
OSAK65
CHIB87
08 Mar 2026
OSAK78
CHIB94
07 Mar 2026
OSAK82
CHIB90
22 Dec 2024
OSAK81
CHIB89
21 Dec 2024
OSAK88
CHIB76
04 Feb 2024
OSAK77
CHIB89
03 Feb 2024
OSAK77
CHIB97
27 Dec 2020
OSAK93
CHIB83
26 Dec 2020
OSAK98
CHIB101
15 Dec 2019
OSAK105
CHIB106
14 Dec 2019
OSAK84
CHIB69
28 Oct 2018
OSAK63
CHIB77
27 Oct 2018
OSAK69
CHIB80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chiba winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OsakaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsaka
Date
Competition
Sendai
#23
W
87-68
87
68
+19
80avg 76
H09/11
B League
Sendai
#23
L
88-96
88
96
-8
72avg 76
H10/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
82-77
82
77
+5
77avg 76
A30/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
74-71
74
71
+3
69avg 76
A01/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
66-71
66
71
-5
53avg 76
H07/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
76-70 OT
76
70
+6
75avg 76
H08/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
89-84
89
84
+5
85avg 76
A11/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
76-77
76
77
-1
63avg 76
A14/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
76-95
76
95
-19
67avg 76
A15/12
B League
Saga
#18
W
77-68
77
68
+9
77avg 76
H18/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
18-21
24-13
23-15
30-22
23-30
10-25
25-19
20-20
19-22
19-20
24-15
18-23
18-18
24-11
14-19
10-22
17-16
22-16
17-17
14-19
14-11
13-15
23-19
23-16
15-20
28-21
23-27
20-14
22-25
20-15
14-23
17-25
18-30
18-16
23-24
21-23
17-15
21-13
18-17
156.8Avg total
79.1Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.680.1161.7+1.555%
Season at home (11)82.277.3159.5+4.964%
Season away (11)81.182.9164.0-1.845%
Last 10 (10)79.177.7156.8+1.460%
Last 5 (5)78.878.8157.6+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)79.385.0164.3-5.727%
vs Similar (13)81.678.1159.7+3.562%
vs Weaker (6)84.277.3161.5+6.883%
This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
99-72
99
72
+27
101avg 76
H09/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
96-82
96
82
+14
92avg 76
H10/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
77-65
77
65
+12
67avg 76
H30/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
93-80
93
80
+13
90avg 76
H01/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
79-87
79
87
-8
67avg 76
A07/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
84-99
84
99
-15
79avg 76
A08/12
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
84-82
84
82
+2
79avg 76
A11/12
B League
Gunma
#6
W
82-75
82
75
+7
74avg 76
H14/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
53-71
53
71
-18
42avg 76
H15/12
B League
Sendai
#23
L
60-68
60
68
-8
50avg 76
H18/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-16
22-15
25-25
18-16
26-25
21-24
29-18
20-15
23-14
16-19
27-13
11-19
20-24
22-21
22-16
29-19
17-22
22-25
19-20
21-20
15-33
27-28
20-18
22-20
21-23
21-26
23-17
19-16
34-17
14-24
22-17
12-17
21-16
5-18
14-12
13-25
18-14
14-20
13-18
15-16
158.8Avg total
80.7Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.074.8155.9+6.273%
Season at home (12)81.573.1154.6+8.483%
Season away (10)80.576.9157.4+3.660%
Last 10 (10)80.778.1158.8+2.660%
Last 5 (5)72.679.0151.6-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.283.2164.4-2.040%
vs Similar (16)82.475.0157.4+7.475%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)78.072.3150.3+5.767%
This opponent (Osaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.3-0.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.3-0.3
OsakaChiba
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OsakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sendai
#23
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H09/11
B League
Sendai
#23
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H10/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A30/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A01/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H07/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H08/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A11/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A14/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A15/12
B League
Saga
#18
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H18/12
B League
78.7Avg total
37.6Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.540.580.0-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.237.979.1+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)37.943.180.9-5.227%-
Last 10 (10)37.641.178.7-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)36.239.675.8-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.741.880.5-3.145%-
vs Similar (13)39.438.277.6+1.262%-
vs Weaker (6)41.342.884.2-1.517%-
This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H09/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H10/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H30/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H01/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A07/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
42-61
42
61
-19
A08/12
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A11/12
B League
Gunma
#6
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H14/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H15/12
B League
Sendai
#23
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H18/12
B League
83.7Avg total
41.3Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.480.7+1.943%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.437.879.2+3.642%-
Last 30 away (18)41.240.481.6+0.744%-
Last 10 (10)41.342.483.7-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)38.043.881.8-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.643.684.2-3.040%-
vs Similar (16)41.739.881.4+1.944%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.936.477.3+4.444%-
This opponent (Osaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Osakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osaka: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.3
52.5%
51.2%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.16.8
27.1%
33.4%20.4
🏀 Free throws22.515.7
69.8%
72.7%15.7
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiba: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.1
50.1%
51.2%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.9
36.3%
33.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws18.813.4
71.3%
72.7%13.4
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Osaka
WLLWWLWWLW
Chiba
LLWWLLWWWW
#13
League position
#5
+2.2
Net rating
+3.7
106.2
Offensive rating
110.3
104.1
Defensive rating
106.6
47.9%
Effective FG%
52.2%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
45.3%
17.7%
Turnover %
14.4%
36.6%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
27.1%
3-point %
36.3%
64.1%
Assist %
62.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 110.3Defence104.1 · 106.6Shooting47.9% · 52.2%3-point %27.1% · 36.3%Ball care17.7% · 14.4%Off. rebounds36.6% · 27.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Osaka   ■ Chiba
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Osaka wins
8
Chiba wins
DateGameScore
04/02/24Osaka v Chiba77-89
03/02/24Osaka v Chiba77-97
02/10/22Chiba v Osaka89-88
01/10/22Chiba v Osaka77-67
24/04/22Chiba v Osaka82-66
23/04/22Chiba v Osaka97-74
31/01/21Chiba v Osaka76-70
30/01/21Chiba v Osaka75-78
27/12/20Osaka v Chiba93-83
26/12/20Osaka v Chiba98-101 OT
Osakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24HSaga77-68
15/12/24AUtsunomiya Brex76-95
14/12/24AUtsunomiya Brex76-77
11/12/24AYokohama89-84
08/12/24HSun Rockers Shibuya76-70 OT
07/12/24HSun Rockers Shibuya66-71
01/12/24AIbaraki Robots74-71
30/11/24AIbaraki Robots82-77
10/11/24HSendai88-96
09/11/24HSendai87-68
Chibalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24HSendai60-68
15/12/24HGunma53-71
14/12/24HGunma82-75
11/12/24AKoshigaya Alphas84-82
08/12/24ANeoPhoenix84-99
07/12/24ANeoPhoenix79-87
01/12/24HRyukyu93-80
30/11/24HRyukyu77-65
10/11/24HDiamond Dolphins96-82
09/11/24HDiamond Dolphins99-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osaka
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW55%
HomeWLLWW64%
AwayWWWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %55%64%45%
Points / game81.682.281.1
Allowed / game80.177.382.9
Point differential+1.5+4.9-1.8
Avg total161.7159.5164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%36%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)0% (1)50% (6)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Chiba
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL73%
HomeWWWLL83%
AwayWLLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %73%83%60%
Points / game81.081.580.5
Allowed / game74.873.176.9
Point differential+6.2+8.4+3.6
Avg total155.9154.6157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix2218482%91.178.8+12.3
2 Alvark2218482%79.570.5+9.0
3 Utsunomiya Brex2218482%82.574.3+8.2
4 Ryukyu2216673%84.176.7+7.4
5 Chiba2216673%81.074.8+6.2
6 Gunma2316770%78.770.3+8.4
7 Shimane2315865%79.973.1+6.8
8 Sun Rockers Shibuya2214864%76.170.8+5.3
9 SeaHorses Mikawa2214864%79.474.8+4.5
10 Osaka22121055%81.680.1+1.5
11 Akita22121055%72.072.1-0.1
12 Kyoto22111150%80.979.5+1.4
13 Diamond Dolphins22111150%82.482.9-0.5
14 Nagasaki22101245%72.075.0-2.9
15 Hokkaido2291341%73.978.5-4.6
16 Hiroshima D.2291341%77.082.6-5.6
17 Yokohama2281436%75.580.5-5.1
18 Nagoya Fighting Eagles2281436%74.982.0-7.1
19 Saga2271532%74.076.8-2.8
20 Ibaraki Robots2271532%74.581.0-6.5
21 Koshigaya Alphas2261627%76.681.5-4.9
22 Sendai2251723%72.279.8-7.5
23 Brave Thunders2241818%75.486.5-11.1
24 Shiga221215%73.986.9-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Osaka2819192288
Chiba1127152376
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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