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Osaka vs Chiba Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 03:05
Final 82-90
25-25 17-20 24-19 16-26
Position#17
Record15-24
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Chiba 🏆
Japan
Position#6
Record27-12
FormWLWLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game75.8
JapanB League· Ookini Arena Maishima
Other2025-26
Meetings · Osaka v Chiba
25 Oct 2026
OSAK65
CHIB87
08 Mar 2026
OSAK78
CHIB94
07 Mar 2026
OSAK82
CHIB90
22 Dec 2024
OSAK81
CHIB89
21 Dec 2024
OSAK88
CHIB76
04 Feb 2024
OSAK77
CHIB89
03 Feb 2024
OSAK77
CHIB97
27 Dec 2020
OSAK93
CHIB83
26 Dec 2020
OSAK98
CHIB101
15 Dec 2019
OSAK105
CHIB106
14 Dec 2019
OSAK84
CHIB69
28 Oct 2018
OSAK63
CHIB77
27 Oct 2018
OSAK69
CHIB80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chiba winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OsakaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsaka
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
76-58
76
58
+18
77avg 75
H04/01
B League
Alvark
#8
L
76-91
76
91
-15
73avg 75
H24/01
B League
Alvark
#8
L
88-105
88
105
-17
76avg 75
H25/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
94-89
94
89
+5
80avg 75
H28/01
B League
Akita
#26
W
93-80
93
80
+13
89avg 75
A31/01
B League
Akita
#26
L
76-77
76
77
-1
70avg 75
A01/02
B League
Gunma
#5
L
65-81
65
81
-16
59avg 75
A07/02
B League
Gunma
#5
L
68-84
68
84
-16
59avg 75
A08/02
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
64-71
64
71
-7
51avg 75
H14/02
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
79-93
79
93
-14
76avg 75
H15/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
28-5
11-18
24-17
28-26
15-16
17-22
16-27
21-30
24-29
23-20
20-26
20-29
15-21
23-13
36-26
20-28
22-9
29-20
22-23
20-17
14-23
17-22
25-15
14-29
24-13
17-15
10-24
18-19
14-31
20-14
16-20
12-23
12-15
25-16
15-17
16-20
23-34
13-15
27-24
160.8Avg total
77.9Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)79.781.7161.3-2.038%
Season at home (20)80.483.2163.6-2.835%
Season away (19)78.980.1158.9-1.242%
Last 10 (10)77.982.9160.8-5.030%
Last 5 (5)70.481.2151.6-10.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)76.688.1164.7-11.50%
vs Similar (12)78.879.4158.2-0.750%
vs Weaker (8)84.178.0162.1+6.162%
This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
W
88-73
88
73
+15
91avg 78
H04/01
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
61-92
61
92
-31
41avg 78
H24/01
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
63-65
63
65
-2
56avg 78
H25/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
79-72
79
72
+7
74avg 78
H28/01
B League
Saga
#12
L
79-83
79
83
-4
81avg 78
A31/01
B League
Saga
#12
W
95-76
95
76
+19
102avg 78
A01/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
73-75
73
75
-2
61avg 78
H07/02
B League
Alvark
#8
W
72-64
72
64
+8
64avg 78
H08/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
81-92
81
92
-11
74avg 78
A14/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
94-104
94
104
-10
85avg 78
A15/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
21-14
19-15
21-25
9-26
20-23
21-21
11-22
21-12
13-15
17-16
12-22
17-20
22-13
23-16
17-23
20-15
22-11
18-27
19-30
23-19
18-15
32-22
22-20
20-23
21-21
16-21
16-10
23-10
18-16
14-27
17-11
15-23
24-27
21-27
21-15
22-30
18-23
23-26
31-25
158.1Avg total
78.5Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)82.275.8157.9+6.469%
Season at home (20)81.571.5152.9+10.080%
Season away (19)82.980.3163.2+2.758%
Last 10 (10)78.579.6158.1-1.140%
Last 5 (5)83.082.2165.2+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.089.5167.5-11.50%
vs Similar (14)75.180.3155.4-5.236%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)86.570.7157.2+15.893%
This opponent (Osaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
OsakaChiba
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OsakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H04/01
B League
Alvark
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H24/01
B League
Alvark
#8
L
45-59
45
59
-14
H25/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H28/01
B League
Akita
#26
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A31/01
B League
Akita
#26
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A01/02
B League
Gunma
#5
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A07/02
B League
Gunma
#5
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A08/02
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H14/02
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
39-54
39
54
-15
H15/02
B League
80.8Avg total
37.3Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.942.281.2-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.642.880.4-5.225%-
Last 30 away (14)40.441.682.0-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)37.343.580.8-6.230%-
Last 5 (5)33.444.878.2-11.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.045.283.2-7.230%-
vs Similar (12)38.840.779.5-1.833%-
vs Weaker (8)40.240.981.1-0.650%-
This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H04/01
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
29-49
29
49
-20
H24/01
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H25/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H28/01
B League
Saga
#12
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A31/01
B League
Saga
#12
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A01/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H07/02
B League
Alvark
#8
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H08/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A14/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A15/02
B League
76.9Avg total
39.4Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.037.878.8+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.436.176.5+4.471%-
Last 30 away (16)41.439.480.8+2.144%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.576.9+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.481.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.540.578.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (14)38.441.179.6-2.736%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.034.178.1+9.986%-
This opponent (Osaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Osakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osaka: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.4
56.4%
53.1%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.08.7
30.0%
33.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws13.610.9
80.1%
73.1%10.9
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiba: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.517.6
52.5%
53.1%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.1
32.2%
33.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.815.2
76.8%
73.1%15.2
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Osaka
LLLLLWWLLW
Chiba
LLWLWLWLLW
#17
League position
#6
-5.7
Net rating
-2.0
92.4
Offensive rating
93.4
98.1
Defensive rating
95.4
51.3%
Effective FG%
50.6%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
16.7%
Turnover %
15.9%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.0%
3-point %
32.2%
72.5%
Assist %
68.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence92.4 · 93.4Defence98.1 · 95.4Shooting51.3% · 50.6%3-point %30.0% · 32.2%Ball care16.7% · 15.9%Off. rebounds30.6% · 30.0%Free throws0.21 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Osaka   ■ Chiba
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Osaka wins
8
Chiba wins
DateGameScore
22/12/24Osaka v Chiba81-89
21/12/24Osaka v Chiba88-76
04/02/24Osaka v Chiba77-89
03/02/24Osaka v Chiba77-97
02/10/22Chiba v Osaka89-88
01/10/22Chiba v Osaka77-67
24/04/22Chiba v Osaka82-66
23/04/22Chiba v Osaka97-74
31/01/21Chiba v Osaka76-70
30/01/21Chiba v Osaka75-78
Osakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26HKyoto79-93
14/02/26HKyoto64-71
08/02/26AGunma68-84
07/02/26AGunma65-81
01/02/26AAkita76-77
31/01/26AAkita93-80
28/01/26HNagoya Fighting Eagles94-89
25/01/26HAlvark88-105
24/01/26HAlvark76-91
04/01/26HKoshigaya Alphas76-58
Chibalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26ANeoPhoenix94-104
14/02/26ANeoPhoenix81-92
08/02/26HAlvark72-64
07/02/26HAlvark73-75
01/02/26ASaga95-76
31/01/26ASaga79-83
28/01/26HUtsunomiya Brex79-72
25/01/26HRyukyu63-65
24/01/26HRyukyu61-92
04/01/26HToyama88-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osaka
B League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL38%
HomeLLWLL35%
AwayWWLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %38%35%42%
Points / game79.780.478.9
Allowed / game81.783.280.1
Point differential-2.0-2.8-1.2
Avg total161.3163.6158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)40% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %3%5%0%
Chiba
B League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL69%
HomeLLWLW80%
AwayLLWLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %69%80%58%
Points / game82.281.582.9
Allowed / game75.871.580.3
Point differential+6.4+9.9+2.7
Avg total157.9152.9163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%55%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)40% (5)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki3933685%93.077.7+15.3
2 Diamond Dolphins3930977%83.472.8+10.6
3 Utsunomiya Brex39291074%85.179.4+5.8
4 Chiba39271269%82.275.8+6.4
5 Alvark39271269%80.376.8+3.5
6 Hokkaido39271269%88.184.9+3.2
7 Ryukyu39261367%81.574.9+6.7
8 SeaHorses Mikawa39261367%84.078.5+5.5
9 Gunma39241562%82.574.9+7.6
10 Hiroshima D.39231659%86.083.0+2.9
11 Sendai39231659%80.178.7+1.4
12 Shimane39211854%81.980.5+1.4
13 Saga39211854%81.581.7-0.3
14 NeoPhoenix39201951%83.282.2+1.0
15 Sun Rockers Shibuya39162341%75.880.5-4.6
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles39152438%80.882.8-2.0
17 Osaka39152438%79.781.7-2.0
18 Yokohama39152438%78.281.8-3.6
19 Koshigaya Alphas39152438%73.179.4-6.3
20 Shiga39132633%80.486.7-6.3
21 Ibaraki Robots39122731%75.279.8-4.6
22 Altiri Chiba39122731%78.883.6-4.7
23 Kyoto39112828%71.580.6-9.1
24 Toyama39102926%82.289.8-7.6
25 Brave Thunders3993023%75.884.4-8.6
26 Akita3973218%73.184.7-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Osaka2517241682
Chiba2520192690
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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