PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Osijek vs Kastela Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 65-60
16-16 15-14 22-16 12-14
Position#2
Record14-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game76.1
Osijek 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#6
Record9-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game75.3
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 16· NSD Gradski vrt
Other2023-24
Meetings · Osijek v Kastela
22 Nov 2025
OSIJ61
KAST111
28 Jan 2024
OSIJ65
KAST60
12 Apr 2023
OSIJ79
KAST92
11 Jan 2023
OSIJ87
KAST76
14 Apr 2018
OSIJ87
KAST67
03 May 2016
OSIJ87
KAST78
09 Jan 2016
OSIJ82
KAST76
06 May 2015
OSIJ71
KAST75
08 Nov 2014
OSIJ85
KAST75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osijek winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kastela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OsijekCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsijek
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#1
W
91-83
91
83
+8
88avg 87
H18/11
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
92-74
92
74
+18
90avg 87
A26/11
Prva Liga
Alkar
#9
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 87
H29/11
Croatian Cup
Marsonia
#9
W
99-60
99
60
+39
110avg 87
H03/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
75-69
75
69
+6
68avg 87
A09/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
91-85
91
85
+6
88avg 87
H16/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
80-66
80
66
+14
76avg 87
A22/12
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
96-77
96
77
+19
107avg 87
H13/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
116-107 OT
116
107
+9
no box
A21/01
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
101-70
101
70
+31
101avg 87
H24/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
25-20
16-26
29-13
26-12
20-22
30-15
16-25
28-24
18-18
19-17
16-19
23-17
24-11
24-8
28-24
18-21
18-16
18-11
21-21
26-16
17-24
28-28
20-17
21-14
25-14
16-23
18-15
23-25
31-16
20-18
22-18
20-23
28-18
23-31
28-27
22-19
30-19
31-16
18-16
169.1Avg total
92.2Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)91.076.1167.1+14.993%
Season at home (7)94.674.4169.0+20.1100%
Season away (8)87.977.5165.4+10.488%
Last 10 (10)92.276.9169.1+15.3100%
Last 5 (5)96.881.0177.8+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.383.3157.7-9.033%
vs Similar (4)72.270.2142.5+2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)88.175.5163.5+12.682%
This opponent (Kastela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Samobor
#5
W
89-52
89
52
+37
95avg 77
A11/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
88-86
88
86
+2
88avg 77
H18/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
67-89
67
89
-22
56avg 77
A25/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
68-64
68
64
+4
64avg 77
H02/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
59-73
59
73
-14
44avg 77
A09/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
95-72
95
72
+23
91avg 77
H16/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
87-81
87
81
+6
83avg 77
A23/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
71-66
71
66
+5
76avg 77
H13/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
76-80
76
80
-4
69avg 77
H20/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
92-64
92
64
+28
90avg 77
A24/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-8
25-1
17-21
17-22
22-27
25-19
11-16
30-24
22-19
13-25
21-19
11-26
24-16
13-21
13-14
18-13
10-18
22-25
16-16
11-14
25-15
24-16
26-20
20-21
28-19
21-21
16-20
22-21
19-15
18-21
11-15
23-15
18-23
15-16
25-23
18-18
27-4
27-22
22-15
16-23
151.9Avg total
79.2Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.275.3156.5+5.960%
Season at home (8)79.675.6155.2+4.062%
Season away (7)83.075.0158.0+8.057%
Last 10 (10)79.272.7151.9+6.570%
Last 5 (5)84.272.6156.8+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)71.575.8147.2-4.238%
vs Similar (9)79.077.2156.2+1.844%
vs Weaker (13)81.770.8152.5+10.892%
This opponent (Osijek) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
OsijekKastela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OsijekLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#1
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H18/11
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A26/11
Prva Liga
Alkar
#9
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H29/11
Croatian Cup
Marsonia
#9
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H03/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A09/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H16/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A22/12
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H13/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A21/01
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H24/01
Prva Liga
83.7Avg total
46.4Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.037.780.6+5.377%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.236.780.9+7.593%-
Last 30 away (15)41.738.780.4+3.160%-
Last 10 (10)46.437.383.7+9.190%-
Last 5 (5)48.637.686.2+11.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.743.782.3-5.067%-
vs Similar (4)37.833.571.2+4.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.437.481.8+7.082%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samobor
#5
W
55-9
55
9
+46
A11/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H18/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A25/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H02/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A09/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H16/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A23/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H13/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H20/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
54-26
54
26
+28
A24/01
Prva Liga
77.9Avg total
42.8Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.437.276.5+2.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.536.174.7+2.460%-
Last 30 away (15)40.238.278.4+2.033%-
Last 10 (10)42.835.177.9+7.760%-
Last 5 (5)44.434.478.8+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)33.539.172.6-5.612%-
vs Similar (9)39.836.376.1+3.444%-
vs Weaker (13)42.736.579.2+6.269%-
This opponent (Osijek) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Osijektheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osijek: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.726.2
60.0%
52.9%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.5
30.7%
32.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.212.5
72.7%
71.2%12.5
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.9
53.3%
52.9%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.2
32.4%
32.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws15.012.1
80.7%
71.2%12.1
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Osijek
WWWWWWWWWW
Kastela
WLWWWLWLWW
#2
League position
#6
+18.2
Net rating
+7.9
110.3
Offensive rating
105.7
92.1
Defensive rating
97.8
55.0%
Effective FG%
51.5%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
15.4%
Turnover %
18.2%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
30.7%
3-point %
32.4%
75.1%
Assist %
63.6%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 105.7Defence92.1 · 97.8Shooting55.0% · 51.5%3-point %30.7% · 32.4%Ball care15.4% · 18.2%Off. rebounds23.2% · 29.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)100% · 70%
■ Osijek   ■ Kastela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Osijek wins
2
Kastela wins
DateGameScore
21/10/23Kastela v Osijek74-79
07/05/23Kastela v Osijek74-72 OT
12/04/23Osijek v Kastela79-92
11/01/23Osijek v Kastela87-76
09/10/22Kastela v Osijek80-83
14/04/18Osijek v Kastela87-67
16/12/17Kastela v Osijek96-100
03/05/16Osijek v Kastela87-78
16/04/16Kastela v Osijek68-72
09/01/16Osijek v Kastela82-76
Osijeklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24HMladost101-70
21/01/24AHermes116-107 OT
13/01/24HSamobor96-77
22/12/23ACrikvenica80-66
16/12/23HJazine91-85
09/12/23AKK Zagreb75-69
03/12/23HMarsonia99-60
29/11/23HAlkar81-78
26/11/23APodstrana92-74
18/11/23HKvarner91-83
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24ACrikvenica92-64
20/01/24HJazine76-80
13/01/24HKK Zagreb71-66
23/12/23AMarsonia87-81
16/12/23HPodstrana95-72
09/12/23AKvarner59-73
02/12/23HOmis68-64
25/11/23AGorica67-89
18/11/23HStoja88-86
11/11/23ASamobor89-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osijek
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %93%100%88%
Points / game91.094.687.9
Allowed / game76.174.477.5
Point differential+14.9+20.1+10.4
Avg total167.1169.0165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%57%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %13%14%12%
Kastela
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW60%
HomeWWWWL62%
AwayWLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %60%62%57%
Points / game81.279.683.0
Allowed / game75.375.675.0
Point differential+5.9+4.0+8.0
Avg total156.5155.2158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner1514193%91.174.1+17.1
2 Osijek1514193%91.076.1+14.9
3 Gorica1611569%81.175.6+5.4
4 KK Zagreb1610662%81.872.4+9.3
5 Kastela159660%81.275.3+5.9
6 Samobor169756%82.382.6-0.3
7 Jazine169756%87.487.9-0.5
8 Omis168850%78.678.9-0.2
9 Hermes157847%92.190.1+2.1
10 Marsonia1551033%80.985.9-4.9
11 Mladost1541127%77.784.5-6.8
12 Podstrana1641225%71.885.4-13.6
13 Stoja1521313%78.790.8-12.1
14 Crikvenica1521313%72.788.9-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Osijek1615221265
Kastela1614161460
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.