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Osijek vs Marsonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 99-60
23-17 24-11 24-8 28-24
Position#2
Record7-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game75.9
Osijek 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#9
Record2-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game85.5
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 9· NSD Gradski vrt
Other2023-24
Meetings · Osijek v Marsonia
01 Apr 2026
OSIJ69
MARS78
03 Dec 2023
OSIJ99
MARS60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osijek winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Marsonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OsijekCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsijek
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#4
W
86-63
86
63
+23
no box
H10/05
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
100-69
100
69
+31
102avg 83
H10/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
97-72
97
72
+25
96avg 83
A14/10
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
79-74
79
74
+5
70avg 83
A21/10
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
90-80
90
80
+10
85avg 83
A28/10
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
84-77 OT
84
77
+7
no box
H04/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
74-78
74
78
-4
63avg 83
A11/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
W
91-83
91
83
+8
88avg 83
H18/11
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
92-74
92
74
+18
90avg 83
A26/11
Prva Liga
Alkar
#9
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 83
H29/11
Croatian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
23-22
25-17
17-10
23-20
24-15
32-12
21-22
30-23
23-14
26-21
18-14
21-20
23-24
17-16
18-14
33-21
25-15
17-28
15-16
19-21
6-22
18-9
21-12
16-23
16-24
12-16
30-15
21-24
25-20
16-26
29-13
26-12
20-22
30-15
16-25
28-24
18-18
19-17
16-19
162.2Avg total
87.4Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.475.9164.2+12.588%
Season at home (3)91.776.3168.0+15.3100%
Season away (5)86.475.6162.0+10.880%
Last 10 (10)87.474.8162.2+12.690%
Last 5 (5)84.478.0162.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.383.3157.7-9.033%
vs Similar (5)69.272.2141.4-3.020%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)85.372.5157.8+12.981%
This opponent (Marsonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarsoniaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMarsonia
Date
Competition
Gorica
#4
L
60-80
60
80
-20
36avg 68
H08/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
77-75
77
75
+2
68avg 68
A14/10
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
94-102
94
102
-8
84avg 68
H22/10
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
L
75-88
75
88
-13
58avg 68
A29/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
79-81
79
81
-2
64avg 68
H04/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
71-77
71
77
-6
54avg 68
H12/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
106-107
106
107
-1
99avg 68
A18/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
102-74
102
74
+28
85avg 68
H26/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
8-21
13-16
18-24
17-24
17-17
20-10
23-24
39-21
7-32
30-25
18-24
12-29
25-14
14-21
24-24
22-14
24-19
15-23
18-25
10-31
18-14
21-15
22-17
27-36
28-22
32-26
19-23
16-10
27-14
31-20
28-30
168.5Avg total
83.0Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.085.5168.5-2.525%
Season at home (5)81.282.8164.0-1.620%
Season away (3)86.090.0176.0-4.033%
Last 10 (8)83.085.5168.5-2.525%
Last 5 (5)86.685.4172.0+1.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)82.089.4171.4-7.40%
vs Similar (1)77.075.0152.0+2.0100%
vs Weaker (2)88.581.0169.5+7.550%
This opponent (Osijek) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
OsijekMarsonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OsijekLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#4
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H10/05
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H10/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A14/10
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A21/10
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
58-36
58
36
+22
A28/10
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H04/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A11/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H18/11
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A26/11
Prva Liga
Alkar
#9
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H29/11
Croatian Cup
83.9Avg total
44.1Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.837.679.4+4.270%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.235.478.6+7.887%-
Last 30 away (15)40.439.780.1+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)44.139.883.9+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)39.042.081.0-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.743.782.3-5.067%-
vs Similar (5)36.035.671.6+0.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.437.080.4+6.576%-
This opponent (Marsonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarsoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gorica
#4
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H08/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A14/10
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H22/10
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A29/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H04/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H12/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A18/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H26/11
Prva Liga
81.9Avg total
39.8Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (8)39.842.181.9-2.425%-
Last 30 at home (5)38.439.077.4-0.640%-
Last 30 away (3)42.047.389.3-5.30%-
Last 10 (8)39.842.181.9-2.425%-
Last 5 (5)41.840.682.4+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)40.845.886.6-5.020%-
vs Similar (1)34.041.075.0-7.00%-
vs Weaker (2)40.033.573.5+6.550%-
This opponent (Osijek) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Osijektheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osijek: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.427.0
62.2%
52.9%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.6
31.0%
32.9%22.9
🏀 Free throws15.910.8
67.7%
71.2%10.8
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Marsoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marsonia: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.5 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.821.8
52.1%
52.9%43.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.0
32.3%
32.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.512.4
63.5%
71.2%12.4
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/8 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Osijek
WWWLWWWWWW
Marsonia
WLLLLLWL
#2
League position
#9
+15.2
Net rating
-2.1
112.3
Offensive rating
101.2
97.1
Defensive rating
103.3
56.5%
Effective FG%
50.6%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
14.7%
Turnover %
17.7%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.0%
3-point %
32.3%
64.6%
Assist %
41.9%
90%
Form (last 10/8)
25%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 101.2Defence97.1 · 103.3Shooting56.5% · 50.6%3-point %31.0% · 32.3%Ball care14.7% · 17.7%Off. rebounds24.9% · 25.9%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/8)90% · 25%
■ Osijek   ■ Marsonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Osijek wins
0
Marsonia wins
No previous meetings.
Osijeklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/23HAlkar81-78
26/11/23APodstrana92-74
18/11/23HKvarner91-83
11/11/23AOmis74-78
04/11/23HGorica84-77 OT
28/10/23AStoja90-80
21/10/23AKastela79-74
14/10/23AMladost97-72
10/10/23HHermes100-69
10/05/23HKvarner86-63
Marsonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23HCrikvenica102-74
18/11/23AJazine106-107
12/11/23HKK Zagreb71-77
04/11/23HSamobor79-81
29/10/23APodstrana75-88
22/10/23HKvarner94-102
14/10/23AOmis77-75
08/10/23HGorica60-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osijek
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW88%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %88%100%80%
Points / game88.491.786.4
Allowed / game75.976.375.6
Point differential+12.5+15.3+10.8
Avg total164.2168.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %12%33%0%
Marsonia
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Losses (last 8)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW25%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %25%20%33%
Points / game83.081.286.0
Allowed / game85.582.890.0
Point differential-2.5-1.6-4.0
Avg total168.5164.0176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner98189%94.077.1+16.9
2 KK Zagreb98189%84.168.3+15.8
3 Osijek87188%88.475.9+12.5
4 Gorica96367%80.372.3+8.0
5 Kastela95456%82.077.1+4.9
6 Hermes95456%88.987.7+1.2
7 Omis95456%76.376.2+0.1
8 Jazine84450%89.192.9-3.8
9 Samobor94544%76.283.1-6.9
10 Marsonia82625%83.085.5-2.5
11 Stoja92722%82.189.8-7.7
12 Mladost92722%78.286.7-8.4
13 Crikvenica92722%72.989.3-16.4
14 Podstrana81712%73.988.5-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Osijek2324242899
Marsonia171182460
← all games of the day
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