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Osijek vs Gorica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 84-77 (OT)
19-21 6-22 18-9 21-12 20-13
Position#2
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game73.8
Osijek 🏆
Croatia
vs
Gorica
Croatia
Position#4
Record3-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game67.8
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 5· NSD Gradski vrt
Other2023-24
Meetings · Osijek v Gorica
07 Feb 2026
OSIJ57
GORI81
04 Nov 2023
OSIJ84
GORI77
19 Oct 2022
OSIJ77
GORI73
05 Mar 2022
OSIJ87
GORI93
19 Nov 2020
OSIJ86
GORI106
02 Nov 2019
OSIJ95
GORI96
10 Nov 2018
OSIJ82
GORI80
03 Dec 2016
OSIJ92
GORI78
05 Mar 2016
OSIJ59
GORI67
29 Apr 2015
OSIJ85
GORI98
14 Mar 2015
OSIJ86
GORI80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osijek winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OsijekCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsijek
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#4
W
99-96
99
96
+3
no box
A15/04
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
69-65
69
65
+4
no box
A23/04
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
W
67-51
67
51
+16
no box
H26/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
93-84
93
84
+9
no box
A28/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
72-74 OT
72
74
-2
no box
A07/05
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
W
86-63
86
63
+23
no box
H10/05
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
100-69
100
69
+31
102avg 88
H10/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
97-72
97
72
+25
96avg 88
A14/10
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
79-74
79
74
+5
70avg 88
A21/10
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
90-80
90
80
+10
85avg 88
A28/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
24-26
30-19
23-33
17-16
19-18
15-14
18-17
13-10
23-13
17-22
14-6
22-21
25-19
26-20
20-24
14-13
21-14
12-28
17-9
21-14
23-22
25-17
17-10
23-20
24-15
32-12
21-22
30-23
23-14
26-21
18-14
21-20
23-24
17-16
18-14
33-21
25-15
17-28
15-16
158.0Avg total
85.2Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)91.573.8165.2+17.8100%
Season at home (1)100.069.0169.0+31.0100%
Season away (3)88.775.3164.0+13.3100%
Last 10 (10)85.272.8158.0+12.490%
Last 5 (5)90.471.6162.0+18.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.883.5152.2-14.80%
vs Similar (5)69.272.2141.4-3.020%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)86.472.3158.7+14.186%
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Zabok
#10
L
88-93 OT
88
93
-5
no box
H16/04
Premijer liga
Alkar
#12
W
109-102 OT
109
102
+7
no box
A22/04
Premijer liga
Bosco
#11
L
80-96
80
96
-16
no box
H26/04
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#9
L
83-90
83
90
-7
no box
H30/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
73-79
73
79
-6
no box
A07/05
Premijer liga
Marsonia
#9
W
80-60
80
60
+20
80avg 71
A08/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
61-78
61
78
-17
53avg 71
H14/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
83-67
83
67
+16
75avg 71
A22/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
83-66
83
66
+17
78avg 71
H28/10
Prva Liga
LTH Castings
#3
L
44-100
44
100
-56
no box
H30/10
Slovenian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
24-16
22-31
7-13
19-18
28-24
19-22
14-16
21-21
23-25
20-32
16-18
24-25
14-23
25-21
20-21
19-16
17-15
17-15
20-33
19-21
21-8
16-13
24-18
18-9
19-21
14-23
10-25
17-12
30-18
15-17
21-20
25-7
23-9
22-27
13-23
12-28
10-26
12-23
10-23
161.5Avg total
78.4Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.867.8144.5+9.075%
Season at home (2)72.072.0144.0+0.050%
Season away (2)81.563.5145.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.483.1161.5-4.740%
Last 5 (5)70.274.2144.4-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)74.891.4166.2-16.711%
vs Similar (18)80.681.2161.8-0.650%
vs Weaker (2)81.563.0144.5+18.5100%
This opponent (Osijek) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -5.5-5.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -5.5-5.5
OsijekGorica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OsijekLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#4
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A15/04
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A23/04
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H26/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A28/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A07/05
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H10/05
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H10/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A14/10
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A21/10
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
58-36
58
36
+22
A28/10
Prva Liga
80.2Avg total
44.6Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.837.779.5+4.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.335.378.7+8.080%-
Last 30 away (15)40.340.180.4+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)44.635.680.2+9.090%-
Last 5 (5)49.237.686.8+11.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.244.877.0-12.525%-
vs Similar (5)36.035.671.6+0.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)45.036.981.9+8.181%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zabok
#10
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H16/04
Premijer liga
Alkar
#12
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A22/04
Premijer liga
Bosco
#11
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H26/04
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#9
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H30/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A07/05
Premijer liga
Marsonia
#9
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A08/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H14/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A22/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
48-16
48
16
+32
H28/10
Prva Liga
LTH Castings
#3
L
22-54
22
54
-32
H30/10
Slovenian Cup
75.6Avg total
40.2Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.738.978.6+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.237.677.8+2.653%-
Last 30 away (15)39.140.279.3-1.153%-
Last 10 (10)40.235.475.6+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)38.831.870.6+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.943.680.4-6.722%-
vs Similar (18)41.637.679.1+4.067%-
vs Weaker (2)44.022.566.5+21.5100%-
This opponent (Osijek) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Osijektheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osijek: 91.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀65%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 65% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.030.0
62.5%
52.9%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.0
30.1%
32.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws15.810.8
68.3%
71.2%10.8
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.5
55.8%
52.9%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.87.2
27.1%
32.9%21.8
🏀 Free throws17.011.2
66.2%
71.2%11.2
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Osijek
WWWWWLWWWW
Gorica
LWWLWLLLWL
#2
League position
#4
+21.9
Net rating
+11.7
114.7
Offensive rating
101.4
92.9
Defensive rating
89.7
56.8%
Effective FG%
49.6%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
42.8%
14.2%
Turnover %
18.7%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.1%
3-point %
27.1%
64.2%
Assist %
62.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.7 · 101.4Defence92.9 · 89.7Shooting56.8% · 49.6%3-point %30.1% · 27.1%Ball care14.2% · 18.7%Off. rebounds27.6% · 32.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Osijek   ■ Gorica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Osijek wins
8
Gorica wins
DateGameScore
19/10/22Osijek v Gorica77-73
05/03/22Osijek v Gorica87-93
19/11/21Gorica v Osijek82-70
30/04/21Gorica v Osijek108-83
17/01/21Gorica v Osijek95-86 OT
19/11/20Osijek v Gorica86-106
24/01/20Gorica v Osijek102-90
02/11/19Osijek v Gorica95-96
16/03/19Gorica v Osijek117-76
10/11/18Osijek v Gorica82-80
Osijeklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23AStoja90-80
21/10/23AKastela79-74
14/10/23AMladost97-72
10/10/23HHermes100-69
10/05/23HKvarner86-63
07/05/23AKastela72-74 OT
28/04/23AOmis93-84
26/04/23HDubrovnik67-51
23/04/23AKK Zagreb69-65
15/04/23AKvarner99-96
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/23HLTH Castings44-100
28/10/23HCrikvenica83-66
22/10/23AJazine83-67
14/10/23HKK Zagreb61-78
08/10/23AMarsonia80-60
07/05/23ADinamo Zagreb73-79
30/04/23HSkrljevo83-90
26/04/23HBosco80-96
22/04/23AAlkar109-102 OT
16/04/23HZabok88-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osijek
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.5100.088.7
Allowed / game73.869.075.3
Point differential+17.8+31.0+13.3
Avg total165.2169.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gorica
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game76.872.081.5
Allowed / game67.872.063.5
Point differential+9.0+0.0+18.0
Avg total144.5144.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner440100%93.874.5+19.2
2 Osijek440100%91.573.8+17.8
3 KK Zagreb54180%83.065.8+17.2
4 Gorica43175%76.867.8+9.0
5 Hermes43175%86.585.5+1.0
6 Omis42250%75.576.5-1.0
7 Samobor42250%80.582.5-2.0
8 Jazine42250%91.296.5-5.2
9 Kastela41325%82.081.8+0.2
10 Mladost41325%82.891.8-9.0
11 Marsonia41325%76.586.2-9.8
12 Crikvenica41325%71.881.8-10.0
13 Podstrana51420%72.488.2-15.8
14 Stoja4040%84.096.0-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Osijek19618212084
Gorica21229121377
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