Osijek vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2019

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 88-69

23-23 22-11 28-20 15-15

Position#5

Record8-7

FormLWLLW

Points / game77.9

Allowed / game80.5

Osijek 🏆

Zadar

Position#2

Record12-3

FormWLWLL

Points / game85.2

Allowed / game77.7

Premijer ligaRound 16

Other2018-19

Meetings · Osijek v Zadar

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osijek winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Zadar winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Osijek

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alkar

#11

78-82

-4

A15/12

Premijer liga

Hermes

#10

79-77

H22/12

Premijer liga

Polzela

110-86

110

+24

H11/01

Alpe Adria Cup

Cedevita

74-86

-12

H13/01

Croatian Cup

Cedevita

83-78

H18/01

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

66-79

-13

A25/01

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

104-95

104

H04/02

Premijer liga

Levice

62-103

103

-41

A06/02

Alpe Adria Cup

Levice

73-87

-14

H11/02

Alpe Adria Cup

Bosco

#12

71-66

A02/03

Premijer liga

27-21

18-17

13-17

20-27

21-18

15-19

24-20

19-20

29-23

19-27

33-19

29-17

12-25

25-25

16-19

21-17

18-12

22-29

22-15

21-22

20-26

14-17

22-16

10-20

25-22

22-20

28-29

29-24

16-22

17-29

13-23

16-29

23-22

13-17

16-21

21-27

17-16

20-17

18-19

16-14

163.9Avg total

80.0Scored

83.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	77.9	80.5	158.4	-2.7	53%
Season at home (7)	87.6	81.6	169.1	+6.0	86%
Season away (8)	69.4	79.6	149.0	-10.2	25%
Last 10 (10)	80.0	83.9	163.9	-3.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	75.2	86.0	161.2	-10.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	69.7	88.0	157.7	-18.3	17%
vs Similar (11)	83.7	78.7	162.5	+5.0	64%
vs Weaker (6)	82.2	70.8	153.0	+11.3	83%

This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Zadar

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zabok

90-66

+24

H24/01

Premijer liga

KK Krka Novo mesto

#12

64-72

-8

H27/01

ABA League

Gorica

85-77

A01/02

Premijer liga

Mega Bemax

97-85

+12

A03/02

ABA League

Cibona

95-91

H09/02

ABA League

Bosco

#13

76-63

+13

H13/02

Croatian Cup

Cibona

81-83

-2

A14/02

Croatian Cup

Cibona

79-76

H28/02

Premijer liga

Buducnost

69-75

-6

A04/03

ABA League

Crvena zvezda

69-87

-18

H09/03

ABA League

23-18

22-17

20-11

25-20

12-17

14-22

18-14

20-19

24-19

12-19

25-19

24-20

20-19

30-26

25-20

22-20

22-22

26-25

22-17

25-27

14-19

28-18

10-18

24-8

14-17

20-31

26-20

21-15

22-16

17-28

27-17

13-15

27-23

18-22

16-15

8-15

15-19

16-18

17-35

21-15

158.0Avg total

80.5Scored

77.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	85.2	77.7	162.9	+7.5	80%
Season at home (8)	88.2	72.0	160.2	+16.2	100%
Season away (7)	81.7	84.1	165.9	-2.4	57%
Last 10 (10)	80.5	77.5	158.0	+3.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	74.8	76.8	151.6	-2.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	74.3	86.3	160.6	-12.0	14%
vs Similar (11)	85.3	79.5	164.8	+5.7	73%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	86.9	74.0	160.9	+12.9	75%

This opponent (Osijek) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

OsijekZadar

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.1	39.9	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	18.2	39.7	+3.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	22.1	40.1	-4.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.7	41.5	+0.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.6	41.8	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	17.9	20.6	38.5	-2.7	42%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.3	20.1	40.4	+0.2	45%	-
vs Weaker (6)	24.0	18.2	42.2	+5.8	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	52%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.5	18.6	39.1	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.3	21.0	41.3	-0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.9	38.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.8	37.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.3	21.9	41.1	-2.6	43%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.6	19.5	42.2	+3.1	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	18.9	18.3	37.2	+0.6	45%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.1	39.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	20.1	39.9	-0.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	20.0	37.9	-2.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	21.7	40.2	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	20.0	37.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.2	22.8	41.0	-4.7	8%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.1	18.9	38.0	+0.2	55%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.0	15.8	34.8	+3.2	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.5	21.4	41.9	-0.9	45%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.2	21.3	41.5	-1.1	41%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	22.6	42.9	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	23.4	43.2	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.9	22.4	41.3	-3.6	14%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.5	21.9	41.4	-2.5	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	22.5	20.3	42.8	+2.3	73%	-

OsijekLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alkar

#11

45-38

A15/12

Premijer liga

Hermes

#10

36-37

-1

H22/12

Premijer liga

Polzela

48-50

-2

H11/01

Alpe Adria Cup

Cedevita

37-50

-13

H13/01

Croatian Cup

Cedevita

40-41

-1

H18/01

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

34-43

-9

A25/01

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

47-42

H04/02

Premijer liga

Levice

33-51

-18

A06/02

Alpe Adria Cup

Levice

36-39

-3

H11/02

Alpe Adria Cup

Bosco

#12

37-33

A02/03

Premijer liga

81.7Avg total

39.3Scored

42.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	40.1	78.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.2	38.4	79.6	+2.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.9	42.1	78.0	-6.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	42.4	81.7	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	41.6	79.0	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	36.1	43.4	79.5	-7.3	8%	-
vs Similar (11)	39.4	39.0	78.4	+0.4	45%	-
vs Weaker (6)	43.0	34.0	77.0	+9.0	100%	-

This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zabok

45-35

+10

H24/01

Premijer liga

KK Krka Novo mesto

#12

26-39

-13

H27/01

ABA League

Gorica

36-38

-2

A01/02

Premijer liga

Mega Bemax

50-45

A03/02

ABA League

Cibona

48-47

H09/02

ABA League

Bosco

#13

42-37

H13/02

Croatian Cup

Cibona

34-48

-14

A14/02

Croatian Cup

Cibona

39-44

-5

H28/02

Premijer liga

Buducnost

45-45

A04/03

ABA League

Crvena zvezda

31-37

-6

H09/03

ABA League

81.1Avg total

39.6Scored

41.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.9	41.0	81.9	-0.1	48%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.7	39.9	80.6	+0.8	59%	-
Last 30 away (12)	41.2	42.6	83.8	-1.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	41.5	81.1	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	42.2	80.4	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	38.1	44.3	82.4	-6.1	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	42.1	41.5	83.5	+0.6	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	41.5	38.5	80.0	+2.9	73%	-

This opponent (Osijek) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.7	38.9	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	19.8	41.8	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.9	19.6	35.6	-3.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.8	40.3	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.6	41.0	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	15.2	21.2	36.3	-6.0	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	23.4	18.9	42.3	+4.5	64%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.8	18.5	38.3	+1.3	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.0	19.3	40.2	+1.7	62%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.5	18.4	38.8	+2.1	65%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.7	20.6	42.2	+1.1	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.6	23.0	41.6	-4.4	29%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.4	17.6	40.0	+4.7	82%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.1	18.5	39.6	+2.5	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.2	40.9	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.7	20.7	41.4	+0.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	21.9	40.3	-3.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.7	41.9	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	22.8	41.2	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.4	23.4	41.8	-5.0	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.0	20.8	41.8	+0.2	45%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.3	18.3	37.7	+1.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.7	18.8	38.5	+1.0	55%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.8	18.4	39.2	+2.4	59%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.2	19.2	37.5	-1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	17.4	37.7	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	13.6	31.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.1	16.9	33.0	-0.7	29%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.7	18.7	40.5	+3.0	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	41.0	79.7	-2.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.6	40.5	83.1	+2.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.4	41.5	75.9	-7.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	41.5	82.2	-0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	44.4	82.2	-6.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	33.6	44.6	78.2	-11.0	17%	-
vs Similar (11)	44.4	39.7	84.1	+4.6	73%	-
vs Weaker (6)	39.2	36.8	76.0	+2.3	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.7	38.0	78.7	+2.7	62%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.2	36.8	78.0	+4.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (12)	39.9	39.8	79.8	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	36.0	76.9	+4.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	34.6	71.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	34.7	39.9	74.6	-5.1	29%	-
vs Similar (11)	42.4	37.6	80.0	+4.7	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	42.8	37.3	80.1	+5.5	82%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Osijektheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 78.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	19.2	49.1%	53.3%	38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.7	8.1	34.2%	34.1%	24.3
🏀 Free throws	20.3	15.6	76.8%	74.0%	15.6

They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.4	19.8	55.9%	53.3%	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.6	9.4	34.1%	34.1%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	21.8	15.6	71.6%	74.0%	15.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	21.8	54.5%	53.3%	43.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.5	8.4	34.5%	34.1%	25.3
🏀 Free throws	19.6	15.4	78.4%	74.0%	15.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.9	20.0	52.8%	53.3%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.2	9.1	34.8%	34.1%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	23.2	16.9	73.0%	74.0%	16.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Osijek wins

Zadar wins

Date	Game	Score
04/11/18	Zadar v Osijek	90-69
18/04/18	Zadar v Osijek	95-79
22/12/17	Osijek v Zadar	72-88
18/03/17	Osijek v Zadar	77-80
25/11/16	Zadar v Osijek	73-64
28/01/12	Osijek v Zadar	84-86 OT
29/10/11	Zadar v Osijek	67-51

Osijeklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/03/19	A	Bosco	71-66
11/02/19	H	Levice	73-87
06/02/19	A	Levice	62-103
04/02/19	H	GKK Sibenik	104-95
25/01/19	A	Skrljevo	66-79
18/01/19	H	Cedevita	83-78
13/01/19	H	Cedevita	74-86
11/01/19	H	Polzela	110-86
22/12/18	H	Hermes	79-77
15/12/18	A	Alkar	78-82

Zadarlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/03/19	H	Crvena zvezda	69-87
04/03/19	A	Buducnost	69-75
28/02/19	H	Cibona	79-76
14/02/19	A	Cibona	81-83
13/02/19	H	Bosco	76-63
09/02/19	H	Cibona	95-91
03/02/19	A	Mega Bemax	97-85
01/02/19	A	Gorica	85-77
27/01/19	H	KK Krka Novo mesto	64-72
24/01/19	H	Zabok	90-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osijek

Premijer liga 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	53%
Home	WLWWW	86%
Away	LLLLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	53%	86%	25%
Points / game	77.9	87.6	69.4
Allowed / game	80.5	81.6	79.6
Point differential	-2.7	+6.0	-10.2
Avg total	158.4	169.1	149.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	14%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	75% (4)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Zadar

Premijer liga 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	80%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LWLWW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	80%	100%	57%
Points / game	85.2	88.2	81.7
Allowed / game	77.7	72.0	84.1
Point differential	+7.5	+16.2	-2.4
Avg total	162.9	160.2	165.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	62%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Cibona	15	12	3	80%	88.0	73.1	+14.9
2	Zadar	15	12	3	80%	85.2	77.7	+7.5
3	Split	16	11	5	69%	82.4	74.9	+7.5
4	Cedevita	16	10	6	62%	80.4	77.2	+3.2
5	Zabok	16	9	7	56%	79.9	79.2	+0.8
6	Osijek	15	8	7	53%	77.9	80.5	-2.7
7	Hermes	16	7	9	44%	88.0	89.5	-1.5
8	Gorica	15	6	9	40%	82.5	81.3	+1.2
9	Skrljevo	16	6	10	38%	81.5	83.6	-2.1
10	GKK Sibenik	16	6	10	38%	81.2	83.8	-2.6
11	Alkar	16	6	10	38%	76.9	88.5	-11.6
12	Bosco	16	1	15	6%	76.1	89.4	-13.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Osijek	23	22	28	15	88
Zadar	23	11	20	15	69

← all games of the day

Osijek vs Zadar Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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