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Osijek vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 60-58
17-18 10-13 19-10 14-17
Position#12
Record3-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game84.2
Osijek 🏆
Croatia
vs
Zadar
Croatia
Position#1
Record13-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game62.6
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 15· NSD Gradski vrt
Other2024-25
Meetings · Osijek v Zadar
09 Mar 2025
OSIJ71
ZAD91
05 Jan 2025
OSIJ60
ZAD58
09 Mar 2022
OSIJ63
ZAD101
19 Mar 2021
OSIJ77
ZAD97
02 Feb 2021
OSIJ75
ZAD81
14 Oct 2020
OSIJ69
ZAD78
07 Jan 2020
OSIJ75
ZAD87
10 Mar 2019
OSIJ88
ZAD69
22 Dec 2017
OSIJ72
ZAD88
18 Mar 2017
OSIJ77
ZAD80
28 Jan 2012
OSIJ84
ZAD86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osijek winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OsijekCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsijek
Date
Competition
Alkar
#7
L
74-84
74
84
-10
74avg 75
A27/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
W
75-73
75
73
+2
75avg 75
H30/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
L
70-84
70
84
-14
70avg 75
A02/11
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
W
92-81
92
81
+11
83avg 75
A09/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
63-73
63
73
-10
50avg 75
H16/11
Premijer liga
Kastela
#8
L
73-88
73
88
-15
62avg 75
A27/11
Croatian Cup
Split
#2
L
55-111
55
111
-56
46avg 75
A28/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
W
77-72
77
72
+5
77avg 75
H07/12
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
74-88
74
88
-14
64avg 75
H15/12
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
88-90 OT
88
90
-2
80avg 75
H29/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
15-29
15-10
19-21
17-19
25-22
21-12
12-20
14-24
15-17
17-19
24-24
22-12
25-19
23-22
22-28
8-18
15-13
13-24
27-18
21-26
17-20
18-20
17-22
13-32
13-25
15-23
14-31
18-17
20-23
16-15
23-17
23-26
27-21
14-25
10-16
24-21
29-15
11-25
21-24
158.5Avg total
74.1Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)72.684.2156.8-11.523%
Season at home (6)75.880.8156.7-5.033%
Season away (7)69.987.0156.9-17.114%
Last 10 (10)74.184.4158.5-10.330%
Last 5 (5)73.489.8163.2-16.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)72.782.6155.2-9.928%
vs Similar (1)88.081.0169.0+7.0100%
vs Weaker (10)88.875.5164.3+13.370%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Dubai
#4
L
63-71
63
71
-8
55avg 76
H06/12
ABA League
Kvarner
#4
W
77-63
77
63
+14
72avg 76
H08/12
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
89-67
89
67
+22
88avg 76
H12/12
ABA League
Alkar
#7
W
71-61
71
61
+10
70avg 76
A15/12
Premijer liga
Samobor
#16
W
87-55
87
55
+32
83avg 76
A16/12
Croatian Cup
Zabok
#8
W
80-53
80
53
+27
74avg 76
H20/12
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#17
W
81-55
81
55
+26
75avg 76
A23/12
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
76-66
76
66
+10
69avg 76
H27/12
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
L
61-68
61
68
-7
52avg 76
A29/12
Premijer liga
Split
#14
W
77-73
77
73
+4
69avg 76
A03/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
16-11
16-17
10-20
25-23
23-11
11-14
18-15
21-14
18-12
26-18
24-23
18-17
24-13
15-26
14-5
20-22
26-19
26-6
15-8
16-11
22-14
20-10
22-18
13-13
27-18
23-10
18-14
25-18
18-21
12-12
21-15
16-12
15-17
18-13
12-26
21-17
19-21
16-21
21-14
139.4Avg total
76.2Scored
63.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.462.6142.0+16.993%
Season at home (8)85.663.6149.2+22.0100%
Season away (6)71.261.2132.3+10.083%
Last 10 (10)76.263.2139.4+13.080%
Last 5 (5)75.063.0138.0+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)66.580.2146.8-13.80%
vs Similar (6)73.072.2145.2+0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)80.664.2144.8+16.595%
This opponent (Osijek) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
OsijekZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OsijekLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alkar
#7
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A27/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H30/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A02/11
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A09/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H16/11
Premijer liga
Kastela
#8
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A27/11
Croatian Cup
Split
#2
L
26-57
26
57
-31
A28/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H07/12
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H15/12
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H29/12
Premijer liga
80.9Avg total
38.6Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.241.080.1-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.538.980.5+2.662%-
Last 30 away (17)37.442.579.9-5.224%-
Last 10 (10)38.642.380.9-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)41.045.286.2-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)36.042.578.5-6.528%-
vs Similar (1)35.038.073.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker (10)45.438.083.4+7.470%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubai
#4
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H06/12
ABA League
Kvarner
#4
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H08/12
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H12/12
ABA League
Alkar
#7
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A15/12
Premijer liga
Samobor
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A16/12
Croatian Cup
Zabok
#8
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H20/12
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#17
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A23/12
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H27/12
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A29/12
Premijer liga
Split
#14
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A03/01
ABA League
73.1Avg total
40.4Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.234.975.1+5.377%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.334.876.1+6.576%-
Last 30 away (13)38.735.173.8+3.677%-
Last 10 (10)40.432.773.1+7.7100%-
Last 5 (5)38.432.470.8+6.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.242.277.5-7.050%-
vs Similar (6)37.738.275.8-0.567%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)41.732.073.7+9.784%-
This opponent (Osijek) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Osijektheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osijek: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.5
53.1%
53.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.6
32.8%
34.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws16.311.3
69.3%
73.3%11.3
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.417.5
50.9%
53.5%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.1
33.3%
34.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.013.1
72.8%
73.3%13.1
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Osijek
LLWLLLWLWL
Zadar
WLWWWWWWWL
#12
League position
#1
-13.7
Net rating
+19.1
98.1
Offensive rating
109.2
111.7
Defensive rating
90.1
51.6%
Effective FG%
50.5%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
42.7%
20.4%
Turnover %
14.6%
22.5%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.8%
3-point %
33.3%
68.3%
Assist %
61.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence98.1 · 109.2Defence111.7 · 90.1Shooting51.6% · 50.5%3-point %32.8% · 33.3%Ball care20.4% · 14.6%Off. rebounds22.5% · 30.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Osijek   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Osijek wins
9
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
17/10/24Zadar v Osijek75-63
09/03/22Osijek v Zadar63-101
19/10/21Zadar v Osijek86-78
19/03/21Osijek v Zadar77-97
02/02/21Osijek v Zadar75-81
05/01/21Zadar v Osijek73-70
14/10/20Osijek v Zadar69-78
07/01/20Osijek v Zadar75-87
11/10/19Zadar v Osijek114-72
10/03/19Osijek v Zadar88-69
Osijeklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24HDinamo Zagreb88-90 OT
15/12/24HCedevita Junior74-88
07/12/24HDubrovnik77-72
28/11/24ASplit55-111
27/11/24AKastela73-88
16/11/24HCibona63-73
09/11/24AKvarner92-81
02/11/24ADubrava70-84
30/10/24HZabok75-73
27/10/24AAlkar74-84
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25ASplit77-73
29/12/24ADubrava61-68
27/12/24HSpartak Subotica76-66
23/12/24AMornar Bar81-55
20/12/24HZabok80-53
16/12/24ASamobor87-55
15/12/24AAlkar71-61
12/12/24HBorac Mozzart89-67
08/12/24HKvarner77-63
06/12/24HDubai63-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osijek
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL23%
HomeWLWLL33%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %23%33%14%
Points / game72.675.869.9
Allowed / game84.280.887.0
Point differential-11.5-5.0-17.1
Avg total156.8156.7156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %8%17%0%
Zadar
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %93%100%83%
Points / game79.485.671.2
Allowed / game62.663.661.2
Point differential+16.9+22.0+10.0
Avg total142.0149.2132.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+79%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar1413193%79.462.6+16.9
2 Split1310377%90.576.9+13.6
3 Cedevita Junior1410471%83.475.1+8.3
4 Cibona159660%84.778.9+5.7
5 Kvarner137654%82.080.2+1.8
6 Dinamo Zagreb157847%84.385.6-1.3
7 Zabok146843%77.985.2-7.4
8 Dubrava156940%74.980.3-5.3
9 GKK Sibenka135838%74.582.4-7.9
10 Alkar1441029%69.477.1-7.8
11 Dubrovnik1331023%73.979.7-5.8
12 Osijek1331023%72.684.2-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Osijek1710191460
Zadar1813101758
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