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ToPo Helsinki vs Oulu Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 87-67
23-21 24-10 21-11 19-25
Position#3
Record11-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game93.1
Allowed / game83.9
vs
Position#11
Record5-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game84.8
FinlandI Divisioona A· Munkkiniemen Yhteiskoulu (Helsinki)
Other2023-24
Meetings · ToPo Helsinki v Oulu
29 Nov 2024
TOPO103
OULU93
03 Feb 2024
TOPO87
OULU67
29 Oct 2022
TOPO81
OULU74
09 Jan 2022
TOPO89
OULU96
31 Oct 2020
TOPO114
OULU96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ToPo Helsinki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oulu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToPo HelsinkiFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHelsinki
Date
Competition
Raiders Basket
#6
W
102-62
102
62
+40
105avg 93
H11/11
I Divisioona A
Huima
#7
W
99-65
99
65
+34
106avg 93
A18/11
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#9
W
93-47
93
47
+46
101avg 93
H24/11
I Divisioona A
Kristika Turku
#12
W
101-79
101
79
+22
105avg 93
A29/11
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#8
W
94-93
94
93
+1
92avg 93
A10/12
I Divisioona A
Honka
#1
L
63-110
63
110
-47
55avg 93
H15/12
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#10
W
100-94
100
94
+6
98avg 93
H09/01
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#4
W
106-82
106
82
+24
111avg 93
A14/01
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
W
96-84
96
84
+12
96avg 93
H19/01
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#2
L
94-100
94
100
-6
90avg 93
A26/01
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
33-14
18-9
24-22
18-17
27-17
27-13
27-18
18-16
23-17
31-6
21-8
23-24
25-12
21-24
32-19
27-19
21-29
29-23
17-22
18-33
16-33
17-26
12-18
22-28
25-18
34-22
19-26
32-26
19-19
22-15
33-22
21-19
23-23
30-17
22-25
27-29
18-30
24-21
25-20
176.4Avg total
94.8Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)93.183.9177.0+9.373%
Season at home (7)88.983.6172.4+5.357%
Season away (8)96.984.1181.0+12.888%
Last 10 (10)94.881.6176.4+13.280%
Last 5 (5)91.894.0185.8-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.894.6171.3-17.833%
vs Similar (7)91.692.0183.6-0.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)93.479.2172.6+14.286%
This opponent (Oulu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OuluFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOulu
Date
Competition
Honka
#1
L
57-105
57
105
-48
47avg 75
A11/11
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#10
L
97-100
97
100
-3
93avg 75
H18/11
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#4
L
72-90
72
90
-18
61avg 75
A26/11
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
L
55-65
55
65
-10
48avg 75
H03/12
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#2
L
49-80
49
80
-31
48avg 75
A06/12
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#8
W
90-82
90
82
+8
94avg 75
H16/12
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#6
L
82-93
82
93
-11
78avg 75
A07/01
I Divisioona A
Huima
#7
L
89-95
89
95
-6
86avg 75
H14/01
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#9
L
92-102
92
102
-10
94avg 75
A21/01
I Divisioona A
Kristika Turku
#12
W
86-70
86
70
+16
84avg 75
H26/01
I Divisioona A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-29
16-30
15-23
9-23
11-26
32-20
17-21
37-33
19-23
13-33
15-18
25-16
23-16
8-17
13-15
11-17
15-18
11-25
11-21
12-16
18-22
22-24
20-18
30-18
20-24
17-26
26-21
19-22
24-24
15-23
27-21
23-27
15-34
24-20
28-31
25-17
22-19
23-23
29-11
12-17
165.1Avg total
76.9Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.384.8164.1-5.533%
Season at home (8)82.283.6165.9-1.438%
Season away (7)75.986.1162.0-10.329%
Last 10 (10)76.988.2165.1-11.320%
Last 5 (5)87.888.4176.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)75.286.1161.3-10.825%
vs Similar (10)85.783.7169.4+2.060%
vs Weaker (4)89.072.5161.5+16.575%
This opponent (ToPo Helsinki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: +7.7+7.7Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: +7.7+7.7Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
ToPo HelsinkiOulu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToPo HelsinkiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Raiders Basket
#6
W
60-31
60
31
+29
H11/11
I Divisioona A
Huima
#7
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A18/11
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#9
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H24/11
I Divisioona A
Kristika Turku
#12
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A29/11
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#8
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A10/12
I Divisioona A
Honka
#1
L
34-66
34
66
-32
H15/12
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#10
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H09/01
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#4
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A14/01
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H19/01
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#2
L
45-59
45
59
-14
A26/01
I Divisioona A
90.3Avg total
46.3Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.643.686.2-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.744.387.0-1.650%-
Last 30 away (16)42.543.185.6-0.638%-
Last 10 (10)46.344.090.3+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)44.251.695.8-7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.446.083.4-8.611%-
vs Similar (7)42.946.689.4-3.729%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.840.686.4+5.171%-
This opponent (Oulu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OuluLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Honka
#1
L
33-59
33
59
-26
A11/11
I Divisioona A
HBA-Marsky Helsinki
#10
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H18/11
I Divisioona A
Kipina
#4
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A26/11
I Divisioona A
Raholan Pyrkiva
#5
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H03/12
I Divisioona A
Jyvaskyla
#2
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A06/12
I Divisioona A
Helsingin NMKY
#8
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H16/12
I Divisioona A
Raiders Basket
#6
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A07/01
I Divisioona A
Huima
#7
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H14/01
I Divisioona A
Pyrinto Tampere 2
#9
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A21/01
I Divisioona A
Kristika Turku
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H26/01
I Divisioona A
84.1Avg total
36.5Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.781.0-2.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.339.778.0-1.333%-
Last 30 away (15)40.343.784.1-3.460%-
Last 10 (10)36.547.684.1-11.110%-
Last 5 (5)40.047.887.8-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.243.481.7-5.231%-
vs Similar (10)39.941.281.1-1.350%-
vs Weaker (4)42.236.078.2+6.2100%-
This opponent (ToPo Helsinki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
ToPo Helsinkitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

ToPo Helsinki: 94.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.120.8
57.6%
52.1%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.613.4
42.4%
31.8%40.2
🏀 Free throws16.812.2
72.6%
69.0%12.2
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oulutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oulu: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.520.7
56.7%
52.1%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.2
30.4%
31.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws14.09.9
70.7%
69.0%9.9
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
ToPo Helsinki
LWWWLWWWWW
Oulu
WLLLWLLLLL
#3
League position
#11
+16.8
Net rating
-14.6
119.8
Offensive rating
94.4
103.0
Defensive rating
109.0
60.4%
Effective FG%
52.0%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
19.4%
Turnover %
24.7%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.22
42.4%
3-point %
30.4%
79.8%
Assist %
61.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence119.8 · 94.4Defence103.0 · 109.0Shooting60.4% · 52.0%3-point %42.4% · 30.4%Ball care19.4% · 24.7%Off. rebounds33.9% · 25.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ ToPo Helsinki   ■ Oulu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
ToPo Helsinki wins
2
Oulu wins
DateGameScore
05/11/23Oulu v ToPo Helsinki82-89
28/01/23Oulu v ToPo Helsinki81-71
29/10/22ToPo Helsinki v Oulu81-74
09/01/22ToPo Helsinki v Oulu89-96
10/10/21Oulu v ToPo Helsinki65-103
23/01/21Oulu v ToPo Helsinki65-125
31/10/20ToPo Helsinki v Oulu114-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/24AJyvaskyla94-100
19/01/24HRaholan Pyrkiva96-84
14/01/24AKipina106-82
09/01/24HHBA-Marsky Helsinki100-94
15/12/23HHonka63-110
10/12/23AHelsingin NMKY94-93
29/11/23AKristika Turku101-79
24/11/23HPyrinto Tampere 293-47
18/11/23AHuima99-65
11/11/23HRaiders Basket102-62
Oululast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/24HKristika Turku86-70
21/01/24APyrinto Tampere 292-102
14/01/24HHuima89-95
07/01/24ARaiders Basket82-93
16/12/23HHelsingin NMKY90-82
06/12/23AJyvaskyla49-80
03/12/23HRaholan Pyrkiva55-65
26/11/23AKipina72-90
18/11/23HHBA-Marsky Helsinki97-100
11/11/23AHonka57-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

ToPo Helsinki
I Divisioona A 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL73%
HomeWWLWW57%
AwayWWWWL88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %73%57%88%
Points / game93.188.996.9
Allowed / game83.983.684.1
Point differential+9.3+5.3+12.8
Avg total177.0172.4181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%43%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oulu
I Divisioona A 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW33%
HomeLLWLW38%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %33%38%29%
Points / game79.382.275.9
Allowed / game84.883.686.1
Point differential-5.5-1.4-10.3
Avg total164.1165.9162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%12%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jyvaskyla1514193%86.472.0+14.4
2 Honka1614288%89.667.1+22.6
3 ToPo Helsinki1511473%93.183.9+9.3
4 Kipina139469%87.282.4+4.8
5 Raiders Basket169756%84.881.4+3.4
6 Raholan Pyrkiva157847%78.580.3-1.7
7 Huima167944%77.683.9-6.3
8 Oulu1551033%79.384.8-5.5
9 Pyrinto Tampere 21651131%75.480.8-5.3
10 HBA-Marsky Helsinki1441029%81.189.8-8.7
11 Helsingin NMKY1541127%82.590.6-8.1
12 Kristika Turku1621412%72.991.3-18.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
ToPo Helsinki2324211987
Oulu2110112567
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