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Ourense vs Caceres Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 73-61
15-6 22-14 22-13 14-28
Position#12
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game69.0
Ourense 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#17
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game83.0
SpainPrimera FEBRound 4
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ourense v Caceres
27 Oct 2023
OURE73
CACE61
02 Dec 2022
OURE76
CACE70
10 Jan 2021
OURE73
CACE67
07 Mar 2020
OURE74
CACE86
19 Dec 2018
OURE85
CACE73
16 Mar 2018
OURE90
CACE72
09 Dec 2016
OURE79
CACE55
12 Feb 2016
OURE59
CACE70
18 Jan 2013
OURE81
CACE73
11 Mar 2011
OURE73
CACE59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ourense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caceres winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OurenseSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOurense
Date
Competition
Palencia
#2
L
80-86
80
86
-6
no box
A09/04
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#14
L
62-67
62
67
-5
no box
H15/04
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
49-96
49
96
-47
no box
A22/04
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
86-77
86
77
+9
no box
H29/04
Primera FEB
Iraurgi SB
#17
W
80-76
80
76
+4
no box
A05/05
Primera FEB
MoraBanc Andorra
#1
L
61-95
61
95
-34
no box
A13/05
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#6
L
56-82
56
82
-26
no box
H19/05
Primera FEB
Castello
#15
W
93-80
93
80
+13
85avg 78
H07/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
80-76 OT
80
76
+4
no box
A14/10
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#18
W
68-51
68
51
+17
72avg 78
H21/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
9-22
24-14
29-31
11-20
16-19
15-12
20-16
10-27
8-18
16-28
15-23
16-24
18-17
18-15
34-21
17-15
19-16
22-21
22-24
12-25
20-24
13-23
16-23
20-22
17-22
7-19
12-19
21-17
20-18
19-26
33-19
16-12
21-15
4-18
22-18
14-15
14-17
13-16
27-3
150.1Avg total
71.5Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.369.0149.3+11.3100%
Season at home (2)80.565.5146.0+15.0100%
Season away (1)80.076.0156.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)71.578.6150.1-7.150%
Last 5 (5)71.676.8148.4-5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)72.283.6155.8-11.425%
vs Similar (13)75.273.2148.3+2.062%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)68.051.0119.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Caceres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaceresSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaceres
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
87-95
87
95
-8
no box
H09/04
Primera FEB
Iraurgi SB
#17
L
97-102
97
102
-5
no box
A16/04
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#6
L
64-84
64
84
-20
no box
H21/04
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#7
L
78-90
78
90
-12
no box
A30/04
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#5
W
102-94
102
94
+8
no box
H05/05
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
L
89-97
89
97
-8
no box
A14/05
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
L
81-87
81
87
-6
no box
H19/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
60-83
60
83
-23
46avg 68
H06/10
Primera FEB
Castello
#15
L
86-90
86
90
-4
73avg 68
A13/10
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
W
90-76
90
76
+14
86avg 68
H20/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
16-23
22-26
27-29
31-25
26-26
23-23
17-28
15-16
26-28
11-17
12-23
17-19
23-29
25-23
13-19
27-28
25-22
18-28
32-16
19-30
29-19
19-29
22-19
21-20
20-24
20-18
20-25
14-25
14-24
18-19
14-15
27-24
17-20
25-29
17-17
27-19
28-24
19-19
16-14
173.2Avg total
83.4Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.783.0161.7-4.333%
Season at home (2)75.079.5154.5-4.550%
Season away (1)86.090.0176.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)83.489.8173.2-6.420%
Last 5 (5)81.286.6167.8-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)76.084.8160.8-8.812%
vs Similar (13)79.879.7159.5+0.154%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ourense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
OurenseCaceres
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palencia
#2
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A09/04
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#14
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H15/04
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
18-45
18
45
-27
A22/04
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H29/04
Primera FEB
Iraurgi SB
#17
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A05/05
Primera FEB
MoraBanc Andorra
#1
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A13/05
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#6
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H19/05
Primera FEB
Castello
#15
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H07/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A14/10
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#18
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H21/10
Primera FEB
70.1Avg total
31.7Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.337.572.8-2.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.135.972.0+0.140%-
Last 30 away (15)34.539.173.5-4.647%-
Last 10 (10)31.738.470.1-6.730%-
Last 5 (5)35.037.472.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)34.840.575.3-5.731%-
vs Similar (13)36.434.270.6+2.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)28.032.060.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Caceres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaceresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H09/04
Primera FEB
Iraurgi SB
#17
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A16/04
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#6
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H21/04
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A30/04
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#5
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H05/05
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A14/05
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H19/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H06/10
Primera FEB
Castello
#15
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A13/10
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H20/10
Primera FEB
90.6Avg total
44.4Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.641.180.7-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.940.779.6-1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)40.341.581.8-1.340%-
Last 10 (10)44.446.290.6-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)43.245.889.0-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.842.280.0-4.424%-
vs Similar (13)41.839.881.6+2.162%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ourense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Ourense wins
4
Caceres wins
DateGameScore
31/03/23Caceres v Ourense92-77
02/12/22Ourense v Caceres76-70
10/01/21Ourense v Caceres73-67
30/10/20Caceres v Ourense75-66
07/03/20Ourense v Caceres74-86
03/11/19Caceres v Ourense68-69
12/04/19Caceres v Ourense80-83
19/12/18Ourense v Caceres85-73
16/03/18Ourense v Caceres90-72
24/11/17Caceres v Ourense84-75
Ourenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23HClavijo68-51
14/10/23AEstela80-76 OT
07/10/23HCastello93-80
19/05/23HForca Lleida56-82
13/05/23AMoraBanc Andorra61-95
05/05/23AIraurgi SB80-76
29/04/23HAlicante86-77
22/04/23ASan Pablo Burgos49-96
15/04/23HOviedo62-67
09/04/23APalencia80-86
Cacereslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/23HMelilla90-76
13/10/23ACastello86-90
06/10/23HEstudiantes60-83
19/05/23HReal Valladolid81-87
14/05/23AMelilla89-97
05/05/23HLeyma Coruna102-94
30/04/23AEstudiantes78-90
21/04/23HForca Lleida64-84
16/04/23AIraurgi SB97-102
09/04/23HSan Pablo Burgos87-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ourense
Primera FEB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game80.380.580.0
Allowed / game69.065.576.0
Point differential+11.3+15.0+4.0
Avg total149.3146.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %33%0%100%
Caceres
Primera FEB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game78.775.086.0
Allowed / game83.079.590.0
Point differential-4.3-4.5-4.0
Avg total161.7154.5176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna330100%93.080.3+12.7
2 Ourense330100%80.369.0+11.3
3 Tizona Burgos43175%90.280.2+10.0
4 San Pablo Burgos43175%79.071.5+7.5
5 Gipuzkoa43175%77.875.0+2.8
6 Estudiantes32167%81.774.7+7.0
7 Real Valladolid32167%77.070.7+6.3
8 Oviedo42250%84.085.5-1.5
9 Alicante31233%73.370.0+3.3
10 Hestia Menorca31233%72.372.7-0.3
11 Caceres31233%78.783.0-4.3
12 Forca Lleida31233%69.077.7-8.7
13 Estela31233%81.390.7-9.3
14 Clavijo31233%56.372.0-15.7
15 Fuenlabrada41325%73.574.0-0.5
16 Real Betis41325%74.278.0-3.8
17 Melilla41325%76.882.5-5.8
18 Castello41325%79.089.5-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ourense1522221473
Caceres614132861
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