Estudiantes vs Caceres Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Apr 2023

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 90-78

19-17 29-23 23-25 19-13

Position#7

Record19-11

FormLWLWL

Points / game78.3

Allowed / game73.3

Estudiantes 🏆

Caceres

Position#15

Record9-21

FormWLLLL

Points / game74.6

Allowed / game80.2

Primera FEBRound 31

Other2022-23

Meetings · Estudiantes v Caceres

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Caceres winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melilla

#16

75-64

+11

H17/02

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

75-81

-6

A05/03

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

75-78

-3

H12/03

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

66-68

-2

A18/03

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

70-65

H26/03

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

51-85

-34

A01/04

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

79-56

+23

H05/04

Primera FEB

Castello

86-87

-1

A09/04

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

80-54

+26

H16/04

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

95-100 OT

100

-5

A22/04

Primera FEB

18-8

22-20

14-13

21-23

20-21

17-19

18-17

20-24

17-25

17-13

17-21

24-19

15-17

17-18

15-19

19-14

25-21

14-15

13-19

18-10

3-19

16-25

16-22

16-19

20-23

12-10

23-17

24-6

32-15

11-25

16-20

27-27

19-17

23-12

20-6

18-19

27-22

20-24

22-23

17-17

149.0Avg total

75.2Scored

73.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	78.3	73.3	151.5	+5.0	63%
Season at home (15)	79.6	67.5	147.1	+12.1	80%
Season away (15)	76.9	79.0	155.9	-2.1	47%
Last 10 (10)	75.2	73.8	149.0	+1.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	76.4	154.6	+1.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	65.3	82.3	147.7	-17.0	0%
vs Similar (9)	77.3	74.1	151.4	+3.2	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	80.9	71.3	152.2	+9.6	72%

This opponent (Caceres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Caceres

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

70-82

-12

H17/02

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

88-94

-6

A05/03

Primera FEB

Castello

58-61

-3

H10/03

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

96-93

A18/03

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

87-76

+11

H24/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

92-77

+15

H31/03

Primera FEB

Palencia

61-76

-15

A05/04

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

87-95

-8

H09/04

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

97-102

102

-5

A16/04

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

64-84

-20

H21/04

Primera FEB

22-13

7-23

15-21

26-25

24-24

16-22

18-23

30-25

17-22

15-9

14-20

12-10

29-21

20-26

25-32

22-14

19-31

28-12

25-11

15-22

26-16

24-16

20-21

22-24

17-14

13-18

12-26

19-18

22-17

16-23

22-26

27-29

31-25

26-26

23-23

17-28

15-16

26-28

11-17

12-23

164.0Avg total

80.0Scored

84.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	74.6	80.2	154.8	-5.6	30%
Season at home (15)	72.0	78.5	150.5	-6.5	27%
Season away (15)	77.2	81.8	159.0	-4.6	33%
Last 10 (10)	80.0	84.0	164.0	-4.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	80.2	86.8	167.0	-6.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	72.6	83.2	155.8	-10.6	0%
vs Similar (15)	76.6	77.1	153.7	-0.5	60%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesCaceres

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	17.5	37.8	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	17.3	37.5	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	17.7	38.1	+2.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.0	17.7	33.7	-1.7	67%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.1	19.0	38.1	+0.1	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.6	16.8	38.3	+4.8	78%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	17.6	35.9	+0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	19.9	40.1	+0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	19.9	42.1	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	17.6	39.8	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.4	19.3	37.7	-0.9	27%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.1	18.2	38.3	+1.9	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.7	37.2	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.8	16.7	35.5	+2.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	20.7	38.9	-2.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	18.1	35.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	19.2	35.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	13.0	22.0	35.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.2	18.3	37.6	+0.9	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	19.0	18.4	37.4	+0.6	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.7	38.0	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.6	19.7	37.3	-2.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	19.7	38.7	-0.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.3	39.4	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.2	43.2	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	16.9	19.4	36.3	-2.5	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.7	20.1	39.7	-0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melilla

#16

40-28

+12

H17/02

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

37-40

-3

A05/03

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

34-38

-4

H12/03

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

32-35

-3

A18/03

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

39-36

H26/03

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

19-44

-25

A01/04

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

32-33

-1

H05/04

Primera FEB

Castello

43-40

A09/04

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

42-29

+13

H16/04

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

47-46

A22/04

Primera FEB

73.4Avg total

36.5Scored

36.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	36.3	75.0	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.0	34.1	73.1	+4.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	38.5	76.9	+0.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	36.9	73.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	38.4	75.0	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	29.0	39.7	68.7	-10.7	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	38.3	37.3	75.7	+1.0	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	40.6	35.2	75.7	+5.4	72%	-

This opponent (Caceres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CaceresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

29-36

-7

H17/02

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

40-46

-6

A05/03

Primera FEB

Castello

32-31

H10/03

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

49-47

A18/03

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

47-43

H24/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

50-32

+18

H31/03

Primera FEB

Palencia

30-32

-2

A05/04

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

38-40

-2

H09/04

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

57-51

A16/04

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

41-44

-3

H21/04

Primera FEB

81.5Avg total

41.3Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	38.5	76.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.9	37.3	73.3	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	39.7	78.7	-0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	40.2	81.5	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	39.8	83.0	+3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	35.3	38.7	74.0	-3.5	20%	-
vs Similar (15)	39.7	38.3	78.0	+1.5	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	17.3	37.3	+2.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	19.6	37.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	17.7	35.1	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.7	22.3	39.0	-5.7	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.1	20.1	39.2	-1.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	19.3	17.0	36.3	+2.3	61%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	19.9	36.9	-2.8	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.4	19.1	36.5	-1.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	20.6	37.3	-3.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	22.0	40.5	-3.5	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	22.6	40.2	-5.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	16.2	20.5	36.7	-4.3	20%	-
vs Similar (15)	17.9	19.2	37.1	-1.3	27%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.1	38.3	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	16.1	36.7	+4.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	20.0	39.9	-0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	17.8	38.2	+2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.6	38.0	+2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.7	20.3	40.0	-0.7	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.9	16.7	36.6	+3.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.5	18.4	38.9	+2.1	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.2	40.8	-1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	22.1	40.7	-3.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	20.4	40.9	+0.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.8	42.0	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	24.4	43.8	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	20.3	22.8	43.1	-2.5	40%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.9	19.7	38.6	-0.7	53%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	36.5	75.8	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.6	33.5	74.1	+7.1	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.9	39.6	77.5	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	35.5	73.3	+2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	35.2	75.0	+4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.3	42.7	79.0	-6.3	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	39.0	36.8	75.8	+2.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	39.8	35.4	75.2	+4.4	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	41.1	77.8	-4.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.1	41.2	77.3	-5.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	41.0	78.3	-3.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	43.8	82.5	-5.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	47.0	84.0	-10.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	36.5	43.3	79.8	-6.9	20%	-
vs Similar (15)	36.9	38.9	75.7	-2.0	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	21.2	50.1%	51.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.1	34.3%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.5	69.2%	73.6%	13.5

They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Cacerestheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.5	58.0%	51.8%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	10.8	43.2%	33.7%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.5	78.0%	73.6%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	21.0	51.0%	51.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.8	34.1%	33.7%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	15.8	11.5	72.8%	73.6%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	21.1	53.9%	51.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	9.9	40.4%	33.7%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.7	73.5%	73.6%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Caceres wins

Date	Game	Score
27/12/22	Caceres v Estudiantes	62-70
27/03/22	Estudiantes v Caceres	83-76
19/11/21	Caceres v Estudiantes	62-71

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/04/23	A	Albacete	95-100 OT
16/04/23	H	Estela	80-54
09/04/23	A	Castello	86-87
05/04/23	H	Gipuzkoa	79-56
01/04/23	A	MoraBanc Andorra	51-85
26/03/23	H	Alicante	70-65
18/03/23	A	Oviedo	66-68
12/03/23	H	Almansa	75-78
05/03/23	A	Real Valladolid	75-81
17/02/23	H	Melilla	75-64

Cacereslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/04/23	H	Forca Lleida	64-84
16/04/23	A	Iraurgi SB	97-102
09/04/23	H	San Pablo Burgos	87-95
05/04/23	A	Palencia	61-76
31/03/23	H	Ourense	92-77
24/03/23	H	Albacete	87-76
18/03/23	A	Estela	96-93
10/03/23	H	Castello	58-61
05/03/23	A	Gipuzkoa	88-94
17/02/23	H	MoraBanc Andorra	70-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	63%
Home	WLWWW	80%
Away	LLLLL	47%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	15	15
Win %	63%	80%	47%
Points / game	78.3	79.6	76.9
Allowed / game	73.3	67.5	79.0
Point differential	+5.0	+12.1	-2.1
Avg total	151.5	147.1	155.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	37%	60%	13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	67% (3)	33% (6)
Overtime %	3%	0%	7%

Caceres

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	30%
Home	LWWLL	27%
Away	LLWLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	15	15
Win %	30%	27%	33%
Points / game	74.6	72.0	77.2
Allowed / game	80.2	78.5	81.8
Point differential	-5.6	-6.5	-4.6
Avg total	154.8	150.5	159.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	13%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (8)	50% (2)	67% (6)
Overtime %	3%	0%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	MoraBanc Andorra	31	27	4	87%	82.8	70.0	+12.8
2	Palencia	31	25	6	81%	82.5	72.7	+9.8
3	Leyma Coruna	30	21	9	70%	84.1	76.1	+8.0
4	San Pablo Burgos	31	20	11	65%	83.1	74.0	+9.1
5	Real Valladolid	31	20	11	65%	76.6	73.5	+3.1
6	Forca Lleida	31	20	11	65%	79.8	76.9	+2.9
7	Estudiantes	30	19	11	63%	78.3	73.3	+5.0
8	Alicante	31	18	13	58%	76.1	75.3	+0.8
9	Gipuzkoa	31	17	14	55%	78.1	74.9	+3.2
10	Castello	31	15	16	48%	75.9	78.4	-2.5
11	Estela	31	14	17	45%	73.8	78.6	-4.9
12	Almansa	31	11	20	35%	74.6	79.7	-5.1
13	Ourense	31	11	20	35%	73.3	79.2	-5.9
14	Caceres	30	9	21	30%	74.6	80.2	-5.6
15	Oviedo	31	9	22	29%	69.3	77.7	-8.5
16	Iraurgi SB	31	8	23	26%	73.3	82.3	-9.0
17	Albacete	30	7	23	23%	72.8	78.6	-5.8
18	Melilla	31	6	25	19%	75.5	83.1	-7.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	19	29	23	19	90
Caceres	17	23	25	13	78

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Estudiantes vs Caceres Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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