Palencia vs Ourense Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Apr 2023

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 86-80

19-18 22-9 14-24 31-29

Position#2

Record23-4

FormWLWWW

Points / game82.4

Allowed / game71.7

Palencia 🏆

Ourense

Position#13

Record10-17

FormWWWLW

Points / game73.9

Allowed / game78.8

Primera FEBRound 28

Other2022-23

Meetings · Palencia v Ourense

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ourense winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Palencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Valladolid

70-76

-6

A28/01

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

84-60

+24

H01/02

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

67-56

+11

A04/02

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

87-79

H17/02

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

89-97

-8

A04/03

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

85-74

+11

H10/03

Primera FEB

Castello

80-85

-5

A17/03

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

94-72

+22

H24/03

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

88-80

A31/03

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

76-61

+15

H05/04

Primera FEB

14-10

21-22

19-14

16-30

23-17

20-16

21-13

20-14

18-22

13-10

15-13

21-11

18-21

21-21

25-26

23-11

23-22

20-17

21-26

25-32

19-17

23-20

23-22

20-15

30-18

21-15

14-27

15-25

24-15

25-21

14-16

31-20

18-25

26-17

16-22

28-16

14-17

18-13

26-12

18-19

156.0Avg total

82.0Scored

74.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	82.4	71.7	154.0	+10.7	85%
Season at home (13)	84.4	69.5	153.8	+14.9	100%
Season away (14)	80.5	73.7	154.2	+6.8	71%
Last 10 (10)	82.0	74.0	156.0	+8.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	84.6	74.4	159.0	+10.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	62.0	89.0	151.0	-27.0	0%
vs Similar (5)	80.6	73.2	153.8	+7.4	80%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	82.5	71.1	153.5	+11.4	88%

This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ourense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gipuzkoa

89-88

A28/01

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

76-86

-10

H01/02

Primera FEB

Castello

64-76

-12

A05/02

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

70-80

-10

H18/02

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

69-75

-6

A05/03

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

74-54

+20

H11/03

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

74-66

A18/03

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

82-72

+10

H25/03

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

77-92

-15

A31/03

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

81-75

H05/04

Primera FEB

30-25

19-22

16-18

24-23

12-18

20-23

25-23

19-22

25-17

18-21

11-16

10-22

20-24

14-15

17-23

19-18

11-15

29-20

12-18

17-22

20-11

21-8

15-14

18-21

22-16

13-23

21-14

18-13

27-17

10-15

24-14

21-26

16-26

16-24

21-20

24-22

19-21

20-21

25-19

17-14

152.0Avg total

75.6Scored

76.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	73.9	78.8	152.7	-5.0	37%
Season at home (14)	76.0	74.7	150.7	+1.3	57%
Season away (13)	71.5	83.2	154.8	-11.7	15%
Last 10 (10)	75.6	76.4	152.0	-0.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	77.6	71.8	149.4	+5.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	73.3	82.1	155.4	-8.7	27%
vs Similar (12)	74.5	74.8	149.2	-0.2	50%
vs Weaker (3)	75.0	72.3	147.3	+2.7	67%

This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PalenciaOurense

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.1	38.0	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	16.6	37.1	+3.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	19.3	38.8	+0.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	18.4	38.5	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	18.4	39.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	11.0	19.0	30.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.4	17.0	38.4	+4.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	20.0	18.2	38.3	+1.8	58%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.0	18.9	37.9	+0.1	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	19.6	38.5	-0.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.2	39.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.9	19.9	39.7	+0.0	27%	-
vs Similar (12)	16.8	17.2	33.9	-0.4	42%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.3	24.3	47.7	-1.0	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	17.3	37.5	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	19.2	40.3	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	15.6	35.1	+3.9	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	17.2	38.0	+3.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	17.2	39.8	+5.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	17.0	30.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.6	16.2	36.8	+4.4	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	20.5	17.5	38.0	+2.9	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	18.8	36.7	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.1	17.1	35.2	+0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	20.7	38.4	-3.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	19.2	37.2	-1.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	18.2	34.2	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	16.9	19.7	36.5	-2.8	27%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.7	18.3	38.0	+1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	16.0	16.3	32.3	-0.3	67%	-

PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Valladolid

35-32

A28/01

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

43-33

+10

H01/02

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

31-32

-1

A04/02

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

39-42

-3

H17/02

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

43-39

A04/03

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

42-37

H10/03

Primera FEB

Castello

51-33

+18

A17/03

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

49-36

+13

H24/03

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

44-42

A31/03

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

32-30

H05/04

Primera FEB

76.5Avg total

40.9Scored

35.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	35.4	75.6	+4.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.6	35.9	77.4	+5.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.0	34.9	73.9	+4.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	35.6	76.5	+5.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	35.6	79.2	+8.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	24.0	36.0	60.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	42.0	33.2	75.2	+8.8	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	40.5	35.8	76.3	+4.7	67%	-

This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gipuzkoa

49-47

A28/01

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

32-41

-9

H01/02

Primera FEB

Castello

43-38

A05/02

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

34-39

-5

H18/02

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

40-35

A05/03

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

41-19

+22

H11/03

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

35-39

-4

A18/03

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

37-32

H25/03

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

32-50

-18

A31/03

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

39-42

-3

H05/04

Primera FEB

76.4Avg total

38.2Scored

38.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	38.0	74.9	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.1	36.1	73.1	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.6	40.3	76.9	-3.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	38.2	76.4	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	36.4	73.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	36.7	39.5	76.3	-2.8	40%	-
vs Similar (12)	36.4	35.5	71.9	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	39.3	40.7	80.0	-1.3	67%	-

This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	17.7	38.1	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.8	16.9	38.6	+4.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.1	38.5	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.8	38.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	33.0	52.0	-14.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.8	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	20.5	16.8	37.2	+3.7	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.9	38.1	-1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.1	20.4	36.6	-4.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	17.9	36.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	16.2	37.4	+5.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.0	21.3	38.3	-4.3	27%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.8	18.9	37.8	-0.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.7	16.7	38.3	+5.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	16.8	37.7	+4.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	20.9	41.7	-0.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	19.3	41.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.0	41.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.0	21.2	39.2	-3.2	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	21.5	18.5	40.0	+3.0	54%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.5	37.6	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.0	20.1	38.1	-2.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.3	39.0	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.2	38.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.1	19.7	37.8	-1.7	47%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.2	20.3	39.6	-1.1	42%	-
vs Weaker (3)	14.0	15.0	29.0	-1.0	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	36.7	77.9	+4.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.7	33.6	76.4	+9.1	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.0	39.3	79.3	+0.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	38.4	79.5	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	38.8	79.8	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	38.0	53.0	91.0	-15.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	38.6	40.0	78.6	-1.4	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	42.0	35.3	77.2	+6.7	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	39.4	75.7	-3.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.2	38.4	76.6	-0.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.1	40.5	74.6	-6.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	38.2	75.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	35.4	76.2	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	35.1	41.0	76.1	-5.9	20%	-
vs Similar (12)	38.1	39.2	77.3	-1.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (3)	35.7	31.7	67.3	+4.0	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Palencia wins

Ourense wins

Date	Game	Score
11/12/22	Ourense v Palencia	66-82
03/01/21	Palencia v Ourense	87-69
24/10/20	Ourense v Palencia	75-68
07/02/20	Palencia v Ourense	87-80
20/10/19	Ourense v Palencia	72-81
21/04/19	Ourense v Palencia	52-55
30/12/18	Palencia v Ourense	76-88
01/04/18	Palencia v Ourense	74-72
10/12/17	Ourense v Palencia	71-74
12/04/17	Ourense v Palencia	68-76

Palencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/04/23	H	Caceres	76-61
31/03/23	A	Albacete	88-80
24/03/23	H	Estela	94-72
17/03/23	A	Castello	80-85
10/03/23	H	Gipuzkoa	85-74
04/03/23	A	MoraBanc Andorra	89-97
17/02/23	H	Alicante	87-79
04/02/23	A	Oviedo	67-56
01/02/23	H	Almansa	84-60
28/01/23	A	Real Valladolid	70-76

Ourenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/04/23	H	Almansa	81-75
31/03/23	A	Caceres	77-92
25/03/23	H	Real Valladolid	82-72
18/03/23	A	Albacete	74-66
11/03/23	H	Melilla	74-54
05/03/23	A	Estela	69-75
18/02/23	H	Leyma Coruna	70-80
05/02/23	A	Castello	64-76
01/02/23	H	Estudiantes	76-86
28/01/23	A	Gipuzkoa	89-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	85%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LWLLW	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	85%	100%	71%
Points / game	82.4	84.4	80.5
Allowed / game	71.7	69.5	73.7
Point differential	+10.7	+14.9	+6.8
Avg total	154.0	153.8	154.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	77%	57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Ourense

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	37%
Home	LLWWW	57%
Away	WLLWL	15%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	37%	57%	15%
Points / game	73.9	76.0	71.5
Allowed / game	78.8	74.7	83.2
Point differential	-5.0	+1.3	-11.7
Avg total	152.7	150.7	154.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	29%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	7%	7%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	MoraBanc Andorra	28	25	3	89%	83.2	69.7	+13.5
2	Palencia	27	23	4	85%	82.4	71.7	+10.7
3	Leyma Coruna	28	19	9	68%	83.5	76.3	+7.2
4	Estudiantes	28	18	10	64%	77.6	73.0	+4.6
5	Real Valladolid	28	18	10	64%	75.6	72.6	+2.9
6	Forca Lleida	27	17	10	63%	79.5	77.4	+2.0
7	San Pablo Burgos	28	17	11	61%	82.3	75.2	+7.1
8	Alicante	28	17	11	61%	76.1	74.8	+1.4
9	Gipuzkoa	28	16	12	57%	77.1	73.3	+3.8
10	Castello	28	14	14	50%	75.1	77.2	-2.0
11	Estela	27	12	15	44%	73.6	78.4	-4.8
12	Ourense	27	10	17	37%	73.9	78.8	-5.0
13	Caceres	28	9	19	32%	74.2	79.2	-5.1
14	Almansa	28	8	20	29%	73.1	80.1	-7.0
15	Oviedo	28	8	20	29%	69.6	78.2	-8.6
16	Iraurgi SB	28	7	21	25%	72.5	80.8	-8.2
17	Albacete	28	6	22	21%	71.6	77.7	-6.0
18	Melilla	28	6	22	21%	74.8	81.1	-6.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Palencia	19	22	14	31	86
Ourense	18	9	24	29	80

← all games of the day

Palencia vs Ourense Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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