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Ourense vs Hestia Menorca Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 20 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record5-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.2/10
Below normal
4.0/10
Below normal
Position#14
Record2-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game74.6
SpainPrimera FEBRound 26
Other2026-27
Meetings · Ourense v Hestia Menorca
20 Mar 2027
OURE v HEST
upcoming
01 Nov 2025
OURE84
HEST80
01 Feb 2025
OURE77
HEST81
03 Feb 2024
OURE61
HEST66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ourense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Hestia Menorca win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OurenseSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOurense
Date
Competition
Melilla
#17
W
93-84
93
84
+9
86avg 68
A03/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
70-74
70
74
-4
65avg 68
H08/05
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
91-71
91
71
+20
79avg 68
H26/09
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
90-86
90
86
+4
79avg 68
A04/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
86-101
86
101
-15
76avg 68
H10/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
L
79-83
79
83
-4
70avg 68
H16/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
80-84
80
84
-4
64avg 68
A24/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
83-73
83
73
+10
no box
H31/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
86-84
86
84
+2
no box
A07/11
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#10
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
H14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
24-31
25-18
20-16
13-20
22-27
19-15
16-12
31-15
18-24
22-17
20-15
20-29
30-16
20-21
20-20
28-21
13-31
20-27
25-22
16-16
22-16
22-24
19-27
25-13
20-22
16-25
19-24
23-20
18-20
26-11
16-22
19-17
25-19
19-20
23-28
20-24
23-11
21-16
23-23
165.9Avg total
84.5Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.282.0167.2+3.262%
Season at home (5)85.280.4165.6+4.860%
Season away (3)85.384.7170.0+0.767%
Last 10 (10)84.581.4165.9+3.160%
Last 5 (5)83.079.6162.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.584.6162.1-7.114%
vs Similar (7)78.782.4161.1-3.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)81.477.4158.9+4.067%
This opponent (Hestia Menorca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hestia MenorcaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMenorca
Date
Competition
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
76avg 65
H22/05
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
76-87
76
87
-11
66avg 65
H24/05
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
68-69
68
69
-1
61avg 65
A26/09
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
L
64-81
64
81
-17
54avg 65
H03/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
76-91
76
91
-15
62avg 65
A09/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
L
67-72
67
72
-5
52avg 65
H17/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
L
76-90
76
90
-14
62avg 65
A25/10
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#10
L
69-73
69
73
-4
no box
H31/10
Primera FEB
Albacete
#12
W
62-56
62
56
+6
no box
A07/11
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#9
W
75-65
75
65
+10
no box
H14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
23-23
16-9
20-21
7-21
22-28
20-19
27-19
20-18
17-20
17-14
14-17
16-24
16-14
11-22
21-21
19-17
18-27
17-14
22-33
23-23
10-14
17-16
17-19
24-23
21-18
15-28
16-21
11-24
26-13
16-21
16-15
18-14
16-11
14-20
14-11
16-18
18-13
20-19
21-15
148.4Avg total
71.8Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)69.674.6144.2-5.025%
Season at home (4)68.872.8141.5-4.025%
Season away (4)70.576.5147.0-6.025%
Last 10 (10)71.876.6148.4-4.830%
Last 5 (5)69.871.2141.0-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)74.183.7157.8-9.610%
vs Similar (9)70.971.9142.8-1.044%
vs Weaker (11)82.574.7157.2+7.773%
This opponent (Ourense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
OurenseHestia Menorca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melilla
#17
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A03/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H08/05
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H26/09
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A04/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H10/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H16/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A24/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H31/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A07/11
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#10
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H14/11
Primera FEB
84.5Avg total
43.4Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.980.8-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.041.681.6-1.647%-
Last 30 away (13)39.939.979.8+0.062%-
Last 10 (10)43.441.184.5+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)42.235.677.8+6.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.842.180.9-3.343%-
vs Similar (7)40.141.982.0-1.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.738.279.9+3.478%-
This opponent (Hestia Menorca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hestia MenorcaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H22/05
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
29-49
29
49
-20
H24/05
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A26/09
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H03/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A09/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H17/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A25/10
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H31/10
Primera FEB
Albacete
#12
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A07/11
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#9
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H14/11
Primera FEB
74.0Avg total
35.6Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.637.576.1+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.437.775.1-0.457%-
Last 30 away (16)39.737.377.0+2.450%-
Last 10 (10)35.638.474.0-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)36.634.270.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.440.777.1-4.320%-
vs Similar (9)38.933.972.8+5.078%-
vs Weaker (11)40.437.577.9+2.864%-
This opponent (Ourense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ourensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ourense: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.2
51.9%
53.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.3
30.5%
32.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws25.718.3
71.2%
74.2%18.3
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hestia Menorcatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hestia Menorca: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.717.8
48.5%
53.0%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.9
32.7%
32.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.513.8
74.6%
74.2%13.8
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ourense
WWWLLLWWLW
Hestia Menorca
WWLLLLLLLW
#6
League position
#14
-5.1
Net rating
-7.9
110.3
Offensive rating
105.2
115.4
Defensive rating
113.1
49.6%
Effective FG%
48.7%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.5%
3-point %
32.7%
53.1%
Assist %
51.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 105.2Defence115.4 · 113.1Shooting49.6% · 48.7%3-point %30.5% · 32.7%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.41 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Ourense   ■ Hestia Menorca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ourense wins
3
Hestia Menorca wins
Ourenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCaja 8787-74
07/11/26AFuenlabrada86-84
31/10/26HFibwi Palma83-73
24/10/26APalencia80-84
16/10/26HAlicante79-83
10/10/26HEstela86-101
04/10/26AGipuzkoa90-86
26/09/26HTizona Burgos91-71
08/05/26HOviedo70-74
03/05/26AMelilla93-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HOviedo75-65
07/11/26AAlbacete62-56
31/10/26HCaja 8769-73
25/10/26AFuenlabrada76-90
17/10/26HFibwi Palma67-72
09/10/26APalencia76-91
03/10/26HAlicante64-81
26/09/26AEstela68-69
24/05/26HLeyma Coruna76-87
22/05/26HLeyma Coruna85-82 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ourense
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW62%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%60%67%
Points / game85.285.285.3
Allowed / game82.080.484.7
Point differential+3.2+4.8+0.7
Avg total167.2165.6170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hestia Menorca
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW25%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game69.668.870.5
Allowed / game74.672.876.5
Point differential-5.0-4.0-6.0
Avg total144.2141.5147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alicante880100%92.075.4+16.6
2 Estudiantes87188%89.877.4+12.4
3 Palencia87188%82.573.0+9.5
4 Gran Canaria86275%91.076.5+14.5
5 Estela86275%82.676.8+5.9
6 Ourense85362%85.282.0+3.2
7 Palmer Basket85362%86.584.5+2.0
8 Granada84450%79.180.8-1.6
9 Oviedo84450%78.983.2-4.4
10 Caja 8783538%75.677.8-2.1
11 Zamora83538%78.081.5-3.5
12 Albacete83538%78.483.5-5.1
13 Fuenlabrada82625%77.980.4-2.5
14 Hestia Menorca82625%69.674.6-5.0
15 Cordoba82625%71.076.6-5.6
16 Tizona Burgos82625%85.493.4-8.0
17 Gipuzkoa82625%76.090.5-14.5
18 Fibwi Palma81712%78.089.8-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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