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Ourense vs Palmer Basket Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 13 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:45
Scheduled
Position#6
Record5-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.2/10
Below normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Position#7
Record5-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game84.5
SpainPrimera FEBRound 16
Other2026-27
Meetings · Ourense v Palmer Basket
13 Jan 2027
OURE v PALM
upcoming
04 Oct 2025
OURE82
PALM69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ourense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Palmer Basket win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OurenseSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOurense
Date
Competition
Melilla
#17
W
93-84
93
84
+9
86avg 68
A03/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
70-74
70
74
-4
65avg 68
H08/05
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
91-71
91
71
+20
79avg 68
H26/09
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
90-86
90
86
+4
79avg 68
A04/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
86-101
86
101
-15
76avg 68
H10/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
L
79-83
79
83
-4
70avg 68
H16/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
80-84
80
84
-4
64avg 68
A24/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
83-73
83
73
+10
no box
H31/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
86-84
86
84
+2
no box
A07/11
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#10
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
H14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
24-31
25-18
20-16
13-20
22-27
19-15
16-12
31-15
18-24
22-17
20-15
20-29
30-16
20-21
20-20
28-21
13-31
20-27
25-22
16-16
22-16
22-24
19-27
25-13
20-22
16-25
19-24
23-20
18-20
26-11
16-22
19-17
25-19
19-20
23-28
20-24
23-11
21-16
23-23
165.9Avg total
84.5Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.282.0167.2+3.262%
Season at home (5)85.280.4165.6+4.860%
Season away (3)85.384.7170.0+0.767%
Last 10 (10)84.581.4165.9+3.160%
Last 5 (5)83.079.6162.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.584.6162.1-7.114%
vs Similar ◀ (7)78.782.4161.1-3.743%
vs Weaker (9)81.477.4158.9+4.067%
This opponent (Palmer Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Palmer BasketSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#4
L
70-73
70
73
-3
59avg 68
A03/05
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
59-85
59
85
-26
40avg 68
H08/05
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
95-94
95
94
+1
91avg 68
H25/09
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#10
L
72-81
72
81
-9
67avg 68
A02/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#11
W
84-69
84
69
+15
79avg 68
H11/10
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
94-90
94
90
+4
83avg 68
A16/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
L
94-95
94
95
-1
88avg 68
H25/10
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#9
W
80-79
80
79
+1
no box
H01/11
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
L
93-97 OT
93
97
-4
no box
A07/11
Primera FEB
Albacete
#12
W
80-71
80
71
+9
no box
H15/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
12-21
28-15
13-25
5-19
16-22
23-21
15-23
29-22
22-21
25-23
19-28
22-17
22-16
10-23
18-25
18-15
21-18
23-17
22-19
18-22
24-23
23-25
29-20
26-26
19-20
25-28
24-21
25-18
16-17
20-23
19-21
23-12
14-20
18-20
29-32
13-19
22-22
21-15
24-15
165.5Avg total
82.1Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.584.5171.0+2.062%
Season at home (5)86.681.6168.2+5.080%
Season away (3)86.389.3175.7-3.033%
Last 10 (10)82.183.4165.5-1.350%
Last 5 (5)88.286.4174.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)72.284.4156.5-12.216%
vs Similar ◀ (4)79.876.0155.8+3.875%
vs Weaker (7)85.682.7168.3+2.971%
This opponent (Ourense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.7-1.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.7-1.7
OurensePalmer Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melilla
#17
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A03/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H08/05
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H26/09
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A04/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H10/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H16/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A24/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H31/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A07/11
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#10
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H14/11
Primera FEB
84.5Avg total
43.4Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.980.8-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.041.681.6-1.647%-
Last 30 away (13)39.939.979.8+0.062%-
Last 10 (10)43.441.184.5+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)42.235.677.8+6.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.842.180.9-3.343%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)40.141.982.0-1.743%-
vs Weaker (9)41.738.279.9+3.478%-
This opponent (Palmer Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Palmer BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#4
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A03/05
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
21-41
21
41
-20
H08/05
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H25/09
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#10
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A02/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#11
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H11/10
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A16/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H25/10
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#9
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H01/11
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A07/11
Primera FEB
Albacete
#12
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H15/11
Primera FEB
76.6Avg total
38.4Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.340.979.1-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.640.879.4-2.244%-
Last 30 away (14)37.940.978.9-3.036%-
Last 10 (10)38.438.276.6+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.879.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)36.442.478.8-6.126%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)40.036.076.0+4.075%-
vs Weaker (7)42.439.481.9+3.057%-
This opponent (Ourense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ourensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ourense: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.2
51.9%
53.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.3
30.5%
32.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws25.718.3
71.2%
74.2%18.3
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Palmer Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palmer Basket: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.3
52.0%
53.0%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.0
29.9%
32.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws21.014.8
70.5%
74.2%14.8
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ourense
WWWLLLWWLW
Palmer Basket
WLWLWWLWLL
#6
League position
#7
-5.1
Net rating
-5.6
110.3
Offensive rating
105.4
115.4
Defensive rating
111.1
49.6%
Effective FG%
49.4%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.5%
3-point %
29.9%
53.1%
Assist %
48.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 105.4Defence115.4 · 111.1Shooting49.6% · 49.4%3-point %30.5% · 29.9%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.41 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Ourense   ■ Palmer Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ourense wins
1
Palmer Basket wins
DateGameScore
05/04/26Palmer Basket v Ourense72-56
04/10/25Ourense v Palmer Basket82-69
Ourenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCaja 8787-74
07/11/26AFuenlabrada86-84
31/10/26HFibwi Palma83-73
24/10/26APalencia80-84
16/10/26HAlicante79-83
10/10/26HEstela86-101
04/10/26AGipuzkoa90-86
26/09/26HTizona Burgos91-71
08/05/26HOviedo70-74
03/05/26AMelilla93-84
Palmer Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HAlbacete80-71
07/11/26AAlicante93-97 OT
01/11/26HOviedo80-79
25/10/26HTizona Burgos94-95
16/10/26AGipuzkoa94-90
11/10/26HZamora84-69
02/10/26ACaja 8772-81
25/09/26HFibwi Palma95-94
08/05/26HFibwi Palma59-85
03/05/26AEstudiantes70-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ourense
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW62%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%60%67%
Points / game85.285.285.3
Allowed / game82.080.484.7
Point differential+3.2+4.8+0.7
Avg total167.2165.6170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Palmer Basket
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW62%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%80%33%
Points / game86.586.686.3
Allowed / game84.581.689.3
Point differential+2.0+5.0-3.0
Avg total171.0168.2175.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %12%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alicante880100%92.075.4+16.6
2 Estudiantes87188%89.877.4+12.4
3 Palencia87188%82.573.0+9.5
4 Gran Canaria86275%91.076.5+14.5
5 Estela86275%82.676.8+5.9
6 Ourense85362%85.282.0+3.2
7 Palmer Basket85362%86.584.5+2.0
8 Granada84450%79.180.8-1.6
9 Oviedo84450%78.983.2-4.4
10 Caja 8783538%75.677.8-2.1
11 Zamora83538%78.081.5-3.5
12 Albacete83538%78.483.5-5.1
13 Fuenlabrada82625%77.980.4-2.5
14 Hestia Menorca82625%69.674.6-5.0
15 Cordoba82625%71.076.6-5.6
16 Tizona Burgos82625%85.493.4-8.0
17 Gipuzkoa82625%76.090.5-14.5
18 Fibwi Palma81712%78.089.8-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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