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Ovarense vs Oliveirense Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record6-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game76.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.3/10
Below normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Position#4
Record4-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game90.0
PortugalLPBRound 17· Arena de Ovar
Other2026-27
Meetings · Ovarense v Oliveirense
06 Mar 2027
OVAR v OLIV
upcoming
16 May 2026
OVAR65
OLIV69
09 May 2026
OVAR93
OLIV79
18 Oct 2025
OVAR87
OLIV82
14 May 2025
OVAR92
OLIV77
03 May 2025
OVAR66
OLIV77
05 Apr 2025
OVAR87
OLIV92
04 Nov 2023
OVAR79
OLIV78
13 May 2023
OVAR82
OLIV74
11 Mar 2023
OVAR72
OLIV73
26 Nov 2022
OVAR85
OLIV83
05 Feb 2022
OVAR89
OLIV91
10 Oct 2020
OVAR56
OLIV73
06 Oct 2019
OVAR49
OLIV91
30 May 2019
OVAR v OLIV
upcoming
19 Apr 2019
OVAR68
OLIV70
13 Jan 2019
OVAR64
OLIV80
10 Nov 2017
OVAR83
OLIV97
25 Feb 2017
OVAR67
OLIV65
27 Feb 2016
OVAR62
OLIV70
09 Jan 2016
OVAR66
OLIV64
13 Dec 2014
OVAR83
OLIV65
25 Jan 2014
OVAR86
OLIV72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ovarense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Oliveirense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#5
W
93-79
93
79
+14
90avg 68
H09/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
72-90
72
90
-18
56avg 68
A13/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
65-69
65
69
-4
48avg 68
H16/05
LPB
Braga
#6
W
96-83
96
83
+13
47avg 68
H03/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
87-71
87
71
+16
81avg 68
A10/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
W
78-69
78
69
+9
63avg 68
H17/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
70-71
70
71
-1
64avg 68
A24/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
78-76
78
76
+2
56avg 68
H31/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
93-87
93
87
+6
no box
A07/11
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
H14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
21-19
18-15
29-27
23-27
24-25
13-19
12-19
16-10
18-17
18-18
13-24
26-19
26-9
23-20
21-35
17-21
20-17
30-9
20-24
17-12
20-17
25-23
16-17
24-16
12-22
16-14
18-19
23-12
15-24
17-20
23-20
16-26
34-31
26-19
17-11
14-20
23-24
24-26
28-11
159.7Avg total
82.1Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.476.9161.3+7.686%
Season at home (4)85.277.2162.5+8.0100%
Season away (3)83.376.3159.7+7.067%
Last 10 (10)82.177.6159.7+4.570%
Last 5 (5)81.676.8158.4+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.880.3152.2-8.517%
vs Similar (8)82.279.0161.2+3.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)85.377.4162.8+7.981%
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliveirense
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#4
W
69-65
69
65
+4
64avg 77
A16/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
76-98
76
98
-22
68avg 77
A21/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
61-86
61
86
-25
52avg 77
A23/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
75avg 77
H28/05
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
91-82
91
82
+9
82avg 77
A03/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
67-92
67
92
-25
49avg 77
A17/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
104-80
104
80
+24
105avg 77
H24/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
113-109 OT
113
109
+4
103avg 77
A31/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
87-93
87
93
-6
no box
H07/11
LPB
Braga
#6
W
91-84
91
84
+7
no box
A14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-16
17-18
18-18
24-13
17-24
10-29
20-25
29-20
18-17
14-24
16-19
13-26
23-15
23-23
16-25
16-23
34-20
19-19
16-16
22-27
13-21
19-24
18-26
17-21
23-24
32-8
24-20
25-28
21-20
24-25
24-25
21-20
26-16
31-34
19-26
11-17
21-18
20-20
24-25
26-21
171.2Avg total
83.7Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.290.0182.2+2.267%
Season at home (2)95.586.5182.0+9.050%
Season away (4)90.591.8182.2-1.275%
Last 10 (10)83.787.5171.2-3.850%
Last 5 (5)92.491.6184.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)77.287.9165.1-10.720%
vs Similar (8)83.482.1165.5+1.262%
vs Weaker (12)90.882.4173.2+8.475%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
OvarenseOliveirense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#5
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H09/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A13/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H16/05
LPB
Braga
#6
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H03/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A10/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H17/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A24/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H31/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A07/11
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H14/11
LPB
80.0Avg total
41.4Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.240.581.7+0.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.738.377.9+1.453%-
Last 30 away (15)42.842.785.5+0.127%-
Last 10 (10)41.438.680.0+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.880.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.541.577.0-6.017%-
vs Similar (8)43.439.082.4+4.462%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.340.983.2+1.438%-
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#4
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A16/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A21/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A23/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H28/05
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A03/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A17/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H24/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A31/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H07/11
LPB
Braga
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A14/11
LPB
83.0Avg total
41.5Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.484.8+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.841.990.7+6.885%-
Last 30 away (17)39.241.180.2-1.941%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.583.0+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)46.042.088.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.642.882.4-3.250%-
vs Similar (8)43.642.285.9+1.462%-
vs Weaker (12)46.239.886.0+6.567%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.519.3
48.9%
51.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.76.8
27.5%
31.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws16.412.0
73.2%
71.1%12.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oliveirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oliveirense: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.921.8
54.6%
51.1%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.37.6
27.8%
31.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.816.2
74.3%
71.1%16.2
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ovarense
WWWLWWWLLW
Oliveirense
WLWWLWLLLW
#3
League position
#4
-5.3
Net rating
-0.9
83.9
Offensive rating
89.7
89.2
Defensive rating
90.6
46.0%
Effective FG%
49.4%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
14.8%
Turnover %
17.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
27.5%
3-point %
27.8%
64.0%
Assist %
60.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence83.9 · 89.7Defence89.2 · 90.6Shooting46.0% · 49.4%3-point %27.5% · 27.8%Ball care14.8% · 17.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Ovarense   ■ Oliveirense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Ovarense wins
4
Oliveirense wins
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCA Queluz89-81
07/11/26AOliveirense93-87
31/10/26HFC Porto78-76
24/10/26ASporting CP70-71
17/10/26HCD Povoa78-69
10/10/26AVitoria87-71
03/10/26HBraga96-83
16/05/26HOliveirense65-69
13/05/26AOliveirense72-90
09/05/26HOliveirense93-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABraga91-84
07/11/26HOvarense87-93
31/10/26ACAB Madeira113-109 OT
24/10/26HEsgueira104-80
17/10/26ABenfica67-92
03/10/26APortimonense91-82
28/05/26HBenfica78-86
23/05/26ABenfica61-86
21/05/26ABenfica76-98
16/05/26AOvarense69-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ovarense
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game84.485.283.3
Allowed / game76.977.276.3
Point differential+7.6+8.0+7.0
Avg total161.3162.5159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oliveirense
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%50%75%
Points / game92.295.590.5
Allowed / game90.086.591.8
Point differential+2.2+9.0-1.2
Avg total182.2182.0182.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %17%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica76186%88.373.6+14.7
2 FC Porto76186%91.681.6+10.0
3 Ovarense76186%84.476.9+7.6
4 Oliveirense64267%92.290.0+2.2
5 Sporting CP74357%83.674.6+9.0
6 Braga74357%88.181.1+7.0
7 CD Povoa74357%75.075.3-0.3
8 CA Queluz63350%87.891.7-3.8
9 Vitoria72529%68.783.9-15.1
10 CAB Madeira71614%82.786.4-3.7
11 Portimonense71614%78.789.0-10.3
12 Esgueira7070%80.397.7-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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