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Ovarense vs Vasco Da Gama Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 83-75
16-21 21-18 23-11 23-25
Position#4
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game75.0
Ovarense 🏆
Portugal
vs
Vasco Da Gama
Portugal
Position#11
Record0-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game95.0
PortugalLPBRound 2· Arena de Ovar
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ovarense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vasco Da Gama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
66-94
66
94
-28
54avg 72
H19/04
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
85-84
85
84
+1
86avg 72
A26/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#2
L
66-77
66
77
-11
52avg 72
H03/05
Taca da Liga
Oliveirense
#4
L
74-87
74
87
-13
55avg 72
A10/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
92-77
92
77
+15
87avg 72
H14/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
83-82
83
82
+1
82avg 72
A17/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
66-85
66
85
-19
58avg 72
A22/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
71-103
71
103
-32
61avg 72
A24/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
80-89
80
89
-9
68avg 72
H29/05
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
81-75
81
75
+6
85avg 72
H04/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-27
20-21
17-22
19-24
27-18
26-26
19-20
13-20
13-16
12-22
19-13
22-26
18-25
16-17
20-19
20-26
34-12
14-18
23-26
21-21
17-18
21-20
25-25
20-19
25-15
10-20
9-24
22-26
21-28
17-25
21-35
12-15
8-22
20-25
35-14
17-28
21-19
24-20
18-25
18-11
161.7Avg total
76.4Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.075.0156.0+6.0100%
Season at home (1)81.075.0156.0+6.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.485.3161.7-8.940%
Last 5 (5)76.286.8163.0-10.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.188.8165.9-11.721%
vs Similar (8)80.677.6158.2+3.062%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)83.171.9155.0+11.3100%
This opponent (Vasco Da Gama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vasco Da GamaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGama
Date
Competition
Portimonense
#7
W
97-89
97
89
+8
94avg 73
H19/04
Proliga
Braga
#1
L
78-80
78
80
-2
66avg 73
A26/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
W
94-90
94
90
+4
88avg 73
H03/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
57avg 73
A10/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
W
82-60
82
60
+22
71avg 73
H17/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
W
96-91
96
91
+5
92avg 73
H18/05
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
W
89-76
89
76
+13
76avg 73
A24/05
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
L
66-78
66
78
-12
48avg 73
H31/05
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
W
100-79
100
79
+21
96avg 73
H01/06
Proliga
FC Porto
#2
L
73-95
73
95
-22
59avg 73
A04/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
15-15
30-17
30-36
18-22
20-16
16-20
24-22
22-23
24-16
25-30
23-21
18-33
19-20
17-16
19-16
23-11
21-19
19-22
19-8
30-18
18-22
26-22
22-29
21-22
25-19
22-18
21-17
19-25
17-21
19-17
11-15
27-18
20-21
30-17
23-23
17-25
10-27
21-20
25-23
167.1Avg total
84.8Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)73.095.0168.0-22.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)73.095.0168.0-22.00%
Last 10 (10)84.882.3167.1+2.560%
Last 5 (5)84.883.8168.6+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)82.081.8163.8+0.250%
vs Similar (16)83.478.6162.0+4.975%
vs Weaker (9)83.779.3163.0+4.367%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
OvarenseVasco Da Gama
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H19/04
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A26/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#2
L
25-38
25
38
-13
H03/05
Taca da Liga
Oliveirense
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A10/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H14/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A17/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A22/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A24/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H29/05
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H04/10
LPB
78.8Avg total
37.4Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.178.5+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.938.475.4-1.543%-
Last 30 away (16)41.639.781.3+1.950%-
Last 10 (10)37.441.478.8-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)36.842.479.2-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.941.779.6-3.936%-
vs Similar (8)39.036.575.5+2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.037.378.3+3.757%-
This opponent (Vasco Da Gama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vasco Da GamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portimonense
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H19/04
Proliga
Braga
#1
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A26/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H03/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A10/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H17/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H18/05
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A24/05
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H31/05
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H01/06
Proliga
FC Porto
#2
L
27-52
27
52
-25
A04/10
LPB
82.0Avg total
40.6Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.441.381.7-0.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.041.183.1+0.962%-
Last 30 away (14)38.641.480.1-2.843%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.482.0-0.860%-
Last 5 (5)40.843.684.4-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)36.541.077.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (16)40.939.880.8+1.162%-
vs Weaker (9)41.341.182.4+0.244%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.615.3
50.0%
52.7%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.3
34.4%
32.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws24.415.5
63.5%
70.4%15.5
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vasco Da Gamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco Da Gama: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.7
53.9%
52.7%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.67.4
26.8%
32.4%22.2
🏀 Free throws29.720.6
69.4%
70.4%20.6
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ovarense
WLLLWWLLWL
Vasco Da Gama
LWLWWWLWLW
#4
League position
#11
-11.7
Net rating
+3.4
101.5
Offensive rating
106.3
113.2
Defensive rating
102.9
50.8%
Effective FG%
48.2%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
22.1%
Turnover %
15.1%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.45
34.4%
3-point %
26.8%
62.6%
Assist %
55.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 106.3Defence113.2 · 102.9Shooting50.8% · 48.2%3-point %34.4% · 26.8%Ball care22.1% · 15.1%Off. rebounds32.6% · 28.9%Free throws0.42 · 0.45Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Ovarense   ■ Vasco Da Gama
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ovarense wins
0
Vasco Da Gama wins
No previous meetings.
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25HEsgueira81-75
29/05/25HBenfica80-89
24/05/25ABenfica71-103
22/05/25ABenfica66-85
17/05/25AOliveirense83-82
14/05/25HOliveirense92-77
10/05/25AOliveirense74-87
03/05/25HOliveirense66-77
26/04/25AEsgueira85-84
19/04/25HFC Porto66-94
Vasco Da Gamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25AFC Porto73-95
01/06/25HCB Queluz100-79
31/05/25HCB Queluz66-78
24/05/25ACB Queluz89-76
18/05/25HCAB Madeira96-91
17/05/25HCAB Madeira82-60
10/05/25ACAB Madeira73-85
03/05/25HCB Queluz94-90
26/04/25ABraga78-80
19/04/25HPortimonense97-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ovarense
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game81.081.0-
Allowed / game75.075.0-
Point differential+6.0+6.0-
Avg total156.0156.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Vasco Da Gama
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game73.0-73.0
Allowed / game95.0-95.0
Point differential-22.0--22.0
Avg total168.0-168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sporting CP110100%97.068.0+29.0
2 FC Porto110100%95.073.0+22.0
3 Benfica110100%89.076.0+13.0
4 Ovarense110100%81.075.0+6.0
5 Imortal220100%82.579.5+3.0
6 CA Queluz1010%78.081.0-3.0
7 Esgueira1010%75.081.0-6.0
8 Oliveirense1010%76.089.0-13.0
9 Vitoria2020%74.590.5-16.0
10 Vasco Da Gama1010%73.095.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ovarense1621232383
Vasco Da Gama2118112575
← all games of the day
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