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Ovarense vs Esgueira Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 81-75
21-19 24-20 18-25 18-11
Position#4
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Ovarense 🏆
Portugal
vs
Esgueira
Portugal
Position#8
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
PortugalLPBRound 1· Arena de Ovar
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ovarense v Esgueira
05 Dec 2026
OVAR v ESGU
upcoming
04 Oct 2025
OVAR81
ESGU75
01 Mar 2025
OVAR94
ESGU68
04 Jan 2025
OVAR81
ESGU89
25 Nov 2023
OVAR75
ESGU71
15 Oct 2022
OVAR94
ESGU84
25 Apr 2021
OVAR73
ESGU63
23 Apr 2021
OVAR75
ESGU82
13 Dec 2020
OVAR71
ESGU99
27 Mar 2020
OVAR v ESGU
upcoming
10 Nov 2018
OVAR77
ESGU85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ovarense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Esgueira winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Imortal
#7
W
88-71
88
71
+17
90avg 71
A13/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
66-94
66
94
-28
54avg 71
H19/04
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
85-84
85
84
+1
86avg 71
A26/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#2
L
66-77
66
77
-11
52avg 71
H03/05
Taca da Liga
Oliveirense
#4
L
74-87
74
87
-13
55avg 71
A10/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
92-77
92
77
+15
87avg 71
H14/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
83-82
83
82
+1
82avg 71
A17/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
66-85
66
85
-19
58avg 71
A22/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
71-103
71
103
-32
61avg 71
A24/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
80-89
80
89
-9
68avg 71
H29/05
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
26-13
18-22
20-13
10-27
20-21
17-22
19-24
27-18
26-26
19-20
13-20
13-16
12-22
19-13
22-26
18-25
16-17
20-19
20-26
34-12
14-18
23-26
21-21
17-18
21-20
25-25
20-19
25-15
10-20
9-24
22-26
21-28
17-25
21-35
12-15
8-22
20-25
35-14
17-28
162.0Avg total
77.1Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.184.9162.0-7.840%
Last 5 (5)78.487.2165.6-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.188.8165.9-11.721%
vs Similar (9)79.175.9155.0+3.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)83.571.3154.8+12.2100%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#11
W
82-81
82
81
+1
77avg 67
H22/02
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
68-94
68
94
-26
53avg 67
A01/03
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
65-100
65
100
-35
51avg 67
A07/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
78-66
78
66
+12
66avg 67
H15/03
LPB
Imortal
#7
L
87-90
87
90
-3
76avg 67
A29/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
81-96
81
96
-15
68avg 67
H05/04
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
85-82
85
82
+3
54avg 67
H12/04
LPB
Galomar
#7
L
67-114
67
114
-47
36avg 67
H13/04
Taca da Liga
CA Queluz
#11
L
73-86
73
86
-13
51avg 67
A19/04
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
84-85
84
85
-1
67avg 67
H26/04
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
19-14
22-22
15-21
24-24
17-16
13-21
14-33
16-32
21-15
16-25
12-28
20-9
20-20
20-22
18-15
22-16
27-23
18-24
20-27
27-21
22-18
11-31
21-26
23-26
22-10
21-29
19-17
12-28
24-31
19-26
12-29
17-28
26-15
10-21
20-22
18-27
26-26
20-19
20-13
166.4Avg total
77.0Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.089.4166.4-12.430%
Last 5 (5)78.092.6170.6-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)79.190.9169.9-11.829%
vs Similar (14)83.284.9168.1-1.750%
vs Weaker (1)89.061.0150.0+28.0100%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -7.0-7.0Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -6.0-6.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -7.0-7.0Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -6.0-6.0
OvarenseEsgueira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#7
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A13/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H19/04
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A26/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#2
L
25-38
25
38
-13
H03/05
Taca da Liga
Oliveirense
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A10/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H14/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A17/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A22/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A24/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H29/05
LPB
79.0Avg total
37.9Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.178.1-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.338.474.7-2.138%-
Last 30 away (17)41.039.680.6+1.447%-
Last 10 (10)37.941.179.0-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.678.0-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.941.779.6-3.936%-
vs Similar (9)38.136.874.9+1.344%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)40.337.077.3+3.350%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#11
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H22/02
LPB
Ovarense
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A01/03
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A07/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H15/03
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A29/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H05/04
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H12/04
LPB
Galomar
#7
L
36-59
36
59
-23
H13/04
Taca da Liga
CA Queluz
#11
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A19/04
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H26/04
LPB
85.2Avg total
42.9Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.283.1+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.340.582.8+1.856%-
Last 30 away (14)41.442.083.4-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)42.942.385.2+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.446.089.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)41.242.783.9-1.543%-
vs Similar (14)42.639.982.5+2.864%-
vs Weaker (1)46.026.072.0+20.0100%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.416.4
49.1%
52.7%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.3
35.0%
32.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws24.215.2
62.8%
70.4%15.2
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.6
50.9%
52.7%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.0
31.6%
32.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.413.0
67.0%
70.4%13.0
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ovarense
LLLWWLLWLW
Esgueira
LLLWLLWLLW
#4
League position
#8
-10.9
Net rating
-16.0
101.3
Offensive rating
100.0
112.2
Defensive rating
116.1
50.6%
Effective FG%
49.5%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
21.2%
Turnover %
14.7%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
18.9%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.0%
3-point %
31.6%
62.3%
Assist %
62.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 100.0Defence112.2 · 116.1Shooting50.6% · 49.5%3-point %35.0% · 31.6%Ball care21.2% · 14.7%Off. rebounds31.3% · 18.9%Free throws0.40 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Ovarense   ■ Esgueira
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Ovarense wins
2
Esgueira wins
DateGameScore
26/04/25Esgueira v Ovarense84-85
01/03/25Ovarense v Esgueira94-68
19/01/25Esgueira v Ovarense81-92
04/01/25Ovarense v Esgueira81-89 OT
06/04/24Esgueira v Ovarense85-82
30/03/24Esgueira v Ovarense81-82
25/11/23Ovarense v Esgueira75-71
04/01/23Esgueira v Ovarense70-87
15/10/22Ovarense v Esgueira94-84
02/05/21Esgueira v Ovarense85-92 OT
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/05/25HBenfica80-89
24/05/25ABenfica71-103
22/05/25ABenfica66-85
17/05/25AOliveirense83-82
14/05/25HOliveirense92-77
10/05/25AOliveirense74-87
03/05/25HOliveirense66-77
26/04/25AEsgueira85-84
19/04/25HFC Porto66-94
13/04/25AImortal88-71
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/25HOvarense84-85
19/04/25ACA Queluz73-86
13/04/25HGalomar67-114
12/04/25HGalomar85-82
05/04/25HFC Porto81-96
29/03/25AImortal87-90
15/03/25HOliveirense78-66
07/03/25ABenfica65-100
01/03/25AOvarense68-94
22/02/25HCA Queluz82-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ovarense
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Esgueira
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica110100%89.076.0+13.0
2 Oliveirense1010%76.089.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ovarense2124181881
Esgueira1920251175
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