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Ovarense vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 May 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 80-89
8-22 20-25 35-14 17-28
Position#5
Record15-12
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Benfica 🏆
Portugal
Position#1
Record25-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game76.1
PortugalLPBLPB - Semi-finals· Arena de Ovar
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ovarense v Benfica
27 Mar 2027
OVAR v BEN
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
OVAR70
BEN96
29 May 2025
OVAR80
BEN89
07 Dec 2024
OVAR77
BEN98
26 Oct 2024
OVAR v BEN
upcoming
23 Mar 2024
OVAR79
BEN87
27 Jan 2024
OVAR74
BEN98
25 May 2023
OVAR44
BEN115
22 Apr 2023
OVAR66
BEN115
10 Feb 2023
OVAR76
BEN86
07 Jan 2023
OVAR75
BEN96
22 Dec 2021
OVAR79
BEN86
08 Mar 2021
OVAR76
BEN91
07 Mar 2020
OVAR81
BEN90
31 Mar 2019
OVAR80
BEN57
08 Mar 2019
OVAR55
BEN70
17 Feb 2018
OVAR73
BEN74
08 Jan 2017
OVAR74
BEN83
08 Apr 2016
OVAR82
BEN77
28 Nov 2015
OVAR73
BEN82
17 May 2015
OVAR67
BEN61
16 May 2015
OVAR77
BEN82
07 Jan 2015
OVAR71
BEN78
04 Jan 2014
OVAR75
BEN85
11 May 2013
OVAR67
BEN78
13 Apr 2013
OVAR62
BEN78
17 Mar 2012
OVAR96
BEN78
22 Apr 2011
OVAR68
BEN77
18 Dec 2010
OVAR75
BEN77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ovarense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#2
W
82-71
82
71
+11
no box
A08/04
Taca da Liga
Imortal
#7
W
88-71
88
71
+17
90avg 71
A13/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
66-94
66
94
-28
54avg 71
H19/04
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
85-84
85
84
+1
86avg 71
A26/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#2
L
66-77
66
77
-11
52avg 71
H03/05
Taca da Liga
Oliveirense
#4
L
74-87
74
87
-13
55avg 71
A10/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
92-77
92
77
+15
87avg 71
H14/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
83-82
83
82
+1
82avg 71
A17/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
66-85
66
85
-19
58avg 71
A22/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
71-103
71
103
-32
61avg 71
A24/05
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
21-14
9-12
31-31
24-23
26-13
18-22
20-13
10-27
20-21
17-22
19-24
27-18
26-26
19-20
13-20
13-16
12-22
19-13
22-26
18-25
16-17
20-19
20-26
34-12
14-18
23-26
21-21
17-18
21-20
25-25
20-19
25-15
10-20
9-24
22-26
21-28
17-25
21-35
12-15
160.4Avg total
77.3Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.981.5160.4-2.656%
Season at home (12)81.381.2162.6+0.158%
Season away (15)77.081.7158.7-4.753%
Last 10 (10)77.383.1160.4-5.850%
Last 5 (5)77.286.8164.0-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)76.988.6165.4-11.721%
vs Similar (9)79.175.9155.0+3.267%
vs Weaker (6)83.571.3154.8+12.2100%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
95-90
95
90
+5
92avg 83
A05/04
LPB
CD Povoa
#11
W
106-85
106
85
+21
100avg 83
H09/04
Taca da Liga
CD Povoa
#10
W
94-77
94
77
+17
93avg 83
H12/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
70avg 83
A19/04
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
91-81
91
81
+10
84avg 83
H26/04
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
95-104 OT
95
104
-9
85avg 83
H03/05
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#9
W
99-87
99
87
+12
100avg 83
H09/05
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
88-68
88
68
+20
82avg 83
A14/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
85-66
85
66
+19
79avg 83
H22/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
103-71
103
71
+32
104avg 83
H24/05
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
27-21
28-21
19-22
25-27
22-15
28-18
31-25
21-13
22-18
22-21
29-25
21-17
16-18
18-25
21-16
32-15
19-24
21-22
19-20
21-24
19-27
21-23
23-10
25-20
31-25
20-25
23-17
19-22
12-10
33-19
24-17
15-25
20-10
24-9
26-22
28-21
25-17
35-21
15-12
175.7Avg total
94.3Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)91.476.1167.5+15.396%
Season at home (14)91.972.4164.3+19.4100%
Season away (12)90.980.4171.3+10.592%
Last 10 (10)94.381.4175.7+12.990%
Last 5 (5)94.079.2173.2+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.091.0171.0-11.00%
vs Similar (4)88.289.0177.2-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)91.676.4168.0+15.296%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +4.4+4.4
OvarenseBenfica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#2
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A08/04
Taca da Liga
Imortal
#7
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A13/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H19/04
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A26/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#2
L
25-38
25
38
-13
H03/05
Taca da Liga
Oliveirense
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A10/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H14/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A17/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A22/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A24/05
LPB
78.5Avg total
39.3Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.638.978.5+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.837.975.8-0.146%-
Last 30 away (17)41.039.680.6+1.447%-
Last 10 (10)39.339.278.5+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.678.2-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.341.380.6-2.043%-
vs Similar (9)38.136.874.9+1.344%-
vs Weaker (6)40.337.077.3+3.350%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A05/04
LPB
CD Povoa
#11
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H09/04
Taca da Liga
CD Povoa
#10
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H12/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A19/04
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H26/04
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H03/05
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#9
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H09/05
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A14/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H22/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H24/05
LPB
83.6Avg total
44.1Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.937.682.5+7.373%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.536.081.5+9.582%-
Last 30 away (13)44.139.883.8+4.362%-
Last 10 (10)44.139.583.6+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)43.040.283.2+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.033.077.0+11.0100%-
vs Similar (4)43.246.089.2-2.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)45.036.881.8+8.379%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 69.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.115.3
49.2%
51.2%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.1
34.6%
32.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws22.714.3
63.0%
69.2%14.3
They take 54.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 93.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.8
53.5%
51.2%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.411.2
33.5%
32.7%33.6
🏀 Free throws26.718.5
69.3%
69.2%18.5
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ovarense
LLWWLLWLWW
Benfica
WWWWLWWWWW
#5
League position
#1
-11.2
Net rating
+16.9
100.8
Offensive rating
115.8
112.0
Defensive rating
98.8
50.4%
Effective FG%
52.0%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
21.3%
Turnover %
17.0%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
39.5%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.6%
3-point %
33.5%
62.8%
Assist %
72.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 115.8Defence112.0 · 98.8Shooting50.4% · 52.0%3-point %34.6% · 33.5%Ball care21.3% · 17.0%Off. rebounds31.0% · 39.5%Free throws0.42 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Ovarense   ■ Benfica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ovarense wins
10
Benfica wins
DateGameScore
24/05/25Benfica v Ovarense103-71
22/05/25Benfica v Ovarense85-66
29/03/25Benfica v Ovarense93-59
07/12/24Ovarense v Benfica77-98
23/03/24Ovarense v Benfica79-87
27/01/24Ovarense v Benfica74-98
18/11/23Benfica v Ovarense84-52
25/05/23Ovarense v Benfica44-115
22/05/23Benfica v Ovarense91-79 OT
20/05/23Benfica v Ovarense88-59
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/25ABenfica71-103
22/05/25ABenfica66-85
17/05/25AOliveirense83-82
14/05/25HOliveirense92-77
10/05/25AOliveirense74-87
03/05/25HOliveirense66-77
26/04/25AEsgueira85-84
19/04/25HFC Porto66-94
13/04/25AImortal88-71
08/04/25AOliveirense82-71
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/25HOvarense103-71
22/05/25HOvarense85-66
14/05/25AVitoria88-68
09/05/25HVitoria99-87
03/05/25HFC Porto95-104 OT
26/04/25HVitoria91-81
19/04/25ASporting CP87-85 OT
12/04/25HCD Povoa94-77
09/04/25HCD Povoa106-85
05/04/25AGalitos Barreiro95-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ovarense
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL56%
HomeWWLLW58%
AwayWLWLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %56%58%53%
Points / game78.981.377.0
Allowed / game81.581.281.7
Point differential-2.6+0.1-4.7
Avg total160.4162.6158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)67% (3)83% (6)
Overtime %7%17%0%
Benfica
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW96%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %96%100%92%
Points / game91.491.990.9
Allowed / game76.172.480.4
Point differential+15.3+19.4+10.5
Avg total167.5164.3171.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%93%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (1)100% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica2625196%91.476.1+15.3
2 FC Porto2623388%88.677.8+10.8
3 Sporting CP2617965%85.279.4+5.8
4 Oliveirense25141156%84.079.6+4.4
5 Ovarense27151256%78.981.5-2.6
6 Galitos Barreiro24101442%80.181.8-1.7
7 Imortal24101442%79.585.6-6.1
8 Esgueira2291341%82.086.6-4.6
9 Vitoria2491538%81.884.8-3.0
10 CD Povoa2251723%73.381.0-7.6
11 CA Queluz2251723%81.189.7-8.6
12 Galomar2231914%75.982.8-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ovarense820351780
Benfica2225142889
← all games of the day
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