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Oviedo vs Ourense Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 07 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record4-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.3/10
Below normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Position#6
Record5-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game82.0
SpainPrimera FEBRound 23
Other2026-27
Meetings · Oviedo v Ourense
07 Mar 2027
OVIE v OURE
upcoming
28 Dec 2025
OVIE75
OURE73
05 Oct 2024
OVIE63
OURE73
31 Oct 2023
OVIE87
OURE78
17 Dec 2022
OVIE75
OURE58
16 Jan 2021
OVIE83
OURE75
12 Oct 2019
OVIE81
OURE84
11 May 2019
OVIE71
OURE76
09 May 2019
OVIE76
OURE80
02 Feb 2019
OVIE78
OURE81
21 Oct 2017
OVIE90
OURE85
07 May 2017
OVIE78
OURE60
05 May 2017
OVIE85
OURE92
04 Jan 2017
OVIE70
OURE74
24 Oct 2015
OVIE76
OURE68
10 Apr 2015
OVIE75
OURE84
14 Dec 2013
OVIE78
OURE77
24 Mar 2012
OVIE74
OURE80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oviedo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ourense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OviedoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOviedo
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
82-75
82
75
+7
78avg 72
H22/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
71-79
71
79
-8
54avg 72
A06/06
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
L
69-108
69
108
-39
53avg 72
A26/09
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
L
67-77
67
77
-10
57avg 72
H03/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
99-86
99
86
+13
no box
H10/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
101-100 OT
101
100
+1
88avg 72
A16/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#12
W
81-77
81
77
+4
69avg 72
H24/10
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#7
L
79-80
79
80
-1
no box
A01/11
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
70-63
70
63
+7
no box
H07/11
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
L
65-75
65
75
-10
no box
A14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
22-18
19-12
15-25
23-18
16-28
18-20
14-13
27-23
16-32
16-30
10-23
10-17
29-19
12-22
16-19
19-21
28-17
21-28
31-20
25-19
24-27
23-25
16-17
19-15
24-23
20-17
18-22
18-25
17-16
23-20
21-19
12-13
21-14
19-15
18-21
18-16
13-18
19-20
15-21
160.4Avg total
78.4Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.983.2162.1-4.450%
Season at home (4)79.275.8155.0+3.575%
Season away (4)78.590.8169.2-12.225%
Last 10 (10)78.482.0160.4-3.650%
Last 5 (5)79.279.0158.2+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)72.287.8160.0-15.60%
vs Similar (13)77.975.8153.7+2.262%
vs Weaker (12)87.076.3163.3+10.792%
This opponent (Ourense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OurenseSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOurense
Date
Competition
Melilla
#17
W
93-84
93
84
+9
86avg 66
A03/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
70-74
70
74
-4
65avg 66
H08/05
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
91-71
91
71
+20
79avg 66
H26/09
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
90-86
90
86
+4
79avg 66
A04/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
86-101
86
101
-15
76avg 66
H10/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
L
79-83
79
83
-4
70avg 66
H16/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
80-84
80
84
-4
64avg 66
A24/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
83-73
83
73
+10
no box
H31/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
86-84
86
84
+2
no box
A07/11
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#11
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
H14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
24-31
25-18
20-16
13-20
22-27
19-15
16-12
31-15
18-24
22-17
20-15
20-29
30-16
20-21
20-20
28-21
13-31
20-27
25-22
16-16
22-16
22-24
19-27
25-13
20-22
16-25
19-24
23-20
18-20
26-11
16-22
19-17
25-19
19-20
23-28
20-24
23-11
21-16
23-23
165.9Avg total
84.5Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.282.0167.2+3.262%
Season at home (5)85.280.4165.6+4.860%
Season away (3)85.384.7170.0+0.767%
Last 10 (10)84.581.4165.9+3.160%
Last 5 (5)83.079.6162.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.584.6162.1-7.114%
vs Similar (7)78.782.4161.1-3.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)81.477.4158.9+4.067%
This opponent (Oviedo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -0.8-0.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -0.8-0.8
OviedoOurense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OviedoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H22/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A06/06
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A26/09
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H03/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H10/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A16/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#12
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H24/10
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#7
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A01/11
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H07/11
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A14/11
Primera FEB
80.6Avg total
40.7Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.280.8+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.838.478.1+1.464%-
Last 30 away (16)41.341.983.2-0.644%-
Last 10 (10)40.739.980.6+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.237.275.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.642.479.0-5.820%-
vs Similar (13)41.039.780.7+1.362%-
vs Weaker (12)41.839.981.8+1.958%-
This opponent (Ourense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melilla
#17
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A03/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H08/05
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H26/09
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A04/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H10/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H16/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A24/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H31/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A07/11
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H14/11
Primera FEB
84.5Avg total
43.4Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.980.8-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.041.681.6-1.647%-
Last 30 away (13)39.939.979.8+0.062%-
Last 10 (10)43.441.184.5+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)42.235.677.8+6.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.842.180.9-3.343%-
vs Similar (7)40.141.982.0-1.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.738.279.9+3.478%-
This opponent (Oviedo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oviedotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oviedo: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.717.9
56.5%
53.0%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.010.8
31.8%
32.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws18.212.9
70.9%
74.2%12.9
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ourensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ourense: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.2
51.9%
53.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.3
30.5%
32.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws25.718.3
71.2%
74.2%18.3
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oviedo
LWLWWWLLLW
Ourense
WWWLLLWWLW
#9
League position
#6
-1.2
Net rating
-5.1
108.8
Offensive rating
110.3
110.0
Defensive rating
115.4
51.9%
Effective FG%
49.6%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.41
31.8%
3-point %
30.5%
46.0%
Assist %
53.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 110.3Defence110.0 · 115.4Shooting51.9% · 49.6%3-point %31.8% · 30.5%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Oviedo   ■ Ourense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Oviedo wins
2
Ourense wins
DateGameScore
08/05/26Ourense v Oviedo70-74
28/12/25Oviedo v Ourense75-73
12/02/25Ourense v Oviedo78-94
05/10/24Oviedo v Ourense63-73
17/02/24Ourense v Oviedo88-83 OT
31/10/23Oviedo v Ourense87-78
15/04/23Ourense v Oviedo62-67
17/12/22Oviedo v Ourense75-58
16/01/21Oviedo v Ourense83-75
06/11/20Ourense v Oviedo69-82
Oviedolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AHestia Menorca65-75
07/11/26HCordoba70-63
01/11/26APalmer Basket79-80
24/10/26HZamora81-77
16/10/26ATizona Burgos101-100 OT
10/10/26HFibwi Palma99-86
03/10/26HGranada67-77
26/09/26AGran Canaria69-108
06/06/26AEstudiantes71-79
22/05/26HGipuzkoa82-75
Ourenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCaja 8787-74
07/11/26AFuenlabrada86-84
31/10/26HFibwi Palma83-73
24/10/26APalencia80-84
16/10/26HAlicante79-83
10/10/26HEstela86-101
04/10/26AGipuzkoa90-86
26/09/26HTizona Burgos91-71
08/05/26HOviedo70-74
03/05/26AMelilla93-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oviedo
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game78.979.278.5
Allowed / game83.275.890.8
Point differential-4.4+3.5-12.2
Avg total162.1155.0169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Ourense
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW62%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%60%67%
Points / game85.285.285.3
Allowed / game82.080.484.7
Point differential+3.2+4.8+0.7
Avg total167.2165.6170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alicante880100%92.075.4+16.6
2 Estudiantes87188%89.877.4+12.4
3 Palencia87188%82.573.0+9.5
4 Gran Canaria86275%91.076.5+14.5
5 Estela86275%82.676.8+5.9
6 Ourense85362%85.282.0+3.2
7 Palmer Basket74357%87.486.4+1.0
8 Granada84450%79.180.8-1.6
9 Oviedo84450%78.983.2-4.4
10 Albacete73443%79.484.0-4.6
11 Caja 8783538%75.677.8-2.1
12 Zamora83538%78.081.5-3.5
13 Fuenlabrada82625%77.980.4-2.5
14 Hestia Menorca82625%69.674.6-5.0
15 Cordoba82625%71.076.6-5.6
16 Tizona Burgos82625%85.493.4-8.0
17 Gipuzkoa82625%76.090.5-14.5
18 Fibwi Palma81712%78.089.8-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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