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Paderborn vs Bernau Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 May 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 84-86
28-17 22-25 20-25 14-19
Position#5
Record20-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game70.1
vs
Bernau 🏆
Germany
Position#11
Record15-15
FormLWWLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game82.1
GermanyPro BPro B - Quarter-finals· Sportzentrum Maspernplatz
Other2024-25
Meetings · Paderborn v Bernau
07 May 2025
PAD84
BERN86
30 Apr 2025
PAD77
BERN60
15 Mar 2025
PAD75
BERN61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paderborn winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bernau winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaderbornGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Itzehoe
#22
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H08/03
Pro B
Bernau
#11
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H15/03
Pro B
Sandersdorf
#8
W
87-75
87
75
+12
A22/03
Pro B
ETB Miners
#13
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H29/03
Pro B
Wedel
#12
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A06/04
Pro B
Schwelm
#20
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H12/04
Pro B
Lowen
#14
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H20/04
Pro B
Lowen
#14
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A25/04
Pro B
Bernau
#11
W
77-60
77
60
+17
H30/04
Pro B
Bernau
#11
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A03/05
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
8-13
22-19
18-16
18-8
25-18
17-15
15-20
22-16
22-13
22-27
21-19
19-14
26-24
23-10
18-19
12-13
14-20
20-11
16-23
19-14
17-14
18-14
18-18
17-22
20-11
17-20
21-14
16-24
24-22
21-16
23-20
16-16
13-17
26-12
22-15
22-19
19-17
12-26
23-16
144.7Avg total
76.8Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)79.570.1149.5+9.467%
Season at home (15)82.565.2147.7+17.387%
Season away (15)76.574.9151.4+1.547%
Last 10 (10)76.867.9144.7+8.980%
Last 5 (5)76.869.4146.2+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.576.0145.5-6.50%
vs Similar (2)80.592.5173.0-12.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)80.267.9148.0+12.373%
This opponent (Bernau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BernauGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Schwelm
#20
W
74-63
74
63
+11
A08/03
Pro B
Paderborn
#5
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A15/03
Pro B
Leverkusen
#1
L
76-83
76
83
-7
H22/03
Pro B
RSV Eintracht
#25
W
90-87
90
87
+3
A30/03
Pro B
Iserlohn
#9
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A05/04
Pro B
Wedel
#12
L
79-87
79
87
-8
H12/04
Pro B
Koln
#4
W
88-56
88
56
+32
A20/04
Pro B
Koln
#4
W
91-79
91
79
+12
H25/04
Pro B
Paderborn
#5
L
60-77
60
77
-17
A30/04
Pro B
Paderborn
#5
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H03/05
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-14
22-11
17-18
23-20
8-18
18-25
15-17
20-15
24-20
25-22
13-19
14-22
22-17
24-25
21-24
23-21
18-15
14-23
19-24
17-20
23-16
21-24
19-25
16-22
19-11
20-16
30-19
19-10
26-19
24-14
17-22
24-24
16-16
17-13
12-26
15-22
19-22
17-19
26-12
16-23
153.0Avg total
76.5Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)82.382.1164.4+0.350%
Season at home (15)87.684.7172.3+2.960%
Season away (15)77.179.4156.5-2.340%
Last 10 (10)76.576.5153.0+0.050%
Last 5 (5)79.275.0154.2+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)74.875.8150.6-1.040%
vs Similar (14)82.985.0167.9-2.150%
vs Weaker (6)93.585.7179.2+7.867%
This opponent (Paderborn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
PaderbornBernau
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaderbornLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Itzehoe
#22
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H08/03
Pro B
Bernau
#11
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H15/03
Pro B
Sandersdorf
#8
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A22/03
Pro B
ETB Miners
#13
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H29/03
Pro B
Wedel
#12
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A06/04
Pro B
Schwelm
#20
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H12/04
Pro B
Lowen
#14
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H20/04
Pro B
Lowen
#14
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A25/04
Pro B
Bernau
#11
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H30/04
Pro B
Bernau
#11
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A03/05
Pro B
70.4Avg total
37.5Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.635.074.6+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.832.772.5+7.180%-
Last 30 away (15)39.537.376.7+2.253%-
Last 10 (10)37.532.970.4+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)36.635.271.8+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.542.081.5-2.550%-
vs Similar (2)34.049.583.5-15.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)40.133.373.4+6.869%-
This opponent (Bernau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BernauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Schwelm
#20
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A08/03
Pro B
Paderborn
#5
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A15/03
Pro B
Leverkusen
#1
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H22/03
Pro B
RSV Eintracht
#25
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A30/03
Pro B
Iserlohn
#9
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A05/04
Pro B
Wedel
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H12/04
Pro B
Koln
#4
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A20/04
Pro B
Koln
#4
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H25/04
Pro B
Paderborn
#5
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A30/04
Pro B
Paderborn
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H03/05
Pro B
74.9Avg total
38.9Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.839.481.2+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.741.185.8+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)38.937.776.6+1.360%-
Last 10 (10)38.936.074.9+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)40.434.074.4+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.937.476.3+1.570%-
vs Similar (14)42.440.382.7+2.157%-
vs Weaker (6)45.340.585.8+4.850%-
This opponent (Paderborn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Paderborn wins
1
Bernau wins
DateGameScore
03/05/25Bernau v Paderborn78-76
30/04/25Paderborn v Bernau77-60
15/03/25Paderborn v Bernau75-61
19/10/24Bernau v Paderborn62-80
Paderbornlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25ABernau76-78
30/04/25HBernau77-60
25/04/25ALowen84-82
20/04/25HLowen75-67
12/04/25HSchwelm72-60
06/04/25AWedel62-67
29/03/25HETB Miners86-67
22/03/25ASandersdorf87-75
15/03/25HBernau75-61
08/03/25HItzehoe74-62
Bernaulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25HPaderborn78-76
30/04/25APaderborn60-77
25/04/25HKoln91-79
20/04/25AKoln88-56
12/04/25HWedel79-87
05/04/25AIserlohn68-82
30/03/25ARSV Eintracht90-87
22/03/25HLeverkusen76-83
15/03/25APaderborn61-75
08/03/25ASchwelm74-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paderborn
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayLWLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %67%87%47%
Points / game79.582.576.5
Allowed / game70.165.274.9
Point differential+9.4+17.3+1.5
Avg total149.5147.7151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%80%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (1)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bernau
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game82.387.677.1
Allowed / game82.184.779.4
Point differential+0.3+2.9-2.3
Avg total164.4172.3156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leverkusen3029197%81.265.7+15.6
2 Wolmirstedt3025583%85.974.2+11.6
3 Leitershofen/Stadtbergen2820871%90.382.6+7.8
4 Koln2819968%90.582.8+7.7
5 Paderborn30201067%79.570.1+9.4
6 Fellbach29181162%77.174.0+3.1
7 Ahorn Camp Baskets31191261%78.575.9+2.6
8 Sandersdorf30181260%76.575.0+1.6
9 Iserlohn29151452%81.385.4-4.0
10 Bernau30151550%82.382.1+0.3
11 s.Oliver Wurzburg 228141450%84.485.2-0.8
12 Wedel31151648%74.676.5-1.9
13 ETB Miners30141647%80.778.0+2.8
14 Lowen28131546%85.982.9+3.0
15 Oberhaching26121446%83.584.0-0.5
16 Coburg26121446%80.583.8-3.3
17 OrangeAcademy28121643%81.683.8-2.1
18 Rhondorf28121643%84.889.0-4.3
19 Berlin Braves26111542%82.882.5+0.3
20 Schwelm26111542%78.580.7-2.1
21 Frankfurt 226101638%80.480.5-0.1
22 Itzehoe26101638%75.082.4-7.4
23 Neustadt2691735%79.382.1-2.8
24 Ludwigsburg 22691735%76.281.9-5.7
25 RSV Eintracht2691735%75.382.0-6.7
26 Bayern 22681831%77.084.9-7.9
27 Ehingen2671927%80.489.8-9.3
28 Rostock 22642215%69.983.7-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 28 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paderborn2822201484
Bernau1725251986
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