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Pagrati vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Feb 2014
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 69-75
19-23 12-18 15-21 23-13
Position#5
Record7-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Position#1
Record12-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game64.6
GreeceA2Round 15
Other2013-14
Meetings · Pagrati v AEK Athens
15 Feb 2014
PAGR69
AAT75
10 Mar 2012
PAGR78
AAT67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pagrati winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PagratiGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kavala
#3
L
82-96
82
96
-14
A09/11
A2
Agia Paraskevis
#14
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H23/11
A2
Ermis Lagkada
#11
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A30/11
A2
Arkadikos
#6
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H07/12
A2
Ikaros Serres
#13
W
91-86
91
86
+5
A14/12
A2
Lavrio
#10
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H04/01
A2
Koroivos
#2
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A11/01
A2
Filathlitikos
#12
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H18/01
A2
Iraklis
#7
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A25/01
A2
Filippos Veroi
#8
W
86-69
86
69
+17
A01/02
A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
19-23
22-18
21-32
22-22
20-18
13-17
21-17
22-17
19-18
17-21
18-12
13-20
22-17
9-16
23-18
18-28
21-16
23-16
29-26
17-22
21-15
22-20
23-17
22-17
26-22
9-19
12-20
16-18
22-19
22-21
8-6
27-19
21-25
17-22
14-15
22-23
26-2
23-25
15-19
153.8Avg total
77.7Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.076.4151.4-1.450%
Season at home (7)72.672.0144.6+0.657%
Season away (7)77.480.9158.3-3.443%
Last 10 (10)77.776.1153.8+1.660%
Last 5 (5)77.073.2150.2+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)74.084.5158.5-10.517%
vs Similar (15)76.577.2153.7-0.747%
vs Weaker (3)80.776.7157.3+4.067%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ermis Lagkada
#11
W
69-57
69
57
+12
A09/11
A2
Arkadikos
#6
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H23/11
A2
Ikaros Serres
#13
W
78-51
78
51
+27
A30/11
A2
Lavrio
#10
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H07/12
A2
Koroivos
#2
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A14/12
A2
Filathlitikos
#12
W
87-63
87
63
+24
H04/01
A2
Iraklis
#7
W
73-51
73
51
+22
A11/01
A2
Filippos Veroi
#8
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H18/01
A2
Psychikou
#4
L
79-87
79
87
-8
A25/01
A2
OFI Crete
#9
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H01/02
A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
21-17
7-14
17-10
16-10
24-15
17-13
12-21
27-11
23-11
16-8
12-21
21-21
15-14
21-20
23-13
20-15
12-22
10-18
25-27
20-18
26-16
20-17
21-12
25-9
17-11
21-9
10-22
12-13
20-22
22-10
18-22
22-23
18-23
18-15
21-26
23-18
19-19
15-22
21-15
141.1Avg total
75.2Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)76.964.6141.5+12.286%
Season at home (7)80.065.0145.0+15.0100%
Season away (7)73.764.3138.0+9.471%
Last 10 (10)75.265.9141.1+9.380%
Last 5 (5)77.868.4146.2+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)71.772.4144.1-0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)77.665.2142.8+12.485%
This opponent (Pagrati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
PagratiAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PagratiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kavala
#3
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A09/11
A2
Agia Paraskevis
#14
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H23/11
A2
Ermis Lagkada
#11
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A30/11
A2
Arkadikos
#6
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H07/12
A2
Ikaros Serres
#13
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A14/12
A2
Lavrio
#10
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H04/01
A2
Koroivos
#2
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A11/01
A2
Filathlitikos
#12
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H18/01
A2
Iraklis
#7
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A25/01
A2
Filippos Veroi
#8
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A01/02
A2
80.0Avg total
41.6Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)37.140.677.7-3.538%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.636.673.2+0.033%-
Last 30 away (12)37.744.682.2-6.942%-
Last 10 (10)41.638.480.0+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)44.036.480.4+7.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)33.943.777.6-9.810%-
vs Similar (12)38.738.877.5-0.250%-
vs Weaker (2)44.035.579.5+8.5100%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ermis Lagkada
#11
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A09/11
A2
Arkadikos
#6
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H23/11
A2
Ikaros Serres
#13
W
50-22
50
22
+28
A30/11
A2
Lavrio
#10
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H07/12
A2
Koroivos
#2
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A14/12
A2
Filathlitikos
#12
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H04/01
A2
Iraklis
#7
W
42-20
42
20
+22
A11/01
A2
Filippos Veroi
#8
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H18/01
A2
Psychikou
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A25/01
A2
OFI Crete
#9
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H01/02
A2
72.9Avg total
40.5Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)41.231.873.0+9.575%-
Last 30 at home (7)40.931.972.7+9.086%-
Last 30 away (5)41.831.673.4+10.260%-
Last 10 (10)40.532.472.9+8.170%-
Last 5 (5)40.434.474.8+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)32.037.069.0-5.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.131.373.4+10.882%-
This opponent (Pagrati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pagrati wins
2
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
19/10/13AEK Athens v Pagrati88-59
10/03/12Pagrati v AEK Athens78-67
12/11/11AEK Athens v Pagrati95-75
Pagratilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/14AFilippos Veroi86-69
25/01/14AIraklis79-81
18/01/14HFilathlitikos68-64
11/01/14AKoroivos69-78
04/01/14HLavrio83-74
14/12/13AIkaros Serres91-86
07/12/13HArkadikos67-71
30/11/13AErmis Lagkada76-68
23/11/13HAgia Paraskevis76-74
09/11/13AKavala82-96
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/14HOFI Crete78-74
25/01/14APsychikou79-87
18/01/14HFilippos Veroi72-67
11/01/14AIraklis73-51
04/01/14HFilathlitikos87-63
14/12/13AKoroivos67-82
07/12/13HLavrio80-68
30/11/13AIkaros Serres78-51
23/11/13HArkadikos69-59
09/11/13AErmis Lagkada69-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pagrati
A2 2013-14
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeLWLWW57%
AwayWWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%57%43%
Points / game75.072.677.4
Allowed / game76.472.080.9
Point differential-1.4+0.6-3.4
Avg total151.4144.6158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Athens
A2 2013-14
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %86%100%71%
Points / game76.980.073.7
Allowed / game64.665.064.3
Point differential+12.2+15.0+9.4
Avg total141.5145.0138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%71%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Athens1412286%76.964.6+12.2
2 Psychikou1412286%78.970.1+8.8
3 Kavala1410471%75.865.7+10.1
4 Koroivos1410471%74.569.9+4.6
5 Iraklis148657%70.771.3-0.6
6 Arkadikos147750%69.868.9+0.9
7 Lavrio147750%75.677.0-1.4
8 Pagrati147750%75.076.4-1.4
9 OFI Crete146843%73.971.1+2.8
10 Filippos Veroi146843%70.172.9-2.9
11 Filathlitikos1551033%67.675.7-8.1
12 Ikaros Serres1441029%66.875.2-8.4
13 Ermis Lagkada1541127%68.970.9-2.0
14 Agia Paraskevis141137%66.880.7-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pagrati1912152369
AEK Athens2318211375
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