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Palencia vs Gran Canaria Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 24 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record7-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.1/10
Below normal
6.5/10
Above normal
Position#4
Record6-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game76.5
SpainPrimera FEBRound 32
Other2026-27
Meetings · Palencia v Gran Canaria
24 Apr 2027
PAL v GKA
upcoming
10 Feb 2024
PAL82
GKA58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Gran Canaria win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
76-51
76
51
+25
68avg 79
H29/05
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
81-92
81
92
-11
70avg 79
A06/06
Primera FEB
Albacete
#12
W
95-69
95
69
+26
105avg 79
A26/09
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
70-67
70
67
+3
63avg 79
H02/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
91-76
91
76
+15
85avg 79
H09/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
62avg 79
A18/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
W
84-80
84
80
+4
78avg 79
H24/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
W
85-73
85
73
+12
no box
A31/10
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
W
72-56
72
56
+16
no box
H06/11
Primera FEB
Zamora
#11
W
86-77
86
77
+9
no box
A14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-9
15-12
22-12
13-18
16-20
24-18
21-28
20-26
25-20
27-14
23-23
20-12
14-12
19-19
16-15
21-21
17-19
27-18
14-17
33-22
22-21
26-14
12-27
17-24
13-25
22-20
25-16
24-19
19-17
19-14
24-21
23-21
13-7
16-18
22-12
21-19
27-20
16-19
26-14
17-24
154.4Avg total
81.7Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.573.0155.5+9.588%
Season at home (4)79.269.8149.0+9.5100%
Season away (4)85.876.2162.0+9.575%
Last 10 (10)81.772.7154.4+9.080%
Last 5 (5)80.874.4155.2+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)53.081.0134.0-28.00%
vs Similar (4)85.584.5170.0+1.050%
vs Weaker (25)83.869.6153.4+14.292%
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCanaria
Date
Competition
Manresa
#10
L
80-87
80
87
-7
69avg 81
H23/05
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
81-105
81
105
-24
64avg 81
A29/05
ACB
Oviedo
#9
W
108-69
108
69
+39
103avg 81
H26/09
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
79-68
79
68
+11
no box
A03/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
L
74-84
74
84
-10
72avg 81
A10/10
Primera FEB
Albacete
#12
W
97-75
97
75
+22
87avg 81
H17/10
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
99-65
99
65
+34
94avg 81
A25/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
L
80-102
80
102
-22
no box
A01/11
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
87-66
87
66
+21
no box
H07/11
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
104-83
104
83
+21
no box
A13/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
13-21
22-27
23-18
18-24
15-28
20-28
28-25
23-27
32-16
30-16
23-10
14-15
19-16
25-20
21-17
20-20
21-21
13-20
20-23
27-25
28-12
15-15
27-23
22-12
25-19
22-20
30-14
30-21
17-20
13-30
20-31
27-16
19-17
20-18
21-15
31-18
15-19
36-25
22-21
169.3Avg total
88.9Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.076.5167.5+14.575%
Season at home (3)97.370.0167.3+27.3100%
Season away (5)87.280.4167.6+6.860%
Last 10 (10)88.980.4169.3+8.560%
Last 5 (5)93.478.2171.6+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)83.891.7175.4-7.922%
vs Similar (12)81.187.4168.5-6.317%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)93.374.6167.9+18.889%
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +3.8+3.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +3.8+3.8
PalenciaGran Canaria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H29/05
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A06/06
Primera FEB
Albacete
#12
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A26/09
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H02/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H09/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A18/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H24/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A31/10
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H06/11
Primera FEB
Zamora
#11
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A14/11
Primera FEB
73.9Avg total
40.3Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.934.575.4+6.487%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.134.176.2+8.186%-
Last 30 away (16)39.834.874.6+5.088%-
Last 10 (10)40.333.673.9+6.790%-
Last 5 (5)38.635.073.6+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)23.037.060.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (4)43.235.078.2+8.2100%-
vs Weaker (25)41.234.375.5+7.088%-
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#10
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H23/05
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A29/05
ACB
Oviedo
#9
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H26/09
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A03/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A10/10
Primera FEB
Albacete
#12
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H17/10
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A25/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A01/11
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H07/11
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A13/11
Primera FEB
82.6Avg total
43.8Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.681.3+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.840.883.6+2.057%-
Last 30 away (16)38.940.479.3-1.438%-
Last 10 (10)43.838.882.6+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)48.235.884.0+12.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.742.279.9-4.622%-
vs Similar (12)39.042.381.3-3.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.136.682.7+9.689%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.615.6
47.9%
53.0%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.2
35.4%
32.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws25.319.2
75.9%
74.2%19.2
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gran Canariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gran Canaria: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.119.9
56.7%
53.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.111.1
36.9%
32.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.015.2
76.0%
74.2%15.2
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Palencia
WWWWLWWWLW
Gran Canaria
WWLWWLWWLL
#3
League position
#4
+6.0
Net rating
+6.0
110.8
Offensive rating
108.1
104.8
Defensive rating
102.1
50.3%
Effective FG%
56.1%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
0.0%
Turnover %
9.4%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.4%
3-point %
36.9%
58.9%
Assist %
50.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 108.1Defence104.8 · 102.1Shooting50.3% · 56.1%3-point %35.4% · 36.9%Ball care0.0% · 9.4%Free throws0.41 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Palencia   ■ Gran Canaria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Palencia wins
1
Gran Canaria wins
DateGameScore
10/02/24Palencia v Gran Canaria82-58
03/12/23Gran Canaria v Palencia100-73
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AZamora86-77
06/11/26HGranada72-56
31/10/26AEstela85-73
24/10/26HOurense84-80
18/10/26AEstudiantes77-86
09/10/26HHestia Menorca91-76
02/10/26HCordoba70-67
26/09/26AAlbacete95-69
06/06/26ALeyma Coruna81-92
29/05/26HFuenlabrada76-51
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ATizona Burgos104-83
07/11/26HGipuzkoa87-66
01/11/26AEstudiantes80-102
25/10/26ACordoba99-65
17/10/26HAlbacete97-75
10/10/26AAlicante74-84
03/10/26AFuenlabrada79-68
26/09/26HOviedo108-69
29/05/26AValencia81-105
23/05/26HManresa80-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game82.579.285.8
Allowed / game73.069.876.2
Point differential+9.5+9.5+9.5
Avg total155.5149.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gran Canaria
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %75%100%60%
Points / game91.097.387.2
Allowed / game76.570.080.4
Point differential+14.5+27.3+6.8
Avg total167.5167.3167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alicante880100%92.075.4+16.6
2 Estudiantes87188%89.877.4+12.4
3 Palencia87188%82.573.0+9.5
4 Gran Canaria86275%91.076.5+14.5
5 Estela86275%82.676.8+5.9
6 Ourense85362%85.282.0+3.2
7 Palmer Basket85362%86.584.5+2.0
8 Granada84450%79.180.8-1.6
9 Oviedo84450%78.983.2-4.4
10 Caja 8783538%75.677.8-2.1
11 Zamora83538%78.081.5-3.5
12 Albacete83538%78.483.5-5.1
13 Fuenlabrada82625%77.980.4-2.5
14 Hestia Menorca82625%69.674.6-5.0
15 Cordoba82625%71.076.6-5.6
16 Tizona Burgos82625%85.493.4-8.0
17 Gipuzkoa82625%76.090.5-14.5
18 Fibwi Palma81712%78.089.8-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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