PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Palencia vs Gran Canaria Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 82-58
20-20 25-12 21-11 16-15
Position#18
Record3-18
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game87.6
Palencia 🏆
Spain
vs
Gran Canaria
Spain
Position#7
Record14-7
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game81.2
SpainACBRound 22· Pabellon Municipal de Deportes
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Palencia v Gran Canaria
24 Apr 2027
PAL v GKA
upcoming
10 Feb 2024
PAL82
GKA58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gran Canaria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#7
L
73-100
73
100
-27
63avg 71
A03/12
ACB
Granada
#17
L
85-109
85
109
-24
76avg 71
A09/12
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
82-94
82
94
-12
71avg 71
A12/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
80-88
80
88
-8
67avg 71
H17/12
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
78-72
78
72
+6
129avg 71
H30/12
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
72-86
72
86
-14
66avg 71
H06/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
86-84
86
84
+2
83avg 71
A13/01
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
88-95
88
95
-7
83avg 71
H20/01
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
94-102
94
102
-8
89avg 71
A28/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
77-89
77
89
-12
50avg 71
A03/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
23-24
19-32
18-22
20-26
17-29
27-35
21-19
20-14
23-23
25-25
14-32
18-20
22-26
21-20
19-22
24-12
18-19
13-21
23-20
21-21
10-20
18-30
23-15
17-21
17-23
24-19
28-21
17-17
24-22
25-22
22-34
16-29
27-23
25-18
26-32
24-19
16-19
17-25
20-26
173.4Avg total
81.5Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.587.6165.1-10.114%
Season at home (10)76.381.6157.9-5.320%
Season away (11)78.693.1171.7-14.59%
Last 10 (10)81.591.9173.4-10.420%
Last 5 (5)83.491.2174.6-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)77.287.7164.9-10.512%
vs Similar (6)81.386.7168.0-5.333%
vs Weaker (8)81.970.8152.6+11.175%
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCanaria
Date
Competition
Valencia
#4
W
86-79
86
79
+7
80avg 80
A07/01
ACB
Lietkabelis
#17
W
92-84
92
84
+8
90avg 80
A10/01
Eurocup
Unicaja
#2
L
77-80
77
80
-3
70avg 80
A13/01
ACB
Turk Telekom
#15
L
73-83
73
83
-10
70avg 80
H17/01
Eurocup
Murcia
#6
W
91-80
91
80
+11
85avg 80
H20/01
ACB
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
92-68
92
68
+24
93avg 80
A24/01
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
W
100-77
100
77
+23
96avg 80
H28/01
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
111-113 OT
111
113
-2
96avg 80
H31/01
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
81-72
81
72
+9
77avg 80
A04/02
ACB
Buducnost
#13
L
77-90
77
90
-13
73avg 80
A07/02
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
20-16
24-19
25-20
23-13
22-25
18-20
29-26
16-22
16-18
27-19
18-21
19-14
20-22
10-23
24-24
27-16
17-28
30-19
17-17
26-21
24-12
25-15
17-20
25-9
32-27
21-24
22-17
37-20
20-34
16-23
25-21
24-22
14-14
20-17
23-19
16-22
22-25
17-23
22-20
170.6Avg total
88.0Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.581.2165.7+3.367%
Season at home (11)87.678.0165.6+9.682%
Season away (10)81.084.7165.7-3.750%
Last 10 (10)88.082.6170.6+5.460%
Last 5 (5)92.284.0176.2+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.784.7167.3-2.033%
vs Similar (7)87.682.0169.6+5.671%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.079.8168.8+9.275%
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +1.7+1.7
PalenciaGran Canaria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A03/12
ACB
Granada
#17
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A09/12
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A12/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H17/12
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H30/12
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H06/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A13/01
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H20/01
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A28/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A03/02
ACB
81.6Avg total
38.7Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.640.479.0-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.136.676.6+3.556%-
Last 30 away (14)37.044.781.7-7.721%-
Last 10 (10)38.742.981.6-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.842.880.6-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.643.080.6-5.425%-
vs Similar (6)38.342.080.3-3.750%-
vs Weaker (8)40.933.974.8+7.062%-
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A07/01
ACB
Lietkabelis
#17
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A10/01
Eurocup
Unicaja
#2
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A13/01
ACB
Turk Telekom
#15
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H17/01
Eurocup
Murcia
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H20/01
ACB
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A24/01
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H28/01
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#4
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H31/01
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A04/02
ACB
Buducnost
#13
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A07/02
Eurocup
84.1Avg total
43.7Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.240.384.6+3.970%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.039.885.8+6.275%-
Last 30 away (14)42.240.983.1+1.364%-
Last 10 (10)43.740.484.1+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)48.041.289.2+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.043.385.3-1.333%-
vs Similar (7)42.340.682.9+1.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.239.885.0+5.585%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.4
51.4%
53.0%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.8
33.3%
34.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.417.3
77.2%
75.6%17.3
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gran Canariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gran Canaria: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.820.9
58.4%
53.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.7
39.8%
34.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws17.912.9
72.1%
75.6%12.9
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Palencia
LLLWLWLLLL
Gran Canaria
LWLWWWLLWW
#18
League position
#7
-14.0
Net rating
+6.6
106.3
Offensive rating
115.1
120.3
Defensive rating
108.5
50.8%
Effective FG%
58.9%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
19.2%
Turnover %
16.8%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.3%
3-point %
39.8%
62.1%
Assist %
64.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 115.1Defence120.3 · 108.5Shooting50.8% · 58.9%3-point %33.3% · 39.8%Ball care19.2% · 16.8%Off. rebounds31.1% · 24.6%Free throws0.36 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Palencia   ■ Gran Canaria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Palencia wins
1
Gran Canaria wins
DateGameScore
03/12/23Gran Canaria v Palencia100-73
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24AJoventut Badalona77-89
28/01/24ABarcelona94-102
20/01/24HManresa88-95
13/01/24ABasquet Girona86-84
06/01/24HUnicaja72-86
30/12/23HBilbao78-72
17/12/23HBasket Zaragoza80-88
12/12/23ABaskonia82-94
09/12/23AGranada85-109
03/12/23AGran Canaria73-100
Gran Canarialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/24ABuducnost77-90
04/02/24AObradoiro CAB81-72
31/01/24HCluj-Napoca111-113 OT
28/01/24HReal Madrid100-77
24/01/24ASlask Wroclaw92-68
20/01/24HMurcia91-80
17/01/24HTurk Telekom73-83
13/01/24AUnicaja77-80
10/01/24ALietkabelis92-84
07/01/24AValencia86-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL14%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayLLWLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %14%20%9%
Points / game77.576.378.6
Allowed / game87.681.693.1
Point differential-10.1-5.3-14.5
Avg total165.1157.9171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Gran Canaria
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %67%82%50%
Points / game84.587.681.0
Allowed / game81.278.084.7
Point differential+3.3+9.6-3.7
Avg total165.7165.6165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%45%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2118386%89.678.5+11.1
2 Unicaja2117481%87.376.8+10.5
3 Barcelona2114767%86.379.9+6.5
4 Gran Canaria2114767%84.581.2+3.3
5 Valencia2113862%80.178.7+1.4
6 Murcia2112957%82.779.7+3.0
7 Tenerife2112957%83.380.5+2.8
8 Manresa2112957%84.884.3+0.5
9 Baskonia2112957%86.086.2-0.2
10 Joventut Badalona2112957%82.086.0-4.0
11 Basket Zaragoza2191243%80.881.8-1.0
12 Bilbao2181338%77.881.2-3.4
13 Basquet Girona2181338%81.785.8-4.1
14 MoraBanc Andorra2171433%83.385.4-2.1
15 Obradoiro CAB2161529%80.784.3-3.6
16 Granada2161529%81.586.3-4.8
17 Breogan2161529%74.279.8-5.6
18 Palencia2131814%77.587.6-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Palencia2025211682
Gran Canaria2012111558
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.