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Palencia vs Tenerife Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 68-89
17-29 15-11 22-19 14-30
Position#18
Record5-21
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game87.2
vs
Position#5
Record16-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game81.2
SpainACBRound 27· Pabellon Municipal de Deportes
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Palencia v Tenerife
30 Mar 2024
PAL68
TEN89
13 Apr 2012
PAL92
TEN84
01 Apr 2011
PAL78
TEN71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tenerife winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#2
L
72-86
72
86
-14
66avg 72
H06/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
86-84
86
84
+2
83avg 72
A13/01
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
88-95
88
95
-7
83avg 72
H20/01
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
94-102
94
102
-8
89avg 72
A28/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
77-89
77
89
-12
50avg 72
A03/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
82-58
82
58
+24
83avg 72
H10/02
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
93-111
93
111
-18
87avg 72
A03/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
77-70
77
70
+7
65avg 72
H10/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
96-103
96
103
-7
84avg 72
A17/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
72avg 72
H24/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
10-20
18-30
23-15
17-21
17-23
24-19
28-21
17-17
24-22
25-22
22-34
16-29
27-23
25-18
26-32
24-19
16-19
17-25
20-26
20-20
25-12
21-11
16-15
25-25
31-28
20-27
17-31
18-8
22-20
22-23
15-19
17-30
25-16
23-31
31-26
13-17
17-26
26-23
22-20
172.7Avg total
84.3Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.087.2166.2-8.219%
Season at home (13)76.979.2156.2-2.331%
Season away (13)81.195.2176.3-14.28%
Last 10 (10)84.388.4172.7-4.130%
Last 5 (5)85.285.6170.8-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)79.187.2166.3-8.119%
vs Similar (6)81.386.7168.0-5.333%
vs Weaker (3)76.062.7138.7+13.3100%
This opponent (Tenerife) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TenerifeSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTenerife
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
106-100
106
100
+6
103avg 77
A10/02
ACB
Unicaja
#7
W
91-83
91
83
+8
83avg 77
A16/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#2
L
76-108
76
108
-32
59avg 77
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Granada
#17
W
89-83
89
83
+6
82avg 77
H02/03
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
W
95-92
95
92
+3
91avg 77
H06/03
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
78-80
78
80
-2
62avg 77
A10/03
ACB
Karsiyaka
#27
W
88-79
88
79
+9
85avg 77
H13/03
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
79-66
79
66
+13
80avg 77
A16/03
ACB
Peristeri
#15
L
82-90
82
90
-8
80avg 77
A19/03
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#7
W
93-92
93
92
+1
88avg 77
H24/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
29-26
25-29
28-27
26-26
19-23
21-16
25-18
16-14
8-40
24-24
28-30
19-17
28-21
21-17
21-28
24-21
22-13
20-26
29-32
19-20
22-18
18-25
19-17
21-22
21-19
28-21
18-17
23-18
17-9
21-21
18-18
24-28
22-22
20-18
16-22
29-17
20-29
19-24
25-22
175.0Avg total
87.7Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)84.481.2165.7+3.262%
Season at home (13)83.578.6162.2+4.962%
Season away (13)85.383.8169.2+1.562%
Last 10 (10)87.787.3175.0+0.470%
Last 5 (5)84.081.4165.4+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.094.0171.0-17.00%
vs Similar (13)84.883.1167.8+1.762%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)86.478.3164.7+8.179%
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.4-0.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.4-0.4
PalenciaTenerife
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#2
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H06/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A13/01
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H20/01
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A28/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A03/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H10/02
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A03/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H10/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A17/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H24/03
ACB
81.8Avg total
40.2Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.340.979.3-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.437.175.5+1.256%-
Last 30 away (14)38.345.383.6-7.029%-
Last 10 (10)40.241.681.8-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.483.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)38.842.481.2-3.633%-
vs Similar (6)38.342.080.3-3.750%-
vs Weaker (3)35.028.763.7+6.3100%-
This opponent (Tenerife) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TenerifeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A10/02
ACB
Unicaja
#7
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A16/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#2
L
24-54
24
54
-30
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Granada
#17
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H02/03
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#4
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H06/03
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A10/03
ACB
Karsiyaka
#27
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H13/03
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A16/03
ACB
Peristeri
#15
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A19/03
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#7
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H24/03
ACB
85.4Avg total
43.3Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.638.079.6+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.935.479.2+8.586%-
Last 30 away (16)39.640.479.9-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)43.342.185.4+1.270%-
Last 5 (5)43.640.484.0+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.546.078.5-13.550%-
vs Similar (13)40.536.977.4+3.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.637.180.8+6.571%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.8
53.9%
53.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.8
34.8%
34.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.715.5
74.9%
75.6%15.5
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tenerifetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tenerife: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.720.1
57.9%
53.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.3
36.2%
34.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.518.4
85.6%
75.6%18.4
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Palencia
LLWLWLLLWL
Tenerife
WLWWLWWLWW
#18
League position
#5
-5.4
Net rating
-0.3
110.7
Offensive rating
118.3
116.2
Defensive rating
118.6
53.2%
Effective FG%
56.4%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
17.7%
Turnover %
14.9%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.8%
3-point %
36.2%
59.8%
Assist %
58.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 118.3Defence116.2 · 118.6Shooting53.2% · 56.4%3-point %34.8% · 36.2%Ball care17.7% · 14.9%Off. rebounds31.2% · 25.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Palencia   ■ Tenerife
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Palencia wins
3
Tenerife wins
DateGameScore
18/11/23Tenerife v Palencia92-71
13/04/12Palencia v Tenerife92-84
21/12/11Tenerife v Palencia88-83
01/04/11Palencia v Tenerife78-71
22/12/10Tenerife v Palencia84-66
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24HReal Madrid78-86
17/03/24ABasket Zaragoza96-103
10/03/24HMoraBanc Andorra77-70
03/03/24AValencia93-111
10/02/24HGran Canaria82-58
03/02/24AJoventut Badalona77-89
28/01/24ABarcelona94-102
20/01/24HManresa88-95
13/01/24ABasquet Girona86-84
06/01/24HUnicaja72-86
Tenerifelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24HGran Canaria93-92
19/03/24APeristeri82-90
16/03/24AMoraBanc Andorra79-66
13/03/24HKarsiyaka88-79
10/03/24AReal Madrid78-80
06/03/24HHapoel Jerusalem95-92
02/03/24HGranada89-83
17/02/24ABarcelona76-108
16/02/24AUnicaja91-83
10/02/24ABasket Zaragoza106-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL19%
HomeLLWWL31%
AwayWLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %19%31%8%
Points / game79.076.981.1
Allowed / game87.279.295.2
Point differential-8.2-2.3-14.2
Avg total166.2156.2176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Tenerife
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW62%
HomeLWWWW62%
AwayWWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %62%62%62%
Points / game84.483.585.3
Allowed / game81.278.683.8
Point differential+3.2+4.9+1.5
Avg total165.7162.2169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%31%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %12%8%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2623388%88.678.0+10.6
2 Unicaja2621581%87.476.5+10.9
3 Barcelona2617965%87.880.3+7.5
4 Murcia26161062%83.579.7+3.8
5 Tenerife26161062%84.481.2+3.2
6 Gran Canaria26161062%84.881.7+3.1
7 Valencia26161062%82.380.3+2.0
8 Manresa26151158%84.183.9+0.2
9 Baskonia26141254%86.686.7-0.2
10 Joventut Badalona26141254%81.185.4-4.3
11 Bilbao26111542%79.381.6-2.3
12 Basket Zaragoza26101638%82.085.6-3.6
13 Basquet Girona26101638%81.085.6-4.5
14 MoraBanc Andorra2691735%82.084.0-2.0
15 Obradoiro CAB2671927%80.384.7-4.3
16 Breogan2671927%74.179.9-5.8
17 Granada2671927%81.287.1-6.0
18 Palencia2652119%79.087.2-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Palencia1715221468
Tenerife2911193089
← all games of the day
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