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Palmer Basket vs Ourense Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 28 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record3-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Position#10
Record2-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game85.0
SpainPrimera FEBRound 27
Other2026-27
Meetings · Palmer Basket v Ourense
28 Mar 2027
PALM v OURE
upcoming
05 Apr 2026
PALM72
OURE56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palmer Basket win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ourense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Palmer BasketSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
65-82
65
82
-17
A17/04
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
74-89
74
89
-15
A22/04
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H26/04
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A03/05
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
59-85
59
85
-26
H08/05
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#15
W
95-94
95
94
+1
H25/09
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#11
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A02/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#14
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H11/10
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#16
W
94-90
94
90
+4
A16/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#17
L
94-95
94
95
-1
H25/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
14-28
19-16
17-19
22-32
15-12
18-23
19-22
22-20
25-15
11-21
19-12
17-12
12-21
28-15
13-25
5-19
16-22
23-21
15-23
29-22
22-21
25-23
19-28
22-17
22-16
10-23
18-25
18-15
21-18
23-17
22-19
18-22
24-23
23-25
29-20
26-26
19-20
25-28
24-21
161.0Avg total
78.4Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.885.8173.6+2.060%
Season at home (3)91.086.0177.0+5.067%
Season away (2)83.085.5168.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)78.482.6161.0-4.240%
Last 5 (5)87.885.8173.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)70.682.8153.5-12.216%
vs Similar ◀ (7)77.777.6155.3+0.157%
vs Weaker (4)91.887.0178.8+4.875%
This opponent (Ourense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OurenseSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
57-94
57
94
-37
A17/04
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
90-93
90
93
-3
H21/04
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A26/04
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
93-84
93
84
+9
A03/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H08/05
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#17
W
91-71
91
71
+20
H26/09
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#16
W
90-86
90
86
+4
A04/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
86-101
86
101
-15
H10/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H16/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#4
L
80-84
80
84
-4
A24/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-25
9-24
23-21
13-24
16-23
26-22
21-34
27-14
16-22
21-19
14-10
19-22
24-19
24-31
25-18
20-16
13-20
22-27
19-15
16-12
31-15
18-24
22-17
20-15
20-29
30-16
20-21
20-20
28-21
13-31
20-27
25-22
16-16
22-16
22-24
19-27
25-13
20-22
16-25
19-24
164.9Avg total
80.6Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.285.0170.2+0.240%
Season at home (3)85.385.0170.3+0.333%
Season away (2)85.085.0170.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)80.684.3164.9-3.730%
Last 5 (5)85.285.0170.2+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)78.086.2164.2-8.212%
vs Similar ◀ (7)80.679.0159.6+1.657%
vs Weaker (7)82.177.3159.4+4.957%
This opponent (Palmer Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
Palmer BasketOurense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Palmer BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A17/04
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A22/04
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H26/04
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A03/05
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
21-41
21
41
-20
H08/05
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#15
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H25/09
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#11
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A02/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#14
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H11/10
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#16
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A16/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#17
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H25/10
Primera FEB
78.4Avg total
38.4Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.941.078.9-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.840.678.4-2.844%-
Last 30 away (14)38.041.479.4-3.429%-
Last 10 (10)38.440.078.4-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)44.240.084.2+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)35.842.778.6-6.921%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)39.935.775.6+4.171%-
vs Weaker (4)44.241.886.0+2.550%-
This opponent (Ourense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
21-49
21
49
-28
A17/04
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H21/04
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A26/04
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A03/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H08/05
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#17
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H26/09
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#16
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A04/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H10/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H16/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#4
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A24/10
Primera FEB
84.1Avg total
40.6Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.981.7-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.841.782.4-0.944%-
Last 30 away (14)40.740.180.8+0.657%-
Last 10 (10)40.643.584.1-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)44.640.685.2+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)39.543.182.6-3.638%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.038.779.7+2.357%-
vs Weaker (7)43.338.381.6+5.071%-
This opponent (Palmer Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palmer Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palmer Basket: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.3
52.0%
53.0%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.0
29.9%
32.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws21.014.8
70.5%
74.2%14.8
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ourensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ourense: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.2
51.9%
53.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.3
30.5%
32.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws25.718.3
71.2%
74.2%18.3
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Palmer Basket
LWWLWLLWLL
Ourense
LLLWWLWLLL
#6
League position
#10
-5.6
Net rating
-5.1
105.4
Offensive rating
110.3
111.1
Defensive rating
115.4
49.4%
Effective FG%
49.6%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.41
29.9%
3-point %
30.5%
48.1%
Assist %
53.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 110.3Defence111.1 · 115.4Shooting49.4% · 49.6%3-point %29.9% · 30.5%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Palmer Basket   ■ Ourense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Palmer Basket wins
1
Ourense wins
DateGameScore
05/04/26Palmer Basket v Ourense72-56
04/10/25Ourense v Palmer Basket82-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HTizona Burgos94-95
16/10/26AGipuzkoa94-90
11/10/26HZamora84-69
02/10/26ACaja 8772-81
25/09/26HFibwi Palma95-94
08/05/26HFibwi Palma59-85
03/05/26AEstudiantes70-73
26/04/26HAlicante77-68
22/04/26AOviedo74-89
17/04/26AGipuzkoa65-82
Ourenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26APalencia80-84
16/10/26HAlicante79-83
10/10/26HEstela86-101
04/10/26AGipuzkoa90-86
26/09/26HTizona Burgos91-71
08/05/26HOviedo70-74
03/05/26AMelilla93-84
26/04/26AHestia Menorca70-73
21/04/26HPalencia90-93
17/04/26AObradoiro CAB57-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palmer Basket
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game87.891.083.0
Allowed / game85.886.085.5
Point differential+2.0+5.0-2.5
Avg total173.6177.0168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ourense
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL40%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game85.285.385.0
Allowed / game85.085.085.0
Point differential+0.2+0.3+0.0
Avg total170.2170.3170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alicante660100%89.874.0+15.8
2 Estudiantes550100%88.873.8+15.0
3 Gran Canaria54180%91.472.2+19.2
4 Palencia54180%83.475.6+7.8
5 Estela54180%84.678.2+6.4
6 Palmer Basket53260%87.885.8+2.0
7 Granada53260%81.881.4+0.4
8 Albacete53260%82.287.2-5.0
9 Oviedo53260%83.489.6-6.2
10 Ourense52340%85.285.0+0.2
11 Caja 8752340%77.078.2-1.2
12 Cordoba52340%71.677.6-6.0
13 Fuenlabrada51420%78.682.4-3.8
14 Zamora51420%73.079.6-6.6
15 Fibwi Palma51420%81.288.6-7.4
16 Gipuzkoa51420%80.094.4-14.4
17 Tizona Burgos61517%87.595.0-7.5
18 Hestia Menorca5050%70.280.6-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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