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Ourense vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 90-93
16-23 26-22 21-34 27-14
Position#11
Record11-17
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game81.4
vs
Position#3
Record21-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game72.2
SpainPrimera FEBRound 31
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ourense v Palencia
30 Jan 2027
OURE v PAL
upcoming
21 Apr 2026
OURE90
PAL93
23 Apr 2025
OURE94
PAL84
11 Dec 2022
OURE66
PAL82
24 Oct 2020
OURE75
PAL68
20 Oct 2019
OURE72
PAL81
21 Apr 2019
OURE52
PAL55
10 Dec 2017
OURE71
PAL74
12 Apr 2017
OURE68
PAL76
20 Dec 2015
OURE56
PAL63
17 Oct 2014
OURE63
PAL65
23 Nov 2013
OURE59
PAL80
05 Oct 2012
OURE68
PAL93
06 Dec 2010
OURE77
PAL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ourense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Palencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OurenseSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cartagena
#16
L
80-81
80
81
-1
A11/02
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
103-97
103
97
+6
H14/02
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H21/02
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A07/03
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
59-74
59
74
-15
H11/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H14/03
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
L
84-105
84
105
-21
H28/03
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
L
56-72
56
72
-16
A05/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
L
67-72
67
72
-5
H11/04
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
57-94
57
94
-37
A17/04
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
18-23
28-27
15-13
27-16
27-33
17-23
32-25
19-16
17-18
21-15
24-20
19-20
22-20
15-23
23-18
10-17
23-20
15-19
11-18
23-25
17-20
17-19
22-13
19-21
21-28
19-33
25-23
16-14
13-14
8-28
19-16
22-11
12-19
15-24
18-18
12-25
9-24
23-21
13-24
156.7Avg total
74.5Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.881.4160.2-2.639%
Season at home (14)82.279.4161.6+2.864%
Season away (14)75.483.4158.9-8.014%
Last 10 (10)74.582.2156.7-7.730%
Last 5 (5)68.684.0152.6-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)77.986.5164.5-8.627%
vs Similar (11)80.781.3162.0-0.545%
vs Weaker (8)79.475.6155.0+3.850%
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palmer Basket
#15
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H11/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
W
76-61
76
61
+15
A15/02
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
97-74
97
74
+23
H20/02
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H06/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
91-74
91
74
+17
A11/03
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
99-87
99
87
+12
H14/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
71-57
71
57
+14
A21/03
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
82-62
82
62
+20
H27/03
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
53-81
53
81
-28
A05/04
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A18/04
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
25-18
26-11
16-18
18-8
15-22
26-14
17-17
23-19
30-22
20-16
24-17
22-18
14-17
16-16
25-15
21-21
24-14
24-25
22-14
19-23
28-13
33-22
19-29
21-21
18-17
9-6
23-13
20-19
28-12
16-11
18-20
10-13
13-24
9-22
21-22
16-17
18-13
21-25
17-12
150.1Avg total
80.3Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)82.472.2154.6+10.275%
Season at home (14)83.773.0156.7+10.779%
Season away (14)81.171.4152.6+9.771%
Last 10 (10)80.369.8150.1+10.590%
Last 5 (5)75.470.8146.2+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.084.0153.0-15.00%
vs Similar (3)87.079.0166.0+8.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)83.771.4155.1+12.280%
This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +2.5+2.5
OurensePalencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cartagena
#16
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A11/02
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H14/02
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H21/02
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A07/03
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H11/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H14/03
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H28/03
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A05/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H11/04
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
21-49
21
49
-28
A17/04
Primera FEB
76.7Avg total
36.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.781.2+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.339.381.7+3.060%-
Last 30 away (15)40.640.180.7+0.560%-
Last 10 (10)36.540.276.7-3.750%-
Last 5 (5)32.840.273.0-7.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.343.383.5-3.045%-
vs Similar (11)42.339.882.1+2.564%-
vs Weaker (8)42.034.676.6+7.475%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palmer Basket
#15
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H11/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A15/02
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H20/02
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H06/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A11/03
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H14/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A21/03
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H27/03
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A05/04
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A18/04
Primera FEB
75.4Avg total
40.1Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.036.479.4+6.677%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.636.180.7+8.587%-
Last 30 away (15)41.436.778.1+4.767%-
Last 10 (10)40.135.375.4+4.890%-
Last 5 (5)38.234.472.6+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.041.577.5-5.550%-
vs Similar (3)49.039.388.3+9.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)42.835.678.5+7.276%-
This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ourensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ourense: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.418.1
41.7%
51.5%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.1
30.3%
33.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws21.215.2
71.7%
73.4%15.2
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.617.5
52.1%
51.5%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.6
35.7%
33.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws19.814.0
70.7%
73.4%14.0
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ourense
LLLLWLLWWL
Palencia
WLWWWWWWWW
#11
League position
#3
-11.2
Net rating
+12.7
99.6
Offensive rating
113.6
110.9
Defensive rating
100.9
43.0%
Effective FG%
52.8%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.3%
3-point %
35.7%
56.3%
Assist %
52.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence99.6 · 113.6Defence110.9 · 100.9Shooting43.0% · 52.8%3-point %30.3% · 35.7%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Ourense   ■ Palencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ourense wins
8
Palencia wins
DateGameScore
16/01/26Palencia v Ourense83-77
23/04/25Ourense v Palencia94-84
14/12/24Palencia v Ourense114-81
09/04/23Palencia v Ourense86-80
11/12/22Ourense v Palencia66-82
03/01/21Palencia v Ourense87-69
24/10/20Ourense v Palencia75-68
07/02/20Palencia v Ourense87-80
20/10/19Ourense v Palencia72-81
21/04/19Ourense v Palencia52-55
Ourenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/26AObradoiro CAB57-94
11/04/26HEstela67-72
05/04/26APalmer Basket56-72
28/03/26HZamora84-105
14/03/26HTizona Burgos79-77
11/03/26HLeyma Coruna59-74
07/03/26AGipuzkoa79-81
21/02/26HFibwi Palma81-69
14/02/26HEstudiantes103-97
11/02/26ACartagena80-81
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/26AHestia Menorca72-67
05/04/26AObradoiro CAB53-81
27/03/26HMelilla82-62
21/03/26AGipuzkoa71-57
14/03/26HLeyma Coruna99-87
11/03/26ATizona Burgos91-74
06/03/26HZamora77-66
20/02/26HFuenlabrada97-74
15/02/26AOviedo76-61
11/02/26HPalmer Basket85-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ourense
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL39%
HomeWLWLL64%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %39%64%14%
Points / game78.882.275.4
Allowed / game81.479.483.4
Point differential-2.6+2.8-8.0
Avg total160.2161.6158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)60% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Palencia
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWWWW79%
AwayWWWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %75%79%71%
Points / game82.483.781.1
Allowed / game72.273.071.4
Point differential+10.2+10.7+9.7
Avg total154.6156.7152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%64%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Obradoiro CAB2925486%92.376.1+16.1
2 Leyma Coruna2925486%90.778.4+12.3
3 Palencia2821775%82.472.2+10.2
4 Estudiantes28181064%84.880.4+4.4
5 Gipuzkoa28171161%79.174.3+4.8
6 Oviedo29161355%81.878.3+3.6
7 Fuenlabrada29161355%79.281.0-1.9
8 Hestia Menorca28151354%80.776.8+3.9
9 Alicante29151452%82.681.8+0.9
10 Zamora28131546%83.986.7-2.8
11 Ourense28111739%78.881.4-2.6
12 Estela28111739%77.883.5-5.8
13 Fibwi Palma2891932%76.582.5-6.0
14 Cartagena2882029%73.984.6-10.7
15 Melilla2872125%76.285.4-9.2
16 Palmer Basket2872125%72.783.5-10.8
17 Tizona Burgos2972224%82.189.4-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ourense1626212790
Palencia2322341493
← all games of the day
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