PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Panathinaikos vs Darussafaka Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Sep 2017
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 75-78 (OT)
15-10 16-21 17-20 16-13 11-14
Position#4
Record0-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#3
Record0-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game81.0
EuropeGomelsky CupGomelsky Cup - 3rd place
Other2017
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Darussafaka
14 Dec 2018
PAO75
DAR67
28 Sep 2017
PAO75
DAR78
25 Nov 2016
PAO86
DAR80
29 Jan 2016
PAO82
DAR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Darussafaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#3
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H11/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
70-71
70
71
-1
A14/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H18/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
105-67
105
67
+38
A22/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A28/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H01/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
62-64
62
64
-2
A04/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H08/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
W
66-51
66
51
+15
A11/06
Basket League
Khimki M.
#1
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A27/09
Gomelsky Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
12-24
25-11
20-20
22-17
22-20
13-19
13-15
18-12
14-19
19-21
30-20
25-11
24-18
24-18
32-20
10-19
23-16
17-13
8-15
17-20
24-19
18-14
25-27
16-16
17-20
10-7
19-21
18-11
21-17
20-11
12-19
14-17
22-10
21-10
9-14
19-16
17-16
16-21
18-20
141.6Avg total
74.7Scored
66.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)70.073.0143.0-3.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)70.073.0143.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)74.766.9141.6+7.860%
Last 5 (5)70.665.2135.8+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.078.3159.3+2.767%
vs Similar ◀ (12)67.167.4134.5-0.342%
vs Weaker (15)87.368.7156.1+18.693%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#6
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
107-93
107
93
+14
A06/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
88-85
88
85
+3
H13/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Best Balikesir
#15
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H16/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Banvit
#5
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H24/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Banvit
#5
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A26/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
72-94
72
94
-22
A29/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
81-95
81
95
-14
A31/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
74-90
74
90
-16
H02/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A27/09
Gomelsky Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
20-19
25-15
19-13
33-25
21-29
24-21
29-18
28-25
19-32
23-14
18-14
22-20
23-21
28-15
22-16
20-15
16-17
22-11
14-24
13-18
16-21
24-16
21-15
26-24
16-26
15-22
15-22
26-24
17-34
24-16
14-21
14-26
21-20
18-12
21-32
21-21
21-25
14-18
19-17
163.2Avg total
81.6Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)75.081.0156.0-6.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)75.081.0156.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)81.681.6163.2+0.060%
Last 5 (5)75.286.0161.2-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.989.4168.3-10.510%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.172.9150.0+4.283%
vs Weaker (8)90.878.9169.6+11.9100%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
PanathinaikosDarussafaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#3
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H11/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A14/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H18/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A22/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A28/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H01/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A04/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H08/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A11/06
Basket League
Khimki M.
#1
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A27/09
Gomelsky Cup
71.1Avg total
37.8Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.133.573.5+6.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.333.374.7+8.080%-
Last 30 away (15)38.833.672.4+5.253%-
Last 10 (10)37.833.371.1+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)37.032.469.4+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.337.779.0+3.7100%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.631.467.0+4.258%-
vs Weaker (15)43.434.377.7+9.167%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#6
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A06/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H13/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Best Balikesir
#15
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H16/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Banvit
#5
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H24/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Banvit
#5
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A26/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A29/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
43-58
43
58
-15
A31/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H02/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A27/09
Gomelsky Cup
87.1Avg total
40.7Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.141.780.8-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.538.778.1+0.853%-
Last 30 away (15)38.744.883.5-6.127%-
Last 10 (10)40.746.487.1-5.720%-
Last 5 (5)38.247.886.0-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.545.784.2-7.230%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.538.275.8-0.842%-
vs Weaker (8)42.142.084.1+0.150%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.416.9
50.6%
-33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.8
33.3%
-26.4
🏀 Free throws16.111.0
68.3%
-11.0
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.7
50.3%
-39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.9
33.9%
-23.7
🏀 Free throws18.213.2
72.5%
-13.2
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Sep 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
LWWLWLWWLW
Darussafaka
LLLLWWWWWW
#4
League position
#3
-0.1
Net rating
-0.3
103.9
Offensive rating
107.4
104.0
Defensive rating
107.6
50.3%
Effective FG%
50.5%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
16.3%
Turnover %
14.7%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.3%
3-point %
33.9%
58.0%
Assist %
43.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Darussafaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Panathinaikos wins
1
Darussafaka wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/17AKhimki M.70-73
11/06/17AOlympiacos66-51
08/06/17HOlympiacos71-58
04/06/17AOlympiacos62-64
01/06/17HOlympiacos84-80
28/05/17AOlympiacos58-63
22/05/17AAEK Athens105-67
18/05/17HAEK Athens81-72
14/05/17AAEK Athens70-71
11/05/17HAEK Athens80-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/17ACSKA Moscow75-81
02/06/17HFenerbahce74-90
31/05/17AFenerbahce81-95
29/05/17AFenerbahce72-94
26/05/17ABanvit74-70
24/05/17HBanvit72-67
16/05/17HBest Balikesir95-72
13/05/17HAnadolu Efes88-85
06/05/17ABuyukcekmece107-93
03/05/17HGalatasaray78-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Gomelsky Cup 2017
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game70.0-70.0
Allowed / game73.0-73.0
Point differential-3.0--3.0
Avg total143.0-143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Darussafaka
Gomelsky Cup 2017
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game75.0-75.0
Allowed / game81.0-81.0
Point differential-6.0--6.0
Avg total156.0-156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow110100%81.075.0+6.0
2 Khimki M.110100%73.070.0+3.0
3 Panathinaikos1010%70.073.0-3.0
4 Darussafaka1010%75.081.0-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Panathinaikos151617161175
Darussafaka102120131478
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.