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Panathinaikos vs Darussafaka Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 86-80
21-16 25-18 18-26 22-20
Position#5
Record4-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game78.9
vs
Position#9
Record5-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game80.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 9
European cup2016
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Darussafaka
14 Dec 2018
PAO75
DAR67
28 Sep 2017
PAO75
DAR78
25 Nov 2016
PAO86
DAR80
29 Jan 2016
PAO82
DAR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Darussafaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#13
W
84-83
84
83
+1
A26/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#7
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H28/10
Euroleague
G.S. Kymis
#11
W
92-52
92
52
+40
H31/10
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#6
L
83-91 OT
83
91
-8
A04/11
Euroleague
Lefkadas
#14
W
73-46
73
46
+27
A07/11
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
83-75 OT
83
75
+8
H10/11
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H13/11
Basket League
Real Madrid
#2
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A16/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H18/11
Euroleague
Aris
#5
W
71-59
71
59
+12
A21/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
22-22
20-26
22-20
23-14
23-11
15-16
9-18
35-25
24-7
15-9
18-11
20-16
22-19
11-18
17-17
18-13
23-9
18-13
14-11
18-12
17-16
17-15
15-24
21-13
19-20
24-17
16-15
23-21
27-32
18-19
16-15
23-23
16-24
24-14
14-18
17-14
19-14
15-17
20-14
149.3Avg total
79.7Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.278.9159.1+1.450%
Season at home (4)78.572.2150.8+6.275%
Season away (4)82.085.5167.5-3.525%
Last 10 (10)79.769.6149.3+10.170%
Last 5 (5)79.073.0152.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.584.0164.5-3.50%
vs Similar ◀ (13)77.880.4158.2-2.646%
vs Weaker (14)81.464.7146.1+16.686%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#15
W
94-87
94
87
+7
A25/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#6
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H27/10
Euroleague
Trabzonspor
#12
W
83-71
83
71
+12
A30/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A04/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bamberg
#13
W
72-70
72
70
+2
H10/11
Euroleague
Besiktas
#2
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A12/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
91-83
91
83
+8
H16/11
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#12
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A18/11
Euroleague
Ankara Kolejliler
#16
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-29
18-18
19-12
29-28
20-13
26-22
19-23
14-26
24-16
25-17
17-24
17-14
15-25
11-10
35-21
22-24
22-23
22-21
16-19
18-16
23-17
17-23
20-10
12-20
24-20
18-22
17-18
16-17
30-18
19-19
24-20
18-26
21-17
17-20
17-28
26-20
18-15
17-18
23-14
13-15
158.5Avg total
80.7Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.680.0161.6+1.662%
Season at home (4)80.579.5160.0+1.050%
Season away (4)82.880.5163.2+2.275%
Last 10 (10)80.777.8158.5+2.960%
Last 5 (5)78.075.4153.4+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.583.7162.2-5.220%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.673.4152.1+5.264%
vs Weaker (5)78.672.6151.2+6.080%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -2.1-2.1
PanathinaikosDarussafaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#13
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A26/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#7
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H28/10
Euroleague
G.S. Kymis
#11
W
59-32
59
32
+27
H31/10
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A04/11
Euroleague
Lefkadas
#14
W
41-22
41
22
+19
A07/11
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H10/11
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H13/11
Basket League
Real Madrid
#2
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A16/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H18/11
Euroleague
Aris
#5
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A21/11
Basket League
77.0Avg total
43.0Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.234.975.1+5.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.434.174.5+6.462%-
Last 30 away (14)39.935.975.9+4.057%-
Last 10 (10)43.034.077.0+9.080%-
Last 5 (5)40.037.877.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.044.084.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.438.376.7+0.146%-
vs Weaker (14)41.630.171.8+11.579%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#15
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A25/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H27/10
Euroleague
Trabzonspor
#12
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A30/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A04/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bamberg
#13
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H10/11
Euroleague
Besiktas
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A12/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H16/11
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#12
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A18/11
Euroleague
Ankara Kolejliler
#16
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
79.8Avg total
41.5Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.938.776.6-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.637.877.3+1.856%-
Last 30 away (14)36.039.975.9-3.929%-
Last 10 (10)41.538.379.8+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.837.878.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.243.181.3-4.920%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.536.974.4+0.650%-
vs Weaker (5)39.637.076.6+2.660%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.7 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.3
51.0%
50.7%34.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.29.8
40.7%
37.3%29.5
🏀 Free throws19.814.2
71.4%
75.6%14.2
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.5 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.2
52.5%
50.7%36.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.810.1
39.3%
37.3%30.4
🏀 Free throws17.814.4
81.0%
75.6%14.4
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/8 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WLLWWWLWWW
Darussafaka
WLWLWLWWLW
#5
League position
#9
+2.2
Net rating
+2.7
113.3
Offensive rating
109.9
111.1
Defensive rating
107.2
55.2%
Effective FG%
55.3%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
14.2%
Turnover %
17.3%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
40.7%
3-point %
39.3%
55.2%
Assist %
55.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 109.9Defence111.1 · 107.2Shooting55.2% · 55.3%3-point %40.7% · 39.3%Ball care14.2% · 17.3%Off. rebounds28.4% · 24.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Darussafaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Panathinaikos wins
0
Darussafaka wins
DateGameScore
24/03/16Darussafaka v Panathinaikos84-86
29/01/16Panathinaikos v Darussafaka82-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/16AAris71-59
18/11/16HOlympiacos77-79
16/11/16AReal Madrid84-87
13/11/16HKolossos Rhodes80-65
10/11/16HMaccabi Tel Aviv83-75 OT
07/11/16ALefkadas73-46
04/11/16AAnadolu Efes83-91 OT
31/10/16HG.S. Kymis92-52
28/10/16HCrvena zvezda70-59
26/10/16ABamberg84-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/16HAnkara Kolejliler71-62
18/11/16AGalatasaray81-85
16/11/16HCSKA Moscow91-83
12/11/16ABesiktas75-77
10/11/16HBamberg72-70
07/11/16HFenerbahce78-79
04/11/16AZalgiris Kaunas83-80
30/10/16ATrabzonspor83-71
27/10/16HAnadolu Efes79-84
25/10/16AUnics Kazan94-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game80.278.582.0
Allowed / game78.972.285.5
Point differential+1.4+6.2-3.5
Avg total159.1150.8167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %25%25%25%
Darussafaka
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL62%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game81.680.582.8
Allowed / game80.079.580.5
Point differential+1.6+1.0+2.2
Avg total161.6160.0163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow98189%93.783.8+9.9
2 Real Madrid97278%90.980.2+10.7
3 Fenerbahce96367%77.177.4-0.3
4 Darussafaka85362%81.680.0+1.6
5 Olympiacos95456%79.377.7+1.7
6 Maccabi Tel Aviv95456%83.282.1+1.1
7 Baskonia95456%81.881.4+0.3
8 Panathinaikos84450%80.278.9+1.4
9 Anadolu Efes94544%87.689.0-1.4
10 Crvena zvezda94544%72.974.9-2.0
11 Olimpia Milano94544%87.389.4-2.1
12 Barcelona94544%70.475.6-5.1
13 Zalgiris Kaunas93633%80.182.6-2.4
14 Galatasaray93633%83.889.3-5.6
15 Bamberg92722%79.181.7-2.6
16 Unics Kazan92722%78.883.6-4.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2125182286
Darussafaka1618262080
← all games of the day
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