AEK Athens vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 22 May 2017

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 67-105

11-25 18-24 18-24 20-32

Position#3

Record22-9

FormWWLWL

Points / game78.7

Allowed / game71.4

AEK Athens

Panathinaikos 🏆

Position#1

Record27-2

FormLLWLW

Points / game84.0

Allowed / game66.2

Basket LeagueBasket League - Semi-finals

Domestic2016-17

Meetings · AEK Athens v Panathinaikos

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Panathinaikos winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK Athens Greece

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAthens

Date

Competition

Koroivos

#12

89-63

+26

no box

A18/03

Basket League

Panathinaikos

87-106 OT

106

-19

no box

H26/03

Basket League

Lefkadas

#14

68-64

no box

A01/04

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

82-81

no box

H08/04

Basket League

Aris

77-81

-4

no box

A13/04

Basket League

Rethymno

90-78

+12

no box

H30/04

Basket League

Rethymno

81-70

+11

no box

A04/05

Basket League

Panathinaikos

70-80

-10

no box

A11/05

Basket League

Panathinaikos

71-70

no box

H14/05

Basket League

Panathinaikos

72-81

-9

no box

A18/05

Basket League

22-21

24-12

21-9

24-23

18-18

20-16

15-20

15-17

23-19

16-15

14-13

12-19

22-21

26-15

22-26

24-15

23-22

10-17

20-27

19-14

22-20

25-20

24-24

18-23

22-27

24-6

17-14

15-23

24-12

11-25

20-20

17-22

20-22

19-13

15-13

12-18

19-14

21-19

20-30

156.1Avg total

78.7Scored

77.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	78.7	71.4	150.1	+7.3	71%
Season at home (15)	81.5	71.1	152.5	+10.4	87%
Season away (16)	76.1	71.7	147.8	+4.4	56%
Last 10 (10)	78.7	77.4	156.1	+1.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	76.8	75.8	152.6	+1.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	72.6	81.4	154.0	-8.8	20%
vs Similar (4)	76.5	79.2	155.8	-2.8	50%
vs Weaker (21)	78.5	72.0	150.5	+6.6	76%

This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Panathinaikos Greece

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPanathinaikos

Date

Competition

Trikala

#10

93-63

+30

no box

H03/04

Basket League

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#14

81-61

+20

114avg 99

A06/04

Euroleague

Rethymno

101-74

101

+27

no box

A10/04

Basket League

PAOK

102-58

102

+44

no box

H13/04

Basket League

Fenerbahce

58-71

-13

80avg 99

H18/04

Euroleague

Fenerbahce

75-80

-5

95avg 99

H20/04

Euroleague

Fenerbahce

61-79

-18

82avg 99

A25/04

Euroleague

AEK Athens

80-70

+10

no box

H11/05

Basket League

AEK Athens

70-71

-1

no box

A14/05

Basket League

AEK Athens

81-72

no box

H18/05

Basket League

30-17

22-11

16-17

25-18

20-26

12-16

31-12

18-7

32-23

23-18

25-16

21-17

26-10

28-16

21-18

27-14

15-16

27-12

8-20

8-23

20-22

23-23

16-18

16-17

17-18

13-19

12-15

19-27

23-15

12-24

25-11

20-20

22-17

22-20

13-19

13-15

18-12

14-19

19-21

30-20

150.1Avg total

80.2Scored

69.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	84.0	66.2	150.2	+17.9	93%
Season at home (15)	87.4	64.3	151.7	+23.1	100%
Season away (14)	80.4	68.2	148.6	+12.2	86%
Last 10 (10)	80.2	69.9	150.1	+10.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	73.4	74.4	147.8	-1.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	86.5	81.0	167.5	+5.5	100%
vs Similar (10)	68.3	69.6	137.9	-1.3	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	85.1	67.4	152.5	+17.7	94%

This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AEK AthensPanathinaikos

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.5	38.2	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.2	17.6	37.9	+2.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.4	21.1	38.5	-3.6	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	19.5	37.3	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	20.0	36.2	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.4	20.4	37.8	-3.0	40%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.0	21.2	40.2	-2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (21)	19.0	18.9	37.9	+0.1	43%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	16.9	38.4	+4.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.7	16.1	37.8	+5.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.3	17.9	39.1	+3.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	17.6	39.9	+4.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.8	36.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.5	18.0	38.5	+2.5	100%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.1	15.7	33.8	+2.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	23.5	17.5	41.0	+6.0	72%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.0	38.1	+2.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	18.0	36.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	17.9	39.2	+3.3	81%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.6	41.1	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.0	40.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	19.8	17.0	36.8	+2.8	40%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.5	18.2	35.8	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (21)	20.7	18.1	38.9	+2.6	76%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	16.4	35.2	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	16.9	36.8	+2.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	15.8	33.5	+1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	17.8	37.4	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	21.0	37.8	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.5	22.5	46.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.0	16.3	33.3	+0.7	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	19.3	15.8	35.1	+3.6	61%	-

AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Koroivos

#12

44-42

A18/03

Basket League

Panathinaikos

42-41

H26/03

Basket League

Lefkadas

#14

38-36

A01/04

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

34-40

-6

H08/04

Basket League

Aris

47-37

+10

A13/04

Basket League

Rethymno

41-34

H30/04

Basket League

Rethymno

40-50

-10

A04/05

Basket League

Panathinaikos

39-35

A11/05

Basket League

Panathinaikos

37-44

-7

H14/05

Basket League

Panathinaikos

31-32

-1

A18/05

Basket League

78.4Avg total

39.3Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	37.4	76.3	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.1	35.6	74.7	+3.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.7	39.0	77.7	-0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	39.1	78.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	39.0	76.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	37.2	37.4	74.6	-0.2	60%	-
vs Similar (4)	36.5	39.5	76.0	-3.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (21)	39.7	37.0	76.8	+2.7	57%	-

This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trikala

#10

52-28

+24

H03/04

Basket League

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#14

32-42

-10

A06/04

Euroleague

Rethymno

55-41

+14

A10/04

Basket League

PAOK

54-26

+28

H13/04

Basket League

Fenerbahce

42-28

+14

H18/04

Euroleague

Fenerbahce

43-45

-2

H20/04

Euroleague

Fenerbahce

30-37

-7

A25/04

Euroleague

AEK Athens

35-39

-4

H11/05

Basket League

AEK Athens

44-37

A14/05

Basket League

AEK Athens

32-31

H18/05

Basket League

77.3Avg total

41.9Scored

35.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	33.3	73.7	+7.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.5	33.1	74.6	+8.4	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.0	33.6	72.6	+5.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	35.4	77.3	+6.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	37.8	74.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	44.0	40.5	84.5	+3.5	100%	-
vs Similar (10)	35.1	32.0	67.1	+3.1	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	42.8	33.3	76.1	+9.6	72%	-

This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	17.3	35.7	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.8	16.2	34.0	+1.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	18.3	37.1	+0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	15.8	35.4	+3.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.6	36.6	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	16.2	18.0	34.2	-1.8	60%	-
vs Similar (4)	15.2	21.5	36.8	-6.2	0%	-
vs Weaker (21)	19.4	16.4	35.8	+3.0	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	16.3	34.7	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.1	15.8	32.8	+1.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	16.9	36.8	+3.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	16.7	35.3	+1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	16.8	33.8	+0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	14.0	16.0	30.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.4	16.0	32.4	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.0	16.4	36.4	+3.6	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.8	38.5	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	18.3	38.9	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.6	38.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.2	39.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.2	20.2	37.4	-3.0	20%	-
vs Similar (4)	24.8	18.2	43.0	+6.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (21)	19.4	18.5	37.9	+0.9	48%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.9	38.4	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.0	18.8	39.8	+2.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	17.8	37.5	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	21.0	43.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.8	21.6	38.4	-4.8	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.7	17.1	37.8	+3.6	61%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	36.1	74.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.4	34.5	72.9	+3.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.8	37.5	75.3	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	35.4	73.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	36.8	76.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	33.4	38.2	71.6	-4.8	20%	-
vs Similar (4)	40.0	39.8	79.8	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (21)	38.8	34.9	73.7	+3.9	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	35.1	73.0	+2.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.1	34.5	72.6	+3.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.7	35.9	73.6	+1.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	34.5	72.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	36.6	73.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	36.5	37.0	73.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	33.2	37.6	70.8	-4.4	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	40.7	33.6	74.2	+7.1	89%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 71.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game

48%

33%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.4	16.9	50.6%	53.6%	33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.4	8.8	33.3%	34.8%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	16.1	11.0	68.3%	73.9%	11.0

They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.6	16.9	47.5%	53.6%	33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.5	9.2	42.8%	34.8%	27.6
🏀 Free throws	14.1	9.9	70.2%	73.9%	9.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.6	17.3	50.0%	53.6%	34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	9.2	35.6%	34.8%	27.6
🏀 Free throws	16.9	11.9	70.2%	73.9%	11.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.6	18.7	48.3%	53.6%	37.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.1	8.0	39.7%	34.8%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	15.6	11.6	74.3%	73.9%	11.6

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

AEK Athens wins

Panathinaikos wins

Date	Game	Score
18/05/17	Panathinaikos v AEK Athens	81-72
14/05/17	AEK Athens v Panathinaikos	71-70
11/05/17	Panathinaikos v AEK Athens	80-70
26/03/17	AEK Athens v Panathinaikos	87-106 OT
11/12/16	Panathinaikos v AEK Athens	77-68
16/02/15	AEK Athens v Panathinaikos	62-70
26/10/14	Panathinaikos v AEK Athens	92-58
06/04/11	Panathinaikos v AEK Athens	111-70
18/12/10	AEK Athens v Panathinaikos	78-95
25/04/10	Panathinaikos v AEK Athens	91-62

AEK Athenslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/05/17	A	Panathinaikos	72-81
14/05/17	H	Panathinaikos	71-70
11/05/17	A	Panathinaikos	70-80
04/05/17	A	Rethymno	81-70
30/04/17	H	Rethymno	90-78
13/04/17	A	Aris	77-81
08/04/17	H	Kolossos Rhodes	82-81
01/04/17	A	Lefkadas	68-64
26/03/17	H	Panathinaikos	87-106 OT
18/03/17	A	Koroivos	89-63

Panathinaikoslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/05/17	H	AEK Athens	81-72
14/05/17	A	AEK Athens	70-71
11/05/17	H	AEK Athens	80-70
25/04/17	A	Fenerbahce	61-79
20/04/17	H	Fenerbahce	75-80
18/04/17	H	Fenerbahce	58-71
13/04/17	H	PAOK	102-58
10/04/17	A	Rethymno	101-74
06/04/17	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	81-61
03/04/17	H	Trikala	93-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens

Basket League 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	71%
Home	LLWWW	87%
Away	WLWLL	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	15	16
Win %	71%	87%	56%
Points / game	78.7	81.5	76.1
Allowed / game	71.4	71.1	71.7
Point differential	+7.3	+10.4	+4.4
Avg total	150.1	152.5	147.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	53%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	83% (6)	100% (3)	67% (3)
Overtime %	3%	7%	0%

Panathinaikos

Basket League 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	93%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWL	86%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	93%	100%	86%
Points / game	84.0	87.4	80.4
Allowed / game	66.2	64.3	68.2
Point differential	+17.9	+23.1	+12.2
Avg total	150.2	151.7	148.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	72%	87%	57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	-	75% (4)
Overtime %	3%	0%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olympiacos	28	27	1	96%	80.9	63.6	+17.2
2	Panathinaikos	29	27	2	93%	84.0	66.2	+17.9
3	AEK Athens	31	22	9	71%	78.7	71.4	+7.3
4	Aris	30	17	13	57%	75.2	72.4	+2.8
5	PAOK	30	16	14	53%	75.7	76.5	-0.8
6	Rethymno	31	15	16	48%	75.1	76.9	-1.8
7	Kolossos Rhodes	29	14	15	48%	71.4	72.9	-1.5
8	Lavrio	28	11	17	39%	72.4	75.6	-3.2
9	Promitheas	26	10	16	38%	71.4	74.2	-2.8
10	Trikala	26	10	16	38%	69.9	75.3	-5.5
11	G.S. Kymis	26	8	18	31%	70.0	77.8	-7.7
12	Koroivos	26	8	18	31%	72.3	82.8	-10.5
13	Apollon Patras	26	7	19	27%	69.2	75.3	-6.2
14	Lefkadas	26	4	22	15%	68.5	78.2	-9.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
AEK Athens	11	18	18	20	67
Panathinaikos	25	24	24	32	105

← all games of the day

AEK Athens vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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