PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

PAOK vs Larisa Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 91-93
26-20 23-26 27-18 15-29
Position#5
Record1-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Larisa 🏆
Greece
Position#11
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game82.0
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 4
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · PAOK v Larisa
21 Nov 2021
PAK82
LAR71
09 Dec 2020
PAK91
LAR93
07 Oct 2020
PAK93
LAR71
05 Oct 2019
PAK87
LAR61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Larisa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#9
L
77-88
77
88
-11
H02/02
Basket League
Ifaistos Limnou
#5
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A29/02
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H07/03
Basket League
Panionios
#19
W
20-0
20
0
+20
H03/10
Greek Cup
Larisa
#8
W
93-71
93
71
+22
H07/10
Greek Cup
Iraklis
#10
L
57-75
57
75
-18
A24/10
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
67-96
67
96
-29
A08/11
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
W
83-65
83
65
+18
H18/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A21/11
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
84-85
84
85
-1
A05/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
16-26
25-16
19-24
24-20
16-21
16-14
13-22
19-19
16-16
16-17
17-23
–
–
–
–
21-24
30-19
22-15
20-13
9-25
23-12
8-22
17-16
11-23
17-28
22-26
17-19
18-24
23-16
18-13
24-12
23-26
13-17
18-19
26-21
26-24
19-28
16-15
23-18
141.3Avg total
69.8Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.280.8155.0-6.620%
Season at home (1)83.065.0148.0+18.0100%
Season away (4)72.084.8156.8-12.80%
Last 10 (10)69.871.5141.3-1.730%
Last 5 (5)74.280.8155.0-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.489.7165.1-14.30%
vs Similar (16)80.881.7162.5-0.931%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)81.380.3161.7+1.033%
This opponent (Larisa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LarisaGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#12
L
72-90
72
90
-18
A18/01
Basket League
Iraklis
#7
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A25/01
Basket League
Ionikos
#10
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H01/02
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
78-121
78
121
-43
A29/02
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#9
W
95-90
95
90
+5
H07/03
Basket League
Harilaos Trikoupis
#20
W
92-70
92
70
+22
H26/09
Greek Cup
PAOK
#2
L
71-93
71
93
-22
A07/10
Greek Cup
Panathinaikos
#1
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A25/10
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
68-87
68
87
-19
A31/10
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
L
64-90
64
90
-26
A05/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-23
21-20
17-27
26-20
11-26
18-17
15-26
23-14
18-12
21-20
22-20
21-20
17-35
14-26
21-30
26-30
26-21
17-22
25-17
27-30
34-14
24-23
19-16
15-17
24-21
19-30
15-22
13-20
11-13
19-18
14-20
16-18
15-26
20-19
21-18
12-24
15-27
25-18
11-21
13-24
161.4Avg total
74.9Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)64.082.0146.0-18.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)64.082.0146.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)74.986.5161.4-11.630%
Last 5 (5)71.081.8152.8-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)72.786.4159.1-13.728%
vs Similar (5)81.677.2158.8+4.460%
vs Weaker (1)71.074.0145.0-3.00%
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -2.5-2.5
PAOKLarisa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#9
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H02/02
Basket League
Ifaistos Limnou
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A29/02
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H07/03
Basket League
Larisa
#8
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H07/10
Greek Cup
Iraklis
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A24/10
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A08/11
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H18/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A21/11
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A05/12
Basket League
81.2Avg total
37.9Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.842.982.7-3.131%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.538.882.4+4.769%-
Last 30 away (16)36.746.282.9-9.50%-
Last 10 (9)37.943.381.2-5.422%-
Last 5 (5)36.444.681.0-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.746.782.4-11.00%-
vs Similar (16)40.842.883.5-2.038%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)41.838.880.7+3.050%-
This opponent (Larisa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LarisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#12
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A18/01
Basket League
Iraklis
#7
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A25/01
Basket League
Ionikos
#10
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H01/02
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
31-61
31
61
-30
A29/02
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#9
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H07/03
Basket League
Harilaos Trikoupis
#20
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H26/09
Greek Cup
PAOK
#2
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A07/10
Greek Cup
Panathinaikos
#1
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A25/10
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A31/10
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A05/12
Basket League
80.8Avg total
37.7Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)37.241.879.0-4.528%-
Last 30 at home (11)40.941.582.5-0.636%-
Last 30 away (14)34.441.976.3-7.621%-
Last 10 (10)37.743.180.8-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.883.0-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)35.643.479.0-7.817%-
vs Similar (5)39.437.877.2+1.660%-
vs Weaker (1)35.037.072.0-2.00%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 70.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.5 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.816.2
41.9%
51.8%32.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.58.2
38.4%
35.6%24.8
🏀 Free throws18.513.0
70.3%
74.2%13.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Larisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Larisa: 62.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.712.7
34.5%
51.8%25.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.0
31.2%
35.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.013.3
74.1%
74.2%13.3
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/3 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
LLWLLWWLLL
Larisa
LLLLWWLWLL
#5
League position
#11
-12.1
Net rating
-27.7
94.5
Offensive rating
86.9
106.6
Defensive rating
114.7
47.5%
Effective FG%
39.6%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
20.0%
Turnover %
20.3%
23.1%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.4%
3-point %
31.2%
59.2%
Assist %
61.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence94.5 · 86.9Defence106.6 · 114.7Shooting47.5% · 39.6%3-point %38.4% · 31.2%Ball care20.0% · 20.3%Off. rebounds23.1% · 30.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ PAOK   ■ Larisa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
PAOK wins
1
Larisa wins
DateGameScore
07/10/20PAOK v Larisa93-71
11/01/20Larisa v PAOK95-85
05/10/19PAOK v Larisa87-61
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/20AAEK Athens84-85
21/11/20APromitheas80-83
18/11/20HLavrio83-65
08/11/20APanathinaikos67-96
24/10/20AIraklis57-75
07/10/20HLarisa93-71
03/10/20HPanionios20-0
07/03/20HPeristeri68-75
29/02/20AIfaistos Limnou69-77
02/02/20HKolossos Rhodes77-88
Larisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/20AKolossos Rhodes64-90
31/10/20AAEK Athens68-87
25/10/20APanathinaikos60-69
07/10/20APAOK71-93
26/09/20HHarilaos Trikoupis92-70
07/03/20HKolossos Rhodes95-90
29/02/20APanathinaikos78-121
01/02/20HIonikos82-72
25/01/20AIraklis67-83
18/01/20AAris72-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Basket League 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %20%100%0%
Points / game74.283.072.0
Allowed / game80.865.084.8
Point differential-6.6+18.0-12.8
Avg total155.0148.0156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Larisa
Basket League 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
Home--
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %0%-0%
Points / game64.0-64.0
Allowed / game82.0-82.0
Point differential-18.0--18.0
Avg total146.0-146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos440100%83.561.8+21.8
2 AEK Athens550100%81.269.6+11.6
3 Iraklis64267%72.568.8+3.7
4 Peristeri64267%75.873.8+2.0
5 Harilaos Trikoupis63350%72.574.0-1.5
6 Aris42250%79.080.8-1.8
7 Promitheas21150%83.087.0-4.0
8 Lavrio52340%75.678.4-2.8
9 Kolossos Rhodes62433%74.373.8+0.5
10 PAOK51420%74.280.8-6.6
11 Ionikos61517%70.079.5-9.5
12 Larisa3030%64.082.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK2623271591
Larisa2026182993
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.