AEK Athens vs Larisa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2020

Tip-off: 17:30

Final 87-68

26-15 19-20 18-21 24-12

Position#3

Record1-0

FormWWLLW

Points / game81.0

Allowed / game68.0

AEK Athens 🏆

Larisa

Position#11

Record0-1

FormLWWLL

Points / game60.0

Allowed / game69.0

Basket LeagueRound 2

Domestic2020-21

Meetings · AEK Athens v Larisa

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Larisa winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK Athens Greece

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Panathinaikos

100-97

100

H05/01

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

79-70

A11/01

Basket League

Ifaistos Limnou

74-68

H18/01

Basket League

Peristeri

77-73

A25/01

Basket League

Rethymno

84-83

H26/02

Basket League

Panionios

#13

101-96 OT

101

A29/02

Basket League

Iraklis

86-61

+25

H07/03

Basket League

Promitheas

88-98

-10

A23/09

Super Cup

Panathinaikos

73-79

-6

H24/09

Super Cup

Ionikos

81-68

+13

A24/10

Basket League

32-28

31-26

22-23

15-20

18-16

21-17

19-19

21-18

19-23

16-19

18-9

21-17

20-18

18-18

17-18

22-19

16-22

17-21

25-17

26-23

23-21

19-17

24-22

18-24

30-12

14-20

16-19

26-10

25-23

21-20

21-24

21-31

21-20

23-23

15-16

14-20

15-21

17-18

27-20

22-9

163.6Avg total

84.3Scored

79.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	81.0	68.0	149.0	+13.0	100%
Season at home	no games
Season away (1)	81.0	68.0	149.0	+13.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	84.3	79.3	163.6	+5.0	80%
Last 5 (5)	85.8	80.4	166.2	+5.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	78.0	90.5	168.5	-12.5	17%
vs Similar (2)	83.5	82.0	165.5	+1.5	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	83.3	71.9	155.1	+11.4	86%

This opponent (Larisa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Larisa

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Promitheas

76-62

+14

A04/01

Basket League

PAOK

#14

95-85

+10

H11/01

Basket League

Aris

#12

72-90

-18

A18/01

Basket League

Iraklis

67-83

-16

A25/01

Basket League

Ionikos

#10

82-72

+10

H01/02

Basket League

Panathinaikos

78-121

121

-43

A29/02

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

95-90

H07/03

Basket League

Harilaos Trikoupis

#20

92-70

+22

H26/09

Greek Cup

PAOK

71-93

-22

A07/10

Greek Cup

Panathinaikos

60-69

-9

A25/10

Basket League

14-15

20-17

23-19

19-11

25-15

23-27

21-28

26-15

8-23

21-20

17-27

26-20

11-26

18-17

15-26

23-14

18-12

21-20

22-20

21-20

17-35

14-26

21-30

26-30

26-21

17-22

25-17

27-30

34-14

24-23

19-16

15-17

24-21

19-30

15-22

13-20

11-13

19-18

14-20

16-18

162.3Avg total

78.8Scored

83.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	60.0	69.0	129.0	-9.0	0%
Season at home	no games
Season away (1)	60.0	69.0	129.0	-9.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	78.8	83.5	162.3	-4.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	88.6	167.8	-9.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	73.5	86.1	159.6	-12.6	31%
vs Similar (5)	81.6	77.2	158.8	+4.4	60%
vs Weaker (1)	71.0	74.0	145.0	-3.0	0%

This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AEK AthensLarisa

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	18.8	39.7	+2.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	18.4	40.4	+3.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	19.1	39.1	+0.8	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	20.4	42.3	+1.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.4	42.2	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.2	23.7	45.8	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.8	17.4	38.2	+3.4	73%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	18.2	21.0	39.2	-2.8	35%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	21.2	19.5	40.7	+1.6	55%	-
Last 30 away (12)	15.4	22.3	37.8	-6.9	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.5	38.3	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.8	43.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.4	21.8	39.2	-4.3	31%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.8	20.0	37.8	-2.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	21.0	37.0	-5.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.6	40.2	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	20.1	40.9	+0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	19.1	39.6	+1.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.9	39.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.6	38.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.2	23.3	44.5	-2.2	33%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.0	14.0	33.0	+5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.7	19.0	39.7	+1.6	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	19.0	20.5	39.5	-1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.7	22.0	41.7	-2.3	45%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.4	19.1	37.5	-0.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	22.0	41.6	-2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	23.8	42.4	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.9	21.4	39.4	-3.5	38%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.6	17.8	39.4	+3.8	100%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	16.0	35.0	+3.0	100%	-

AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Panathinaikos

63-54

H05/01

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

39-33

A11/01

Basket League

Ifaistos Limnou

35-42

-7

H18/01

Basket League

Peristeri

38-36

A25/01

Basket League

Rethymno

33-43

-10

H26/02

Basket League

Panionios

#13

42-38

A29/02

Basket League

Iraklis

44-32

+12

H07/03

Basket League

Promitheas

46-43

A23/09

Super Cup

Panathinaikos

44-43

H24/09

Super Cup

Ionikos

32-39

-7

A24/10

Basket League

81.9Avg total

41.6Scored

40.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	38.3	80.0	+3.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.8	38.5	81.3	+4.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.5	38.2	78.7	+2.3	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	40.3	81.9	+1.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	39.0	80.6	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	43.3	47.0	90.3	-3.7	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	38.5	33.0	71.5	+5.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	41.5	36.5	77.9	+5.0	73%	-

This opponent (Larisa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LarisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Promitheas

34-32

A04/01

Basket League

PAOK

#14

48-42

H11/01

Basket League

Aris

#12

29-43

-14

A18/01

Basket League

Iraklis

29-43

-14

A25/01

Basket League

Ionikos

#10

39-32

H01/02

Basket League

Panathinaikos

31-61

-30

A29/02

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

43-43

H07/03

Basket League

Harilaos Trikoupis

#20

58-37

+21

H26/09

Greek Cup

PAOK

43-51

-8

A07/10

Greek Cup

Panathinaikos

30-31

-1

A25/10

Basket League

79.9Avg total

38.4Scored

41.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	37.2	41.5	78.7	-4.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	40.9	41.5	82.5	-0.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (12)	33.8	41.4	75.2	-7.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	41.5	79.9	-3.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	44.6	85.6	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	35.4	43.2	78.6	-7.8	19%	-
vs Similar (5)	39.4	37.8	77.2	+1.6	60%	-
vs Weaker (1)	35.0	37.0	72.0	-2.0	0%	-

This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.5	38.7	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	18.9	39.1	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	18.1	38.2	+1.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.7	39.1	+1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.2	40.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.3	20.8	38.2	-3.5	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.0	24.0	44.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.0	17.4	38.3	+3.6	64%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	19.0	21.7	40.6	-2.7	35%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.0	20.8	40.8	-0.8	45%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.0	22.4	40.4	-4.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	22.5	41.7	-3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.8	22.0	40.8	-3.2	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (1)	13.0	27.0	40.0	-14.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.5	37.6	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	17.5	37.1	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	19.4	38.1	-0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.1	39.7	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.8	39.0	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.3	22.7	40.0	-5.3	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	19.6	17.3	36.9	+2.3	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	19.8	19.8	39.6	-0.0	48%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.3	55%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	19.5	40.7	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	23.0	42.4	-3.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	19.3	20.9	40.2	-1.6	38%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.6	18.8	40.4	+2.8	80%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	10.0	33.0	+13.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	37.0	76.3	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.9	36.4	76.3	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	37.5	76.3	+1.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	37.8	78.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	39.0	79.8	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	34.7	43.5	78.2	-8.8	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	39.5	43.0	82.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	40.5	34.6	75.2	+5.9	68%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	38.7	41.5	80.2	-2.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	39.4	40.5	79.8	-1.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (12)	38.2	42.4	80.6	-4.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	42.0	82.4	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	44.0	82.2	-5.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	38.1	42.9	81.1	-4.8	38%	-
vs Similar (5)	42.2	39.4	81.6	+2.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (1)	36.0	37.0	73.0	-1.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 79.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀58%

🏀🏀🏀27%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 58% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game

48%

33%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	23.0	57.5%	51.8%	46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.0	7.0	35.0%	35.6%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	18.0	12.0	66.7%	74.2%	12.0

They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Larisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Larisa: 58.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀41%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers24.0 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game

48%

33%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.0	12.0	26.1%	51.8%	24.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.0	7.0	33.3%	35.6%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	16.0	13.0	81.2%	74.2%	13.0

They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.0	19.0	61.3%	51.8%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	8.0	30.8%	35.6%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	11.0	6.0	54.5%	74.2%	6.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	24.0	60.0%	51.8%	48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	16.0	3.0	18.8%	35.6%	9.0
🏀 Free throws	16.0	12.0	75.0%	74.2%	12.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.0	19.0	61.3%	51.8%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	8.0	30.8%	35.6%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	11.0	6.0	54.5%	74.2%	6.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	24.0	60.0%	51.8%	48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	16.0	3.0	18.8%	35.6%	9.0
🏀 Free throws	16.0	12.0	75.0%	74.2%	12.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

AEK Athens

WLLWWWWWWW

Larisa

LLWWLWLLWW

League position

#11

+15.7

Net rating

-14.4

113.1

Offensive rating

75.8

97.3

Defensive rating

90.1

55.8%

Effective FG%

33.6%

54.4%

Opp. effective FG%

50.9%

18.6%

Turnover %

23.4%

35.5%

Off. rebound %

31.9%

0.30

Free-throw rate

0.24

35.0%

3-point %

33.3%

66.7%

Assist %

42.1%

80%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ AEK Athens ■ Larisa

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

AEK Athens wins

Larisa wins

Date	Game	Score
22/12/19	Larisa v AEK Athens	76-86

AEK Athenslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/10/20	A	Ionikos	81-68
24/09/20	H	Panathinaikos	73-79
23/09/20	A	Promitheas	88-98
07/03/20	H	Iraklis	86-61
29/02/20	A	Panionios	101-96 OT
26/02/20	H	Rethymno	84-83
25/01/20	A	Peristeri	77-73
18/01/20	H	Ifaistos Limnou	74-68
11/01/20	A	Kolossos Rhodes	79-70
05/01/20	H	Panathinaikos	100-97

Larisalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/10/20	A	Panathinaikos	60-69
07/10/20	A	PAOK	71-93
26/09/20	H	Harilaos Trikoupis	92-70
07/03/20	H	Kolossos Rhodes	95-90
29/02/20	A	Panathinaikos	78-121
01/02/20	H	Ionikos	82-72
25/01/20	A	Iraklis	67-83
18/01/20	A	Aris	72-90
11/01/20	H	PAOK	95-85
04/01/20	A	Promitheas	76-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens

Basket League 2020-21

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	W	100%
Home	-	-
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	-	1
Win %	100%	-	100%
Points / game	81.0	-	81.0
Allowed / game	68.0	-	68.0
Point differential	+13.0	-	+13.0
Avg total	149.0	-	149.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	-	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

Larisa

Basket League 2020-21

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	L	0%
Home	-	-
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	-	1
Win %	0%	-	0%
Points / game	60.0	-	60.0
Allowed / game	69.0	-	69.0
Point differential	-9.0	-	-9.0
Avg total	129.0	-	129.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	-	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Iraklis	1	1	0	100%	75.0	57.0	+18.0
2	AEK Athens	1	1	0	100%	81.0	68.0	+13.0
3	Panathinaikos	1	1	0	100%	69.0	60.0	+9.0
4	Harilaos Trikoupis	2	2	0	100%	75.0	68.0	+7.0
5	Peristeri	2	2	0	100%	82.0	78.0	+4.0
6	Aris	1	0	1	0%	70.0	73.0	-3.0
7	Kolossos Rhodes	2	0	2	0%	73.5	80.5	-7.0
8	Ionikos	2	0	2	0%	71.5	80.5	-9.0
9	Larisa	1	0	1	0%	60.0	69.0	-9.0
10	PAOK	1	0	1	0%	57.0	75.0	-18.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
AEK Athens	26	19	18	24	87
Larisa	15	20	21	12	68

← all games of the day

AEK Athens vs Larisa Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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