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Papagou vs Chalkida Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Projected 81-76
Projected total 157.1
Final 87-75
21-21 27-19 17-19 22-16
Position#8
Record3-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game79.1
Papagou 🏆
Greece
Vs
67%
33%
■ PAPA 67%■ CHAL 33%
Pythia win probability
Position#7
Record4-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game79.0
GreeceA2Round 8
Other2026-27
Meetings · Papagou v Chalkida
14 Nov 2026
PAPA87
CHAL75
08 Apr 2026
PAPA83
CHAL63
17 Dec 2025
PAPA83
CHAL71
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Papagou will host Chalkida on 14 November 2026 in the A2 competition, with the model favouring the home side at 67% versus 33% for the visitors; the projected score is 81-76 and the total is 157.1, a point over the 157.0 line with a 50% chance of the over. Papagou are 3-4 in all games this season, averaging 75.7 points and conceding 79.1, and sit 10th in the league; at home they are 1-3, scoring 79.2 and allowing 85.8. Their last five games include a 71-70 win over Lavrio away, an 81-82 loss to Panionios at home, and a 75-69 win over Anagennisi at home. Chalkida are 4-3 overall, with 81.3 points for and 79.0 against, and 5th in the standings; on the road they are 2-1, scoring 81.7 and allowing 78.7. Their last five feature a 78-61 win over Anagennisi at home, a 71-83 loss to Komotini away, and a 86-94 loss to Proteas Voulas at home. In the four meetings between the clubs Papagou has won all, most recently defeating Chalkida 81-71 on 15 April 2026, and the model gives Papagou a 68% chance to cover the 1.0-point spread.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Papagou winWon
66.6%fair 1.50
Best odds1.86
Implied49.3%
Edge+17.3pp
Chalkida winLost
33.4%fair 2.99
Best odds2.05
Implied50.7%
Edge-17.3pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PapagouGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chalkida
#6
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A15/04
A2
NE Megaridas
#3
W
92-74
92
74
+18
A01/05
A2
Vikos
#2
L
72-87
72
87
-15
H03/05
A2
Panerythraikos
#12
L
92-111
92
111
-19
H03/10
A2
Glafkos Esperos
#16
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A10/10
A2
Proteas Voulas
#5
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H16/10
A2
Komotini
#10
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A21/10
A2
Anagennisi
#15
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H24/10
A2
Panionios
#1
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H02/11
A2
Lavrio
#2
W
71-70
71
70
+1
A07/11
A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
23-14
22-13
16-16
27-9
19-22
21-22
25-21
16-23
18-21
18-15
20-28
25-25
20-29
19-29
28-28
21-26
21-16
14-12
15-20
21-28
22-24
12-10
14-19
15-15
20-20
19-17
17-15
13-14
18-24
31-16
13-15
26-22
13-14
24-24
18-22
16-21
29-14
11-20
15-15
156.1Avg total
77.5Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.779.1154.9-3.443%
Season at home (4)79.285.8165.0-6.525%
Season away (3)71.070.3141.3+0.767%
Last 10 (10)77.578.6156.1-1.150%
Last 5 (5)73.473.8147.2-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.478.2153.6-2.840%
vs Similar ◀ (19)77.473.9151.3+3.468%
vs Weaker (6)82.571.3153.8+11.267%
This opponent (Chalkida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChalkidaGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panerythraikos
#11
W
93-84
93
84
+9
H04/04
A2
Papagou
#5
L
63-83
63
83
-20
A08/04
A2
Papagou
#5
L
71-81
71
81
-10
H15/04
A2
Peiramatiko Machites
#9
W
77-73
77
73
+4
H03/10
A2
Psychikou
#4
W
87-77
87
77
+10
A10/10
A2
Panerythraikos
#12
L
83-89
83
89
-6
H19/10
A2
Glafkos Esperos
#16
W
87-76
87
76
+11
A22/10
A2
Proteas Voulas
#5
L
86-94
86
94
-8
H25/10
A2
Komotini
#10
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A30/10
A2
Anagennisi
#15
W
78-61
78
61
+17
H07/11
A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
17-22
35-17
21-18
20-19
14-20
12-22
17-22
28-20
14-23
13-22
16-16
22-10
15-18
20-21
20-24
21-25
22-21
18-16
26-15
16-29
17-20
30-20
20-20
19-20
23-23
26-15
19-18
10-28
32-22
14-23
30-21
20-24
18-16
14-21
19-22
23-12
14-17
18-15
23-17
159.7Avg total
79.6Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.379.0160.3+2.357%
Season at home (4)81.079.2160.2+1.850%
Season away (3)81.778.7160.3+3.067%
Last 10 (10)79.680.1159.7-0.550%
Last 5 (5)81.080.6161.6+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)61.077.0138.0-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (20)80.582.0162.4-1.550%
vs Weaker (8)87.871.0158.8+16.888%
This opponent (Papagou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 152Actual: Over 152
Over 152
61.8%
Under 152
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 157 · main lineActual: Over 157
Over 157
49.5%
@ 1.83-0.5pp
Under 157
50.5%
@ 1.83+0.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.83
SBO
1.82
1xBet
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
1.83
SBO
1.82
1xBet
1.77
Over/Under 162Push
Over 162
37.4%
Under 162
62.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Papagou total 75.5Actual: Papagou over 75.5
Over 75.5
70.4%
@ 1.44+10.0pp
Under 75.5
29.6%
@ 2.20-10.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.44
Under
1xBet
2.20
Papagou total 79.5 · main lineActual: Papagou over 79.5
Over 79.5
55.7%
@ 1.86+6.5pp
Under 79.5
44.3%
@ 1.85-6.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.63
Papagou total 83.5Actual: Papagou over 83.5
Over 83.5
40.1%
Under 83.5
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chalkida total 74.5Actual: Chalkida over 74.5
Over 74.5
55.8%
@ 1.37-8.0pp
Under 74.5
44.2%
@ 2.42+8.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.37
Under
1xBet
2.42
Chalkida total 78.5 · main lineActual: Chalkida under 78.5
Over 78.5
40.5%
@ 1.85-9.5pp
Under 78.5
59.5%
@ 1.85+9.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.71
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.74
Chalkida total 82.5Actual: Chalkida under 82.5
Over 82.5
26.7%
@ 2.35-10.5pp
Under 82.5
73.3%
@ 1.39+10.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.35
Under
1xBet
1.39

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Papagou -2Actual: Papagou -2
PAPA -2
62.3%
@ 2.04+17.6pp
CHAL +2
37.7%
@ 1.65-17.6pp
Best 5 market prices
PAPA
Pinnacle
2.04
CHAL
Pinnacle
1.65
Spread Papagou +1 · main lineActual: Papagou +1
PAPA +1
68.3%
@ 1.80+17.5pp
CHAL -1
31.7%
@ 1.86-17.5pp
Best 5 market prices
PAPA
Pinnacle
1.80
SBO
1.80
CHAL
Pinnacle
1.86
SBO
1.86
Spread Papagou +4Actual: Papagou +4
PAPA +4
77.5%
CHAL -4
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
PAPA
No market prices yet.
CHAL
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.8+1.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.8+1.8
PapagouChalkida
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PapagouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chalkida
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A15/04
A2
NE Megaridas
#3
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A01/05
A2
Vikos
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H03/05
A2
Panerythraikos
#12
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H03/10
A2
Glafkos Esperos
#16
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A10/10
A2
Proteas Voulas
#5
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H16/10
A2
Komotini
#10
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A21/10
A2
Anagennisi
#15
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H24/10
A2
Panionios
#1
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H02/11
A2
Lavrio
#2
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A07/11
A2
81.2Avg total
40.3Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 77.5
Last 30 (30)40.137.978.0+2.260%47%
Last 30 at home (16)39.540.680.1-1.144%50%
Last 30 away (14)40.834.775.5+6.179%43%
Last 10 (10)40.340.981.2-0.640%60%
Last 5 (5)38.639.277.8-0.640%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.239.079.2+1.260%60%
vs Similar ◀ (19)39.338.477.7+0.858%42%
vs Weaker (6)42.735.277.8+7.567%50%
This opponent (Chalkida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChalkidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panerythraikos
#11
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H04/04
A2
Papagou
#5
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A08/04
A2
Papagou
#5
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H15/04
A2
Peiramatiko Machites
#9
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H03/10
A2
Psychikou
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A10/10
A2
Panerythraikos
#12
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H19/10
A2
Glafkos Esperos
#16
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A22/10
A2
Proteas Voulas
#5
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H25/10
A2
Komotini
#10
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A30/10
A2
Anagennisi
#15
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H07/11
A2
80.1Avg total
38.5Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 77.5
Last 30 (30)39.539.378.7+0.247%53%
Last 30 at home (14)36.340.276.5-3.929%50%
Last 30 away (16)42.238.480.7+3.862%56%
Last 10 (10)38.541.680.1-3.120%70%
Last 5 (5)38.442.280.6-3.820%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.038.572.5-4.550%0%
vs Similar ◀ (20)38.841.280.0-2.535%60%
vs Weaker (8)42.534.577.0+8.075%50%
This opponent (Papagou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Papagou win
PAPA win
no forecast
@ 1.83
CHAL win
no forecast
@ 1.95
1st half Spread Papagou -0.5 · main lineActual: Papagou -0.5
PAPA -0.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
CHAL +0.5
no forecast
@ 1.86
1st half Over/Under 77.5 · main lineActual: Over 77.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Papagou 1st half total 38.5 · main lineActual: Papagou over 38.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
Chalkida 1st half total 38.5 · main lineActual: Chalkida over 38.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half: PAPA + total 77.5
PAPA & over
no forecast
@ 3.50
PAPA & under
no forecast
@ 3.45
1st half: Draw + total 77.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 26.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 26.00
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Papagou (regulation)
PAPA
no forecast
@ 1.91
Draw
no forecast
@ 16.50
CHAL
no forecast
@ 2.05

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
PAPA win + total 157.5
🔒 Pro
CHAL win + total 157.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: PAPA leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: CHAL leads at half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (PAPA:CHAL): PAPA wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Papagou +271.7%1.69
Pinnacle
1.69
----+17.9ppWon
Papagou +374.7%1.60
Pinnacle
1.60
----+17.8ppWon
Papagou +2.572.7%1.59
Pinnacle
1.65
1xBet
1.54
---+17.4ppWon
Papagou +3.575.3%1.46
1xBet
1.46
----+14.7ppWon
Papagou +4.578.2%1.38
1xBet
1.38
----+13.9ppWon
Chalkida under 81.570.1%1.46
1xBet
1.46
----+10.5ppWon
Chalkida under 82.573.3%1.39
1xBet
1.39
----+10.5ppWon
Papagou over 75.570.4%1.44
1xBet
1.44
----+10.0ppWon
Papagou over 74.573.7%1.37
1xBet
1.37
----+9.9ppWon
Overtime: no95.1%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+4.0ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Papagou wins
0
Chalkida wins
DateGameScore
15/04/26Chalkida v Papagou71-81
08/04/26Papagou v Chalkida83-63
22/03/26Chalkida v Papagou66-80
17/12/25Papagou v Chalkida83-71
Papagoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ALavrio71-70
02/11/26HPanionios81-82
24/10/26HAnagennisi75-69
21/10/26AKomotini71-67
16/10/26HProteas Voulas69-81
10/10/26AGlafkos Esperos71-74
03/10/26HPanerythraikos92-111
03/05/26HVikos72-87
01/05/26ANE Megaridas92-74
15/04/26AChalkida81-71
Chalkidalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HAnagennisi78-61
30/10/26AKomotini71-83
25/10/26HProteas Voulas86-94
22/10/26AGlafkos Esperos87-76
19/10/26HPanerythraikos83-89
10/10/26APsychikou87-77
03/10/26HPeiramatiko Machites77-73
15/04/26HPapagou71-81
08/04/26APapagou63-83
04/04/26HPanerythraikos93-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Papagou
A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW43%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%25%67%
Points / game75.779.271.0
Allowed / game79.185.870.3
Point differential-3.4-6.5+0.7
Avg total154.9165.0141.3
Over 15729%50%0%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chalkida
A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW57%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game81.381.081.7
Allowed / game79.079.278.7
Point differential+2.3+1.8+3.0
Avg total160.3160.2160.3
Over 15757%50%67%
Win by 10+43%25%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panionios770100%85.671.4+14.1
2 Lavrio76186%83.669.0+14.6
3 NE Megaridas75271%77.368.9+8.4
4 Chalkida74357%81.379.0+2.3
5 Proteas Voulas74357%72.370.0+2.3
6 Peiramatiko Machites74357%80.481.0-0.6
7 Psychikou74357%74.975.6-0.7
8 Sofadon84450%74.271.6+2.6
9 Panerythraikos73443%86.689.1-2.6
10 Papagou73443%75.779.1-3.4
11 Komotini73443%72.377.7-5.4
12 Amyntas73443%67.077.4-10.4
13 Koroivos83538%77.581.0-3.5
14 Kronos Agiou Dimitriou72529%72.673.4-0.9
15 Anagennisi82625%73.078.4-5.4
16 Glafkos Esperos81712%71.580.8-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Papagou2127172287
Chalkida2119191675
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